Alert archive / Missouri / Flash Flood Warnings in 1998

Flash Flood Warning 47, NWS Kansas City, MO

October 4, 1998Ray County, Missouri

NWS Kansas City, MO issued this flash flood warning at Oct 4, 1998, 8:05 PM CDT for Ray County, Missouri. It was in force for 4 hr. No storm report in the archive falls inside the area while it was in force.

The area

The outline the Iowa Environmental Mesonet reconstructed for it; the warning itself named whole counties.

The facts

Issued
Oct 4, 1998, 8:05 PM CDT (01:05 UTC)
Expired
Oct 5, 1998, 12:00 AM CDT
In force
4 hr
Issued by
NWS Kansas City, MO
Area
Whole counties; the outline is the Mesonet’s reconstruction

County Ray County, MO

The radar

The Pleasant Hill radar (KEAX), 62 km from the middle of the area, began a volume at 01:07 UTC, the scan nearest the moment this went out.

Open the radar archive at this moment

The archived warnings, watches and discussions in force at that minute are drawn over the scan, this one among them.

The nearest sounding before it

Topeka, KS (KTOP), launched 00:00Z, 1.1 hours before the alert went out and 143 km from the middle of its area. This is the routine balloon launch nearest before it, the air the forecaster had in hand, not a measurement taken for the alert.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 1998-10-05Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel. CAPE 0 joules per kilogram.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed.
HodographHodograph, Topeka, KS at 00:00Z on 1998-10-05The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -75 square meters per square second.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
No buoyant parcel
Mixed-layer LCL
1167 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-75 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
-237 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The text

As transmitted, in the capitals the NWS used until 2016.

000 
TTAA00 KMCI 050106
FFWMCI
MOC177-050500-

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY-PLEASANT HILL MO
805 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN PLEASANT HILL HAS ISSUED A

   * FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
     RAY COUNTY IN MISSOURI

   * UNTIL MIDNIGHT CDT

   * AT 805 PM CDT WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED 
THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCING EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINFALL ACROSS THE COUNTY. 
ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF UP TO 3 INCHES CAN BE EXPECTED THIS 
EVENING...RESULTING IN A SERIOUS THREAT OF FLASH FLOODING.

A FLASH FLOOD WARNING MEANS THAT FLOODING IS IMMINENT OR OCCURRING. 
IF YOU ARE IN THE WARNING AREA MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND IMMEDIATELY. 
RESIDENTS LIVING ALONG STREAMS AND CREEKS SHOULD TAKE IMMEDIATE 
PRECAUTIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY. DO NOT ATTEMPT TO CROSS 
SWIFTLY FLOWING WATERS OR WATERS OF UNKNOWN DEPTH BY FOOT OR BY 
AUTOMOBILE. IF YOUR VEHICLE STALLS, ABANDON IT IMMEDIATELY AND SEEK 
HIGHER GROUND.

TO REPORT SEVERE WEATHER HAVE THE NEAREST LAW ENFORCEMENT AGENCY
RELAY YOUR REPORT TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN
PLEASANT HILL.

BUNTING

LAT...LON 3923 9420 3923 9382 3951 9380 3949 9418

~

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before this flash flood warning went out, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Kansas City, MO wrote its last area forecast discussion before this flash flood warning went out at Oct 4, 3:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 5 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Oct 4, 3:00 PM CDT, 5 hours 5 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
300 PM CDT SUN OCT 4 1998

WL NEED FFW TNGT FOR LRG PTN OF CWA. HVY RAINS FROM MRNG MCS OVR W
CNTRL MO/E CNTRL KS AND MORE HVY RAIN ON THE WAY FM DVLPG KS CNVTN
POINT TO POTNL FLASH FLOOD PROBLEMS TNGT. OTHR CONCERN IS
POSSIBILITY OF SVR. AMS RECOVERY THE BIG KEY IF WE CAN GET SVR IN
CWA TNGT. 18Z LAPS DATA HAS INSTABILITY GRADIENT HUGGING EXTRM SRN
BORDER OF CWA. MCS HAS REINFORCED WARM FRONT...KEEPING IT FROM
MAKING A NORTHWARD MOVE SO FAR. EXPCT THIS BNDRY TO MOVE SLOWLY
NORTH TNGT AND PERHAPS BEST SVR THREAT CONFINED TO NR THIS BNDRY.
HOWEVR...STG DYNAMIC SYS WILL LIKELY GET (IN THE WORDS OF STL FCSTR)
"RIP SNORTING SQUALL LINE" TO MOVE ACROSS AREA LTR TNGT. LATEST WV
IMAGERY SHOWING THE STG MID/UPR LVL JET MAX PUSHING INTO CNTRL
PLAINS...WITH STG TSTMS RAPIDLY DVLPG OVR CNTL KS. WIND PROFILES
QUITE FAVORABLE FOR SVR WITH NEODESHA PROFILER SHOWING 50 KTS FROM
850 TO 500. NMRS WARNINGS NOW COMING IN FM KS AND NEB SO IT LOOKS
LIKE SVR OUTBREAK UNDERWAY.

