Tornado Warning 32, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
245 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

VERY BUSY MORNING.  FFA THAT STL AND COORDINATED WAS QUITE APPROPRIATE
AND WL LIKELY NEED TO GO INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SFC ANLYS REVEALS A VERY
MST AIR MASS WITH DEW POINTS IN CURRENT SGF DEW POINT 66.  WITH LLVL
AND GEOSTROPHIC WINDS DENOTING 30-40 KNOTS OF LLVL INFLOW FM S...RAIN
WL CONTINUE WITH AHEAD OF SHRTWV AND SFC CDFNT.

FCST PROB OF PD...TEMPS AND WX ON FRI...

ISENTROPIC LIFT IS VERY PRONOUNCED ON I296 AND I298 SFCS AND H7 UVV IS
IMPRESSIVE THAT TARGETS AREA THRU 48 HR PD.  STILL LIKE THE ETA AS IT
KEEPS ACTION FURTHER S...AND NGM HAS HIGH MSTR BIAS TO N AGAIN.

RECOMMENDATIONS...
SGF/JLN GRP...KP FFA FOR THIS AM AND GO INTO THIS AFTN.  PERIODS
OF SHOWERS AND TRW.  SOME WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.  TEMPS HOLDING
AROUND 70.  S WINDS 15-25 MPH.
COU GRP...PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME MAY CONTAIN
BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.  HIGH NEAR 65.

CCF INFO
SGF TT 070/058 062/055 060 04+77
JLN TT 070/057 063/054 062 04+77

GORDON

MOZ090-094-260835-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
232 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR WESTERN GREENE AND
LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM...
...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FOR GREENE COUNTY UNTIL 5AM...
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY UNTIL 4AM...

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CHANUTE TO SPRINGFIELD WAS MOVING
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF OVER 1 INCH IS
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS MOVE TO A NEVADA TO LEBANON LINE BY 330 AM.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A
STORM APPROACHES.  MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR REDUCED
VISIBILITