Severe Thunderstorm Warning 117, NWS Norman, OK

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
355 PM CDT TUE APR 14 1998

LATEST ANALYSIS SHOWS SURFACE LOW DEEPENING OVER WEST CENTRAL KANSAS
WITH A DRYLINE EXTENDING SOUTHWARD THROUGH WESTERN OKLAHOMA AND
WESTERN NORTH TEXAS. ONE SEVERE STORM JUST RECENTLY DEVELOPED OVER
KIOWA COUNTY IN AREA JUST SOUTH OF DRYLINE BULGE AND ENHANCED LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE. EXPECT SVR STORMS TO CONTINUE DEVELOPING
ALONG THE DRYLINE THROUGH THE LATE AFTERNOON EARLY EVENING AS
DRYLINE SLOWLY ADVANCES INTO DEEPENING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE AND
INCREASINGLY UNSTABLE AIRMASS. LATEST PROFILER PLOTS SHOW DECENT LOW
LEVEL VEERING SO ROTATING STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE. THUS...SPC HAS
AREAS EAST OF THE DRYLINE IN A TORN BOX UNTIL 03Z.

MODELS ARE HANDLING LOW LEVEL MOISTURE BETTER THAN YESTERDAY...WHEN
THE DRYLINE WAS PROGGED TO BE WELL EAST OF OKC AT 00Z. SUPRISED TO
SEE THAT THE NGM HAD THE BEST SFC LOW LOCATION AT 18Z THIS RUN.
HOWEVER...PREFER ETA DRYLINE PLACEMENT. EITHER WAY...SFC FEATURES
WILL PROGRESS QUICKLY EASTWARD ONCE SHORTWAVE NEAR THE FOUR CORNERS
MOVES ACROSS SRN KS/NRN OK LATER TONIGHT. WILL HAVE STORMS ENDING
OVER ALL BUT THE SOUTHEAST/NORTHEAST BY MIDNIGHT

WILL LIKELY HAVE SOME WRAP-AROUND MOISTURE TO DEAL OVER THE NORTH
ON WED. TEMP FORECASTS WILL BE RATHER CHALLENGING DEPENDING ON HOW
FAR SOUTH WRAP-AROUND OCCURS. FOR NOW WILL SOCK IN THE NRN 2 TIERS
OF COUNTIES AND GO WITH TEMPS AT LEAST A COUPLE OF CATEGORIES BELOW
MOS. WILL GRADUALLY INCREASE CLOUDS OVER THE REST OF THE AREA WED
NIGHT.  WILL ALSO HAVE LOW POPS NORTH ON WED AND SPREAD SOUTHWARD
WED NIGHT AND THURS.

EXTENDED PROGGS SEEM CONSISTENT AS FAR AS THICKNESS/TEMPS AS
CANADIAN HIGH BUILDS INTO THE SRN PLAINS...BUT ARE INCONSISTENT ON
HANDLING OF MOISTURE. THEREFORE WILL INCLUDE LOW CONFIDENCE POPS FOR
FRIDAY THRU SUNDAY.

HAVE RUN ZONES ON ICWF AND WILL DO QUICK EDITS AND SEND SHORTLY.

FCSTID = 17/MMT
OKC   55  71  45  62 /  40  20  20  20
HBR   52  74  46  64 /  30   0  10  20
SPS   55  75  47  65 /  30   0  10  20
GAG   47  58  40  58 /  10  30  20  20
PNC   52  62  45  60 /  50  30  20  20
DUA   58  76  49  65 /  50  20  10  20

.OUN...
OK...NONE.
TX...NONE.

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA
450 PM CDT TUE APR 14 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

449 PM     8 NW APACHE                OK   1.5 INCH HAIL.
4/14/98    CADDO

449 PM     8 NW APACHE                OK   60 MPH THUNDERSTORM
4/14/98    CADDO                           WIND GUSTS.

TL

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA
515 PM CDT TUE APR 14 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

456 PM     2 W CYRIL                  OK   1.00 INCH HAIL.
4/14/98    CADDO

500 PM     1 NE NORGE                 OK   0.88 INCH HAIL.
4/14/98    GRADY

TL

<!doctype html>
<html lang="en">
<head>
  <meta charset="utf-8">
  <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1">
  <title>Service Notice</title>
  <link rel="stylesheet" href="index.css">
</head>
<body>
  <main class="wrap">
    <section class="card" role="status" aria-live="polite">
      <div class="status" id="status">Temporary Notice</div>
      <h1 id="headline">This service is currently unavailable.</h1>
      <p id="message1">
        The site you requested is temporarily down for maintenance or an unexpected outage.
      </p>
      <p id="message2">
        Please try again in a few minutes.
      </p>
      <p class="small" id="detail">
        If you are an administrator, restore upstream service and remove the redirect/fallback rule when normal operations resume.
      </p>
    </section>
  </main>
  <script src="index.js"></script>
</body>
</html>

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA
520 PM CDT TUE APR 14 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

515 PM     2 NE NINNEKAH              OK   1.25 INCH HAIL.
4/14/98    GRADY

TL

LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OKLAHOMA
535 PM CDT TUE APR 14 1998

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE   ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

525 PM     NINNEKAH                   OK   1.75 INCH HAIL.
4/14/98    GRADY

TL