Flash Flood Warning 79, NWS Corpus Christi, TX

COASTAL BEND FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
320 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 1997

ANOTHER ACTIVE START TO THE SHIFT WITH TWO WARNING ISSUED ALREADY AND
MORE LIKELY TO FOLLOW.  ANOTHER DAY ON FRI OF CONTINUOUS RAINFALL
WITH GENERAL 2 TO 4 INCH AMOUNTS AND MORE FLOODING.  KCRP 88D REF
SHOWS A BIT OF A BREAK WITH RAINFALL LIMITED TO THE CRP REGION AND A
FEW SURROUNDING COUNTIES AND OTHER RAINFALL JUST N OF OUR CWA FROM
PSX NWRD.  MOVMT CONTINUES TO THE NE AT 15 TO 20 MPH.  OFFSHORE HAS
LESS ACTIVITY THIS AM THEN WE HAVE SEEN IN SEVERAL DAYS.

THIS BREAK IS MUCH NEEDED BUT WILL NOT LAST LONG AS SFC TROF REMAINS
FROM CRP SWRD TO NR MFE/HRL.  WILL CONTINUE TO HOLD ONTO FFW THRU
TODAY AND THE CFW.  NOT MUCH TIME TO INGEST NEW MODEL DATA THIS
MORNING.  CROSS SECTIONS HAVE PLENTY OF MOISTURE AND UVM.  ETA SEEMS
TO BE DOING THE BEST JOB WITH THIS EVENT.  NEW VORT MAX IS MOVG N
FROM MEX AND SHD BE INTO THE LOWER VALLEY LATE TODAY.  A STRONGER
VORT MAX APPROACHES OUT OF NE MEX BY 00Z MON.  THESE FEATURES WILL
KEEP PCPN GOING.  WNDS ARE IN THE PROCESS OF BECMG SELY.  IT IS A
SLOW PROCESS THOUGH!  WITH THE APPROACH OF THE WEST COAST SYSTEM BY
EARLY NEXT WEEK...SE WNDS WILL INCREASE BY SUN.  FWC HAS 31 KTS BY
AFTERNOON.  H85 WNDS ARE 30 TO 45 KTS THRU 48 HRS. BY 12Z SUN LLJ OF
50 KTS IS IN PLACE.  WITH THE WNDS BECMG MORE SE COASTAL FLOODING
WILL BEGIN TO DIMINISH.  BEST MOISTURE CONVERGENCE FROM ADAP PRODUCTS
THIS AM WAS NOTED IN THE FA AND POINTS JUST TO THE N.  THIS SEEMS TO
BE WHERE MOST OF THE PCPN IS AT THIS TIME.  AS TROF SHIFTS INLAND
LATER TODAY PCPN MAY BEGIN TO DECREASE ALONG THE COASTAL REGIONS.
LATER SHIFTS WILL HAVE TO MAKE THE CHGS WHERE THEY ARE NEEDED.

AFTER TALKING WITH EWX FEEL GALE WARNINGS CAN BE DROPPED ON THE CWF.
SCA WILL STILL BE IN PLACE.

TODAY...CLDY WITH AN 80% CHC OF RW/TRW CRP/VCT...HEAVY RAINFALL AND
FLOODING ARE POSSIBLE.  LRD...MOSTLY CLDY WITH A 50% CHC RW/TRW.  SE
WNDS 15 TO 20 MPH.

TONIGHT...CLDY WITH A 60% CHC OF RW/TRW CRP/VCT.  LRD...MOSTLY CLDY
WITH A 40% CHC OF RW/TRW.  SE WND 10 TO 15 MPH CRP/LRD.  VCT...SE WND
NR 10 MPH.

SUN...CLDY WITH A 60% CHC OF RW/TRW CRP/VCT...40% LRD.  SE WND 15 TO
25 MPH AND GUSTY.

CRP  TE  082/075  085/074  8/6/6
NGP      081/077  085/076
ALI  TE  082/075  087/073  8/6/6
LRD  EE  088/074  089/072  5/4/5
VCT  TE  081/074  084/071  8/6/6

MSL..73

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
445 AM CDT SAT OCT 11 1997

TIME(CDT)  .....CITY LOCATION.....STATE...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ....COUNTY LOCATION....

230 AM     CORPUS CHRISTI       TX   FLOODING
10/10/97   NUECES                    S STAPLES ST/FM 2444 AT OSO CREEK
                                     BRIDGE.

430 AM     5 SW BISHOP          TX   FLOODING
10/10/97   KLEBERG                   US HIGHWAY 77 NEAR KLEBERG-NUECES
                                     COUNTY LINE.