Severe Thunderstorm Warning 15, NWS Tampa Bay, FL

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY - RUSKIN, FL
948 AM EDT WED APR 23 1997

...SHORT DISCUSSION...
U/L TROF TO SWING THRU SE STATES TODAY AS COLD FRONT WEST OF TLH MOVES
TO THE SE. SQUALL LINE AHEAD OF FRONT ACROSS NORTH HALF CWA WILL COVER
WC FL BY NOON AND REACH SOUTH END CWA BY EARLY AFTERNOON.  COLD FRONT
LAGS BEHIND AND WILL BE MOVING INTO WC FL THIS AFTERNOON.  ATMOS SOUTH
OF FRONT UNSTABLE WITH MOISTURE EXPECTED TOl INCREASE.

RKR

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-504-505-231600-
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA RUSKIN FL
600 AM EDT WED APR 23 1997

        ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM JACKSONVILLE TO
25 MILES NORTHWEST OF CROSS CITY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA.  THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY AND WILL PUSH INTO LEVY COUNTY EARLY THIS
MORNING.  THE LINE WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE
MORNING...AND INTO THE FT MYERS AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE PENINSULA IS VERY UNSTABLE.  DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATES A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WITH WINDS AT 1000 FT FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AT 40 TO 50 MPH FEEDING DEEP TROPICAL AIR INTO THE LINE OF
STORMS.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...LARGE HAIL...POSSIBLE TORNADOES...VERY
HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

ALL RESIDENTS AND MARINERS PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD STAY
ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.  MARINERS MUST REACT
QUICKLY AND RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR WHEN THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.
ALL SKYWARN STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE
ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF ADVERSE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKzIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

OGLESBY

FLZ039-042-043-048>052-055>057-060>062-065-504-505-231600-
WEST CENTRAL AND SOUTHWEST FLORIDA THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA RUSKIN FL
600 AM EDT WED APR 23 1997

        ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS POSSIBLE TODAY...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS EXTENDED FROM JACKSONVILLE TO
25 MILES NORTHWEST OF CROSS CITY AND INTO THE NORTHEAST GULF OF
MEXICO.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WERE IN ADVANCE OF A STRONG COLD FRONT
MOVING ACROSS THE PANHANDLE OF FLORIDA.  THIS LINE OF STORMS WILL PUSH
SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE DAY AND WILL PUSH INTO LEVY COUNTY EARLY THIS
MORNING.  THE LINE WILL MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL FLORIDA BY LATE
MORNING...AND INTO THE FT MYERS AREA EARLY THIS AFTERNOON.

THE ATMOSPHERE OVER THE PENINSULA IS VERY UNSTABLE.  DOPPLER RADAR
INDICATES A STRONG LOW LEVEL JET WITH WINDS AT 1000 FT FROM THE
SOUTHWEST AT 40 TO 50 MPH FEEDING DEEP TROPICAL AIR INTO THE LINE OF
STORMS.  THE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING STRONG GUSTY
WINDS IN EXCESS OF 50 MPH...LARGE HAIL...POSSIBLE TORNADOES...VERY
HEAVY RAIN...AND FREQUENT LIGHTNING.

ALL RESIDENTS AND MARINERS PLANNING OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES SHOULD STAY
ALERT TO RAPIDLY CHANGING WEATHER CONDITIONS.  MARINERS MUST REACT
QUICKLY AND RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR WHEN THREATENING WEATHER APPROACHES.
ALL SKYWARN STORM SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT OFFICIALS ARE
ASKED TO RELAY ANY REPORTS OF ADVERSE WEATHER TO THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE OFFICE IN RUSKIN.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO FOR ADDITIONAL STATEMENTS AND
POSSIBLE WARNINGS AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

OGLESBY