LONGER TERM....ETA SEEMS TO FAST WITH MVG SYS EAST WHILE AVN MAYBE A
TAD TO SLOW. MAIN GIST AT THIS TIME IS TO KP PCPN GOING THROUGH
MONDAY...TAPERING OFF FM WEST TO EAST AND THEN BRINGING PCPN BACK
INTO THE FCST AS UPR LOW DUMBBELLS BACK INTO THE AREA. MRF SHOWING
UNSETTLED WX FOR EXTND PD

FCSTID = 54

.EAX...
MO...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES MOZ001>00R5...
MOZ011>014...MOZ020>022...MOZ028>030...MOZ037>038...MOZ043>045...
MOZ053>054.

KS...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR TONIGHT FOR ZONES KSZ025...KSZ057...
KSZ060...KSZ102>105.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Oct 4, 2:25 PM CDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
225 PM CDT SUN OCT 04 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0205 PM    WARRENSBURG               MO    1 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   JOHNSON                         FROM SPOTTER 4 NORTH
                                           AND 1 EAST OF WARRENSBURG
Local storm report, Oct 4, 2:25 PM CDT, 5 hours 40 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
225 PM CDT SUN OCT 04 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0205 PM    WARRENSBURG               MO    1 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   JOHNSON                         FROM SPOTTER 4 NORTH
                                           AND 1 EAST OF WARRENSBURG
Local storm report, Oct 4, 5:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
534 PM CDT SUN OCT 04 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0308 PM    LEES SUMMIT               MO    FLOOD
10/04/98   JACKSON                         PEOPLE EVACUATED FROM
                                           BASEMENT APARTMENTS IN
                                           LEES SUMMIT

0420 PM    LEES SUMMIT               MO    FLOOD
10/04/98   JACKSON                         WATER UP TO DOORS ON
                                           CARS ON 3RD STREET

0455 PM    2 E HIGGINSVILLE          MO    1.75 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   LAFAYETTE

0515 PM    CARROLLTON                MO    .75 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   CARROLL

0515 PM    CARROLLTON                MO    FLOOD
10/04/98   CARROLL                         WATER RUNNING 2 FEET
                                           DEEP OVER STREETS IN
                                           DOWNTOWN CARROLLTON
Local storm report, Oct 4, 5:34 PM CDT, 2 hours 31 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
534 PM CDT SUN OCT 04 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

0308 PM    LEES SUMMIT               MO    FLOOD
10/04/98   JACKSON                         PEOPLE EVACUATED FROM
                                           BASEMENT APARTMENTS IN
                                           LEES SUMMIT

0420 PM    LEES SUMMIT               MO    FLOOD
10/04/98   JACKSON                         WATER UP TO DOORS ON
                                           CARS ON 3RD STREET

0455 PM    2 E HIGGINSVILLE          MO    1.75 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   LAFAYETTE

0515 PM    CARROLLTON                MO    .75 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   CARROLL

0515 PM    CARROLLTON                MO    FLOOD
10/04/98   CARROLL                         WATER RUNNING 2 FEET
                                           DEEP OVER STREETS IN
                                           DOWNTOWN CARROLLTON
Local storm report, Oct 4, 7:26 PM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
726 PM CDT SUN OCT 04 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATDION....

0718 PM    GALLATIN                  MO    1 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   DAVIESS
Local storm report, Oct 4, 7:26 PM CDT, 39 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE KANSAS CITY/PLEASANT HILL MO
726 PM CDT SUN OCT 04 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATDION....

0718 PM    GALLATIN                  MO    1 INCH HAIL
10/04/98   DAVIESS

The office that day

Everything else NWS Kansas City, MO issued on the same UTC day.

IssuedProductOfficeCountiesLasted
Oct 4, 7:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXClay, Jackson4 hr
Oct 4, 7:13 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCaldwell, Daviess47 min
Oct 4, 7:36 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXGrundy39 min
Oct 4, 7:41 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXHarrison, Mercer49 min
Oct 4, 7:51 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXPutnam, Sullivan39 min
Oct 4, 9:04 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCarroll4 hr
Oct 4, 9:28 PM CDTSevere Thunderstorm WarningEAXCarroll, Lafayette, Ray47 min
Oct 4, 9:49 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXPlatte2 hr
Oct 4, 9:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXBuchanan3 hr
Oct 4, 9:56 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXAndrew3 hr
Oct 4, 10:12 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCass4 hr
Oct 4, 10:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXClay, Jackson, Platte4 hr
Oct 4, 11:57 PM CDTFlash Flood WarningEAXCarroll, Chariton, Ray4 hr

Nearby

Flash Flood Warnings in Missouri, 1998Every flash flood warning in 1998

Sources

The product and its follow-ups from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center text; the sounding from the Mesonet's radiosonde archive; radar from the NEXRAD Level II archive.