Flash Flood Warning 29, NWS Mobile, AL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
325 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

LATEST SFC ANALYSIS AND RADAR LOOPS SHOWING COLD FRONT OVR SW AL
NEAR MOB AND BALD COUNTIES EXTENDING N TO THE CENTR OF LOW HAS
STALLED SOMEWHAT DURING THE LAST HOUR ALLOWING UPPER LEVL VORT MAX
TO BECOME MORE COUPLED WITH BOUNDARY. LATEST GRIDDED DATA BOTH ETA
AND AVN SHOW INCREASED DESTABILIZATION W/ STRONG CAA ALOFT ALONG THE
FRONT AS UPPER LOW OVR THE MID SECTION OF THE COUNTRY CONTINUES TO
BECOMES MORE NEG TILTED. EXPECT THIS TREND TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
EVE AS FRONT EXITS EXTREME EASTERN SECTIONS OF THE FA BY OR SHORTLY
BEFORE 06Z TONIGHT. WITH THIS BELIEVE LIKELY TO CAT POPS SHOULD
CONTINUE THROUGH THIS EVE E OF A LINE FROM MOB BAY TO NORTHERN WILCOX
CO WORDED AS POSSIBLY SEVERE. WITH MOST AREAS FLOODED OUT E OF THIS
LINE ALSO BELIEVE FFW SHOULD REMAIN IN EFFECT UNTIL THIS TREND ENDS.
WILL ALSO UPDATE FLOOD WARNINGS FOR AREAS MENTIONED EARLIER. CURRENT
FCST LOOK TO GOOD FOR ATTM WITH HIGH TEMPS ONLY IN THE 50S FOR MOST
AREAS MON.

OVER THE COASTAL WATERS...HAVE NOT RECIEVED ANY REPORTS OF ANY CSTL
FLOODING NEAR THE SE PORTION OF MOB BAY THIS AFTERNOON SO WILL LET
CFW EXPIRED 2030Z. WENT WITH GALE CONDITIONS TONIGHT THOUGH BELIEVE
WINDS AND SEAS WILL GRADUALLY SUBSIDE MON CONTINUING MON NIGHT.

MOB 43/56/33/56 2000  PNS 45/58/35/58 5000
DTS 48/61/38/57 8100  EVR 43/52/29/54 7100 32

ALZ053-055-061>064-081910-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1226 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THE TORNADO WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

     MOBILE...BALDWIN...CLARKE AND MONROE.

AT 1225 PM CST...MOBILE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD ENDED FOR THESE COUNTIES DUE TO A COLD
FRONT PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND USHERING IN DRIER AIR.

ALZ053-055-061>064-081910-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1226 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THE TORNADO WATCH IS NO LONGER IN EFFECT FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES IN
SOUTHWEST ALABAMA...

     MOBILE...BALDWIN...CLARKE AND MONROE.

AT 1225 PM CST...MOBILE DOPPLER WEATHER RADAR INDICATED THAT THE RISK
OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS HAD ENDED FOR THESE COUNTIES DUE TO A COLD
FRONT PUSHING INTO SOUTHWEST ALABAMA AND USHERING IN DRIER AIR.

ALZ051>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-FLZ001>006-091200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR
SOUTHWEST AL...NORTHWEST FL AND SOUTHEAST MS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1230 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES MOVE EASTWARD TOWARDS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND MOST OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA BY 100 PM AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATER THIS EVENING.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME POSSIBLY
SEVERE CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR TORNADOES.

FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AS WATER IN FLOODED AREAS WILL BE
SLOW TO RECEDE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS IN SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SHOULD STAY ALERT AND BE PREPARED FOR
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING.

ALZ051>064-MSZ067-075-076-078-079-FLZ001>006-091200-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK FOR
SOUTHWEST AL...NORTHWEST FL AND SOUTHEAST MS
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOBILE AL
1230 PM CST SUN MAR 8 1998

THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE NORTHWEST
FLORIDA PANHANDLE AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA THROUGH EARLY
THIS EVENING.

A STRONG COLD FRONT CONTINUES MOVE EASTWARD TOWARDS THE REGION THIS
AFTERNOON MOVING THROUGH SOUTHEAST MISSISSIPPI AND MOST OF SOUTHWEST
ALABAMA BY 100 PM AND PARTS OF SOUTH CENTRAL ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST
FLORIDA INCLUDING THE ADJACENT COASTAL WATERS BY LATER THIS EVENING.
AHEAD OF THE FRONT NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME POSSIBLY
SEVERE CAN BE EXPECTED WITH LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING WINDS OR TORNADOES.

FLOOD WARNINGS AND FLASH FLOOD WATCHES WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THIS
AFTERNOON AND EARLY THIS EVENING AS WATER IN FLOODED AREAS WILL BE
SLOW TO RECEDE.

EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL AND STORM SPOTTERS IN SOUTH CENTRAL
ALABAMA AND NORTHWEST FLORIDA SHOULD STAY ALERT AND BE PREPARED FOR
SEVERE WEATHER AND FLOODING THROUGH THIS EVENING.