Flash Flood Warning 31, NWS San Angelo, TX

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1029 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 1997

BOW ECHO STORMS WILL WARRANT MENTION OF SEVERE IN BOTH LOCALS. WITH
LOW FFG VALUES FROM PREVIOUS RAINS...WILL REQUEST FFA FOR FTW ZONES.
WILL UP POPS TO LIKELY. WITH SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATING CLEARING
SKIES BEHIND DEVELOPING MCS OVER THE AREA...WILL LOWER HIGHS ONLY
SLIGHTLY AT SJT AND A COUPLE CATEGORIES AT ABI. WILL MAKE SLIGHT
MODIFICATIONS TO WINZD DIRECTION. WILL UPDATE THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
SHORTLY TO ACCOMODATE LATEST SWODY1 UPDATE.

MO

TXZ049-053-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-090450-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
547 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 1997

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF A LINE
FROM OZONA TO MERTZON TO COLORADO CITY THROUGH THIS EVENING...

ABUNDANT MOISTURE REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS WEST CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY.
WIDELY SCATTERED SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAVE DEVELOPED DURING THE
MORNING ALONG A SURFACE TROUGH OVER FAR WEST TEXAS.  THESE
THUNDERSTORMS WILL MOVE NORTHEASTWARD AND MOVE INTO WEST CENTRAL
TEXAS TODAY. WITH AFTERNOON HEATING...THE ATMOSPHERE WILL BECOME
MODERATELY UNSTABLE. A FEW OF THE THUNDERSTORMS MAY REACH SEVERE
LEVELS THIS AFTERNOON...MAINLY WEST OF A LINE FROM OZONA TO MERTZON
TO COLORADO CITY WHERE THE INSTABILITY IS HIGHEST.  LARGE HAIL AND
DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THESE STORMS.  WIDELY
SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS WILL ALSO BE POSSIBLE OVER THE REST OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS THIS AFTERNOON.  WITH WEAK WINDS IN THE UPPER LEVELS
OF THE ATMOSPHERE...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO MOVE SLOWLY WHICH
COULD RESULT IN AREAS OF HEAVY RAINFALL AND LOCALIZED FLOODING.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION MAY BE REQUIRED. FOR THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS AND NEW
MEXICO OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSMAF. FOR THE SOUTH PLAINS... THE
WESTERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS... NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS... AND SOUTH
CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOKS SEE PRODUCTS LBBSPSLBB... OKCSPSOKC...
FTWSPSFTW... AND SATSPSSAT.
08

TXZ049-053-054-064>066-071>073-076>078-113-114-127-128-139-140-
154-155-168>170-090955-

WEST CENTRAL TEXAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN ANGELO TX
1057 AM CDT SUN JUN 8 1997

...THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WEST OF A
COLORADO CITY TO SAN ANGELO TO SONORA LINE...

...THERE IS A SLIGHT RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ACROSS THE
REMAINDER OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS...

A LINE OF STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL AFFECT MUCH OF WEST
CENTRAL TEXAS TODAY...CAPABLE OF PRODUCING LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND POSSIBLY TORNADOES. IN ADDITION...HEAVY RAINFALL RATES
IN EXCESS OF 2 INCHES PER HOUR WILL LIKELY CAUSE LOCALLIZED FLOODING.
THE THREAT OF FLOODING WILL BE GREATEST EAST OF A STAMFORD TO
SWEETWATER TO BALLINGER TO BRADY LINE WHERE PREVIOUS RAINS HAVE LEFT
THE GROUND NEARLY SATURATED.

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS CAN BE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP OVER THE
WESTERN HALF OF WEST CENTRAL TEXAS LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND THIS
EVENING AS SUNSHINE IS EXPECTED TO RETURN OVER THIS AREA DURING THE
AFTERNOON.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED. FOR THE SOUTHWEST TEXAS
AND NEW MEXICO OUTLOOK SEE PRODUCT LBBSPSMAF. FOR THE SOUTH
PLAINS... THE WESTERN PARTS OF NORTH TEXAS... NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS...
AND SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS OUTLOOKS SEE PRODUCTS LBBSPSLBB...
OKCSPSOKC... FTWSPSFTW... AND SATSPSSAT.

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