Severe Thunderstorm Warning 237, NWS Paducah, KY

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
130 PM CDT FRI JUN 19 1998

MAIN FORECAST CONCERN FOR TONIGHT IS CHANCE OF THUNDERSTORMS TOWARD
DAYBREAK.

LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS SHOWS WEAK BOUNDARY BETWEEN PAH AND STL.
ONLY HIGH CLOUDS VISIBLE ON NSAT OVER THE REGION...LOW CLOUDS MAINLY
OVER ARKANSAS. KPAH MAY BE TRYING TO SHOW WEST-EAST BOUNDARY UP NEAR
THE CARBONDALE AREA.

ANY THUNDERSTORMS THAT DO DEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON HEAT SHOULD
QUICKLY DIE OFF AROUND SUNSET LEAVING A MOSTLY CLEAR SKY. MODELS IN
GENERAL AGREEMENT KEEPING A STRONG SURFACE HIGH OVER THE
SOUTHEASTERN U.S. SEVERAL SHORT WAVES EJECT OUT OF THE CENTRAL AND
SOUTHERN PLAINS OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS AND MOVE UP THE RIDGE OVER
THE EASTERN HALF OF THE COUNTRY. THE NEXT SHORT WAVE WILL AFFECT THE
FORECAST AREA BY DAYBREAK WITH DECENT LIFT AND SUFFICIENT LOW LEVEL
MOISTURE. ATMOSPHERE SHOULD ONCE AGAIN BECOME QUITE UNSTABLE WITH
CAPES FORECAST TO6 BE AROUND 2000-2500 J/KG AND LIS OF -2 TO -6.

RAIN COOLED LOWS IN THE MID AND UPPER 60S WERE LOWER THAN MOS
GUIDANCE FROM YESTERDAY BUT SEE NO REASON DEVIATE MUCH.

ML

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1244 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1123 PM    SILVA                     MO   60 MPH TSTM GUST
06/19/98   WAYNE

1223 AM    POPLAR BLUFF              MO   55 MPH TSTM GUST
06/20/98   BUTLER                         CITIZEN REPORTS OF FUNNEL
                                          CLOUDS

1223 AM    POPLAR BLUFF              MO   .5 INCH HAIL
06/20/98   BUTLER

1235 AM    PUXICO                    MO   .5 INCH HAIL
06/20/98   STODDARD

1235 AM    PUXICO                    MO   60 MPH TSTM GUST
06/20/98   STODDARD

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1244 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION..... STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

1123 PM    SILVA                     MO   60 MPH TSTM GUST
06/19/98   WAYNE

1223 AM    POPLAR BLUFF              MO   55 MPH TSTM GUST
06/20/98   BUTLER                         CITIZEN REPORTS OF FUNNEL
                                          CLOUDS

1223 AM    POPLAR BLUFF              MO   .5 INCH HAIL
06/20/98   BUTLER

1235 AM    PUXICO                    MO   .5 INCH HAIL
06/20/98   STODDARD

1235 AM    PUXICO                    MO   60 MPH TSTM GUST
06/20/98   STODDARD

ILZ084>094-KYZ001>014-MOZ076-086-087-100-107>112-114-200900-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PADUCAH KY
1256 AM CDT SAT JUN 20 1998

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT...

A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 5 AM CDT...FOR ALL OF
SOUTHEAST MISSOURI...AND FOR THAT PART OF SOUTHERN ILLINOIS ALONG AND
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 13 FROM CARBONDALE TO MARION AND SHAWNEETOWN ILLINOIS.
IN KENTUCKY THE WATCH INCLUDES THOSE AREAS ALONG AND WEST OF A LINE
FROM MORGANFIELD...TO PRINCETON AND CADIZ KENTUCKY.

THUNDERSTORMS...SOME SEVERE WITH DAMAGING WIND AND LARGE HAIL...WILL
OVERSPREAD THE REMAINDER OF SOUTHEAST MISSOURI AND INTO PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST ILLINOIS THROUGH ABOUT 2 AM AND ACROSS THE REMAINDER OF
SOUTHERN ILLINOIS AND WESTERN KENTUCKY BETWEEN 2 AM AND 5 AM CDT.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR THE LATEST WARNINGS AND STATEMENTS
ON THIS DEVELOPING WEATHER SITUATION.  BE PREPARED TO QUICKLY MOVE TO
THE SAFEST PART OF YOUR HOME IF A WARNING IS ISSUED FOR YOUR AREA.
CAMPERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO MOVE QUICKLY TO A DESIGNATED SHELTER AREA
IF THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.

SHANKLIN