Severe Thunderstorm Warning 85, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
318 AM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

00Z NGM DATA A WELCOME SIGHT FOR THIS FORECAST. H5 LOW MOVES NE TO NE
AR WITH SFC LOW LIFTING TO WRN KY BY 00Z MON. COLD FRONT SEEN IN
CURRENT SFC ANAL PUSHING OFF THE TX COAST AND SOON TO ENTER WRN MS.
KMOB LOOP SHOWS SQUALL LINE WITH VERY HEAVY RAIN ADVANCING EWD...SO
WILL KEEP FFW TODAY FOR NW FL AND AL COUNTIES GENERALLY EAST OF
INTERSTATE 65...AND WILL LIKELY DROP THIS LATER THIS MORNING AS LL
JET SHIFTS FURTHER EAST. WV SAT LOOP SHOWS PROMINENT DRY SLOT
ADVANCING RAPIDLY NEWD INTO TN/KY AND LESS QUICKLY INTO AL IN WAKE OF
SQUALL LINE.  NGM PROGS DEEP DRY AIR TO CONTINUE ADVECTING INTO CWA
THROUGH TODAY. EXPECT COLD FRONT TO DECELERATE TODAY AS SFC LOW LIFTS
NE WHICH PUT EXPECTED FROPA BY MIDDAY FOR WRN CWA AND EXIT ERN CWA
DURING THE MID AFT HOURS. PER COORD WITH BHM/SPC...THINKING IS THAT
SUFFICIENT LL MOISTURE WILL BE AVAILABLE WITH FRONT TO INITIATE
THUNDERSTORMS.  CONSIDERING COOL AND DEEP DRY AIR ALOFT AND STRONG
DYNAMICS ADVANCING INTO CWA THIS AFT...WILL KEEP SVR WORDING IN ZONES
FOR TODAY DESPITE ONLY MILD LL SHEAR. DRY CONDITIONS FINALLY ARRIVE
FOR TONIGHT AND SUN.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...HAVE ACTUALLY ATTAINED GALE CONDITIONS AT
DPI...BUT WINDS WILL SUBSIDE IN NEXT FEW HOURS AS SQUALL LINE
ADVANCES SLOWLY EASTWARD. WINDS ELSEWHERE WILL REMAIN IN SCA RANGE
THROUGH MON AS COLD FRONT PUSHES THROUGH TODAY SWITCHING WINDS TO THE
W AND THEN TO THE NW FOR TONIGHT.

MOB 72/43/56/33 6100  PNS 73/45/58/35 7100
DTS 70/48/61/38 +100  EVR 71/43/52/29 7100 29

ALZ053-055-061>064-081910-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1226 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THE TORNADO WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

     MOBILE...BALDWIN...CLARKE AND MONROE.

AT 1225 PM CST...MOBILE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD ENDED FOR THESE COUNTIES DUE TO A COLD
FRONT PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND USHERING IN DRIER AIR.

ALZ053-055-061>064-081910-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1226 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THE TORNADO WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

     MOBILE...BALDWIN...CLARKE AND MONROE.

AT 1225 PM CST...MOBILE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD ENDED FOR THESE COUNTIES DUE TO A COLD
FRONT PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND USHERING IN DRIER AIR.

ALZ051>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-FLZ001>006-091200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR
SOUTHWEST AL...NORTHWEST FL AND SOUTHEAST MS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1230 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES MOVE EASTWARD TOWARDS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND MOST OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA BY 100 PM AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATER THIS EVENING.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME POSSIBLY
SEVERE CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR TORNADOES.

FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AS WATER IN FLOODED AREAS WILL BE
SLOW TO RECEDE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS IN SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SHOULD STAY ALERT AND BE PREPARED FOR
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

ALZ051>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-FLZ001>006-091200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR
SOUTHWEST AL...NORTHWEST FL AND SOUTHEAST MS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1230 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES MOVE EASTWARD TOWARDS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND MOST OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA BY 100 PM AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATER THIS EVENING.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME POSSIBLY
SEVERE CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR TORNADOES.

FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AS WATER IN FLOODED AREAS WILL BE
SLOW TO RECEDE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS IN SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SHOULD STAY ALERT AND BE PREPARED FOR
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING.