Severe Thunderstorm Warning 96, NWS Midland/Odessa, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND TX
130 PM CDT (1230 PM MDT) FRI MAY 21 1999

SPC HAS SLIGHT RISK FOR NORTHERN PERMIAN BASIN/SOUTHEAST NM AS
FRONTAL BOUNDARY COULD BECOME THE FOCUS FOR SOME AFTERNOON
THUNDERSTORMS. FRONT CURRENTLY RUNNING FROM NEAR KSPS... TO NORTH OF
KMAF AND KINK. HOWEVER... KMAF SITTING ON A 0.21 INCH PRECIP TOTAL
SINCE APRIL 1... SO IT IS HARD TO GET TOO EXCITED ABOUT RAIN.  WILL
PROBABLY INCLUDE SOME LOW POPS FOR THE NORTH.  UPPER RIDGE STAYS
OVER THE AREA THROUGH 48 HRS WITH CUT OFF LOW SPINNING OVER SOUTHERN
CALIFORNIA. DO NOT SEE MUCH CHANCE OF RAIN UNTIL THE LOW COMES
EASTWARD... MRF BRINGS IN INTO THE AREA LATE TUESDAY.  PLENTY OF
MOISTURE TO WORK WITH... BUT HAVE TO OVERCOME THE CAP.  DRYLINE
PACKED AGAINST THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OUT WEST... NOT EXPECTED TO
MOVE MUCH TODAY... COULD SEE SOMETHING GO UP IN THE DAVIS MOUNTAINS
DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING.  DO NOT AGREE WITH GUIDANCE
NUMBERS... EXPECT ABOVE NORMAL TEMPS TO CONTINUE THROUGH THE PERIOD.

MAF 66/93/66/94  0000
CNM 61/91/62/94  1000
MRF 53/84/55/86  1000
P07 68/91/67/92  0000

72

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-220500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND-ODESSA TX
630 AM CDT FRI MAY 21 1999

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS: A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING...GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF A CARLSBAD TO ANDREWS TO BIG SPRING LINE.

THE AIRMASS WILL BE MODERATELY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ACROSS THIS AREA.
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
LARGE HAIL.

DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR THE WEST CpENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE THE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT ISSUED
BY NWS SAN ANGELO (WWUS35 KSJT).

NMZ027>029-TXZ045>048-050>052-057>063-067>070-074-075-079>082-220500-

THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK...CORRECTED TIME
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIDLAND-ODESSA TX
1229 PM CDT FRI MAY 21 1999

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN WEST TEXAS:

ANDREWS   CULBERSON  GLASSCOCK   MARTIN    REAGAN   UPTON
BORDEN    DAWSON     HOWARD      MIDLAND   REEVES   WARD
BREWSTER  ECTOR      JEFF DAVIS  PECOS     SCURRY   WINKLER
CRANE     GAINES     LOVING      PRESIDIO  TERRELL

AND IN SOUTHEAST NEW MEXICO:

EDDY      LEA

SYNOPSIS: A FRONTAL BOUNDARY REMAINS NEARLY STATIONARY ACROSS
THE NORTHERN PORTIONS OF THE PERMIAN BASIN EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR ALONG AND TO THE NORTH
OF THIS BOUNDARY LATE THIS AFTERNOON OR THIS EVENING...GENERALLY
ALONG AND NORTH OF A CARLSBAD TO ANDREWS TO BIG SPRING LINE.

THE AIRMASS WILL BE MODERATELY MOIST AND UNSTABLE ACROSS THIS AREA.
STORMS THAT DO DEVELOP MAY BECOME SEVERE WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF
LARGE HAIL.

DUE TO THE ISOLATED NATURE OF THESE THUNDERSTORMS...SPOTTER
ACTIVATION IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

FOR THE WEST CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOK SEE THE PRODUCT LBBSPSSJT ISSUED
BY NWS SAN ANGELO (WWUS35 KSJT).