Alert archive / Missouri / Tornado Watches in 1998

Tornado Watch 863

October 4, 199821 counties in Kansas; 40 counties in Missouri

The Storm Prediction Center issued this tornado watch at Oct 4, 1998, 5:15 PM CDT for 21 counties in Kansas; 40 counties in Missouri. It was in force for 7 hr.

The area

The outline as issued.

The facts

Issued
Oct 4, 1998, 5:15 PM CDT (22:15 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 1998, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
7 hr
Issued by
the Storm Prediction Center
All 61 counties

Allen County, KS, Anderson County, KS, Atchison County, KS, Bourbon County, KS, Cherokee County, KS, Coffey County, KS, Crawford County, KS, Douglas County, KS, Franklin County, KS, Jefferson County, KS, Johnson County, KS, Labette County, KS, Leavenworth County, KS, Linn County, KS, Miami County, KS, Montgomery County, KS, Neosho County, KS, Osage County, KS, Wilson County, KS, Woodson County, KS, Wyandotte County, KS, Barton County, MO, Bates County, MO, Benton County, MO, Boone County, MO, Buchanan County, MO, Caldwell County, MO, Camden County, MO, Carroll County, MO, Cass County, MO, Cedar County, MO, Chariton County, MO, Clay County, MO, Clinton County, MO, Cole County, MO, Cooper County, MO, Dade County, MO, Dallas County, MO, Greene County, MO, Henry County, MO, Hickory County, MO, Howard County, MO, Jackson County, MO, Jasper County, MO, Johnson County, MO, Laclede County, MO, Lafayette County, MO, Lawrence County, MO, Miller County, MO, Moniteau County, MO, Monroe County, MO, Morgan County, MO, Pettis County, MO, Platte County, MO, Polk County, MO, Randolph County, MO, Ray County, MO, Saline County, MO, St. Clair County, MO, Vernon County, MO, Webster County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 80 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 22:16 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

Warnings issued inside it

36 tornado, severe thunderstorm and flash flood warnings for its counties while it was in force.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 4, 5:22 PM CDTTornado WarningTOPLyon, Osage, Wabaunsee48 min
Oct 4, 5:22 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll23 min
Oct 4, 5:23 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPDouglas, Jefferson, Osage4 hr
Oct 4, 5:34 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPOsage66 min
Oct 4, 5:46 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton44 min
Oct 4, 5:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Franklin, Jefferson65 min
Oct 4, 6:02 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXClinton43 min
Oct 4, 7:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXJohnson, Wyandotte4 hr
Oct 4, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess47 min
Oct 4, 7:16 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXJohnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte44 min
Oct 4, 7:25 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTMontgomery, Wilson50 min
Oct 4, 7:49 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPLyon, Osage46 min
Oct 4, 8:03 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTLabette, Neosho57 min
Oct 4, 8:05 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXRay4 hr
Oct 4, 8:23 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBourbon, Cherokee, Crawford67 min
Oct 4, 8:39 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningTOPDouglas, Franklin31 min
Oct 4, 9:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCarroll4 hr
Oct 4, 9:28 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningTOPDouglas, Jefferson2 hr
Oct 4, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Ray47 min
Oct 4, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBarton, Vernon60 min
Oct 4, 9:30 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFJasper60 min
Oct 4, 9:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXPlatte2 hr
Oct 4, 9:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAtchison, Doniphan3 hr
Oct 4, 10:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningICTChautauqua, Montgomery4 hr
Oct 4, 10:06 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningICTLabette4 hr
Oct 4, 10:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCass4 hr
Oct 4, 10:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCrawford6 hr
Oct 4, 10:19 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFCherokee6 hr
Oct 4, 10:20 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningICTMontgomery40 min
Oct 4, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFCedar, Polk, St. Clair55 min
Oct 4, 10:50 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFHickory55 min
Oct 4, 10:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXJohnson, Leavenworth, Wyandotte4 hr
Oct 4, 10:59 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningSGFBenton46 min
Oct 4, 11:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFDade, Jasper, Polk6 hr
Oct 4, 11:44 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningSGFBenton, Hickory6 hr
Oct 4, 11:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Ray4 hr

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 12:00Z, 10.3 hours before the alert went out and 144 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 1998-10-04Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 12:00Z on 1998-10-04The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 310 square meters per square second.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
565 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
46 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
310 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
306 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
3.1

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

070 
WWUS9 KMKC 042150
SEL3  
MKC WW 042150
MOZ000-KSZ000-050500-

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 863
STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
450 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

   WESTERN AND CENTRAL MISSOURI                           
   EASTERN KANSAS                             

EFFECTIVE THIS SUNDAY NIGHT AND MONDAY MORNING FROM 515 PM UNTIL
MIDNIGHT CDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 2 INCHES IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND GUSTS
TO 80 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS ALONG AND 100 STATUTE MILES EAST AND WEST
OF A LINE FROM 10 MILES SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF JOPLIN MISSOURI TO 70
MILES NORTH OF KNOB NOSTER MISSOURI.

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH AREA. 
PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR THREATENING
WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE
WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...  CONTINUE...WW 860...WW 861...WW 862...

DISCUSSION...CONVECTIVE CLUSTER DEVELOPING AND MOVING INTO WATCH
AREA AHEAD OF DRY LINE AND ALONG WARM FRONT. AIR MASS VERY UNSTABLE
WITH BEST CAPES FROM 2500 TO 3500 J/KG. 50 KT LOW LEVEL JET WILL
RESULT IN SUFFICIENT SHEAR FOR A FEW DAMAGING TORNADOES...ALONG
WITH SCATTERED DOWNBURSTS AND LARGE HAIL. 

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 2 INCHES.  EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE WIND
GUSTS TO 70 KNOTS.  A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO 450. 
MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24040.

...ROGASH

370,0961 394,0952 394,0913 370,0923

SPC that day

Everything else SPC issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 4, 2:30 PM CDTTornado WatchSPCBarber, Barton, Butler, Chase, Chautauqua, Comanche and 28 more7 hr
Oct 4, 3:15 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WatchSPCClay, Cloud, Jewell, Marshall, Mitchell, Nemaha and 5 more6 hr

Nearby

Tornado Watches in Missouri, 1998Tornado Watches in Kansas, 1998Every tornado watch in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.