Tornado Warning 14, NWS Wichita, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
400 PM CDT TUE MAY 4 1999

NEGATIVELY TILTED UPPER LEVEL TROUGH LIFTING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS
KS/OK THIS AFTERNOON...WILL CONTINUE THIS TREND REACHING ERN
NEBRASKA/IOWA WEDNESDAY AFTERNOON...WHILE FORMING INTO A STRONG
CLOSED LOW. ASSOCIATED STRONG SFC LOW NEAR RSL AT 19Z WILL ALSO PULL
QUICKLY NEWD INTO S-CNTRL NEBRASKA THIS EVENING...WITH COLD FRONT
OVER WRN KS...SWEEPING EWD AND MERGING WITH DRYLINE NOW DRAPED FROM
LOW ACROSS S-CNTRL KS/CNTRL OK. SHORT TERM CONCERN WILL BE DEALING
WITH SEVERE WX IN CNTRL/S-CNTRL KS EARLY THIS EVENING. WILL CONTINUE
TO HANDLE WITH SHORT TERM FCSTS AND APPROPRIATE WARNINGS. WILL HAVE
TO RETAIN A MENTION OF SVR IN THE ZONES FOR PORTIONS OF THE AREA
THIS EVENING. MOST OF THE WAA INDUCED PCPN OVER SERN KS/NERN SHOULD
SHIFT EWD THIS EVENING IN CONJUNCTION WITH NEWD MOVEMENT OF UPPER
TROUGH AXIS. HOWEVER...MAY NEED TO ALSO COVER FOR ADDITIONAL
SCATTERED TSTMS THAT MAY DEVELOP AHEAD OF COLD FRONT/DRYLINE THIS
EVENING IN THAT REGION.

OTHERWISE...CAA WILL SET IN TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY BEHIND COLD FRONTAL
PASSAGE WHICH WILL CLEAR SERN KS LATE TONIGHT. WRAP AROUND MOISTURE
ALSO MOVES SEWD INTO CENTRAL AND SERN SECTIONS OF KS LATE
TONIGHT/WEDNESDAY...AND MAY PERSIST INTO THURSDAY AS CYCLONIC MID
LVL FLOW CONTINUES WITH MID LVL COLD POCKET OVER FCST AREA. WL
MAINTAIN MENTION OF MAINLY PM/EVENING SHOWERS. OTHERWISE...STRONG
CLOSED UPPER LOW MOVES ONLY SLOWLY EWD TOWARD LOWER GREAT
LAKES/UPPER OH VLY FRI THROUGH SUNDAY LEAVING OUR FCST AREA IN NWRLY
FLOW ALOFT. MRF SUGGESTS NEXT PACIFIC COLD FRONT ARRIVES
SUNDAY...BUT CHANCES FOR GULF MOISTURE RETURN AHEAD OF THIS FRONT
LOOK SLIM ATTM. WL KEEP FRI-SUN DRY. SHOULD ALSO SEE TEMPS WARM
SAT-SUN AS UPPER LOW IS FCST TO MOVE WELL AWAY FROM KS.

FCSTID = 9/CARUSO
ICT   51  64  45  66 /  30  30  30  20
HUT   50  64  45  66 /  30  30  30  20
EWK   50  64  45  66 /  30  30  30  20
EQA   52  64  45  66 /  30  30  30  20
WLD   52  64  45  67 /  30  30  30  20
RSL   46  63  43  64 /  40  40  30  20
GBD   47  64  43  64 /  40  40  30  20
SLN   49  64  44  65 /  40  40  30  20
MPR   50  64  44  65 /  40  40  30  20
CFV   54  65  45  68 /  50  30  20  20
CNU   54  65  45  67 /  50  30  20  20
K88   53  65  45  67 /  50  30  20  20

.ICT...NONE.

KSZ032-033-047>053-O67>072-082-083-091>096-098>100-041920-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
203 PM CDT TUE MAY 4 1999

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WICHITA IS ACTIVATING OUR SKYWARN
SPOTTER NETWORK.

A SKYWARN OPERATOR IS MONITORING AREA NETWORKS.

THE PRIMARY SKYWARN FREQUENCY IS 146.94 MHZ.

SECONDARY FREQUENCIES ARE ALSO BEING MONITORED ON 146.82 AND 145.13 MHZ.

HOWERTON

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...CORRECTED FOR TIMES OF OCCURRENCE MONDAY
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WICHITA KS
234 AM CDT TUE MAY 4 1999

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0915 PM    3 W AUGUSTA               KS   TORNADO
05/03/99   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY BUTLER COUNTY EOC AND
                                          HAM RADIO.

0925 PM    2 E EL DORADO             KS   TORNADO
05/03/99   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY BUTLER COUTNY EOC.

0925 PM    2 SW AUGUSTA              KS   TORNADO
05/03/99   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY BUTLER COUNTY EOC AND
                                          HAM RADIO.

0953 PM    EL DORADO RES             KS   TORNADO
05/03/99   BUTLER                         REPORTED BY BUTLER COUNTY EOC AND
                                          HAM RADIO.

1202 AM    INDEPENDENCE              KS   0.50 INCH HAIL
05/04/99   MONTGOMERY                     REPORTED BY AGTAP SPOTTER.

0104 AM    MULVANE                   KS   0.88 INCH HAIL
05/04/99   SUMNER                         1 MILE SOUTH OF THE SEDGWICK /
                              ,            SUMNER COUNTY LINE NEAR THE TURNPIKE
                                          AT MULVANE. REPORTED BY KSNW WEATHER
                                          SPOTTER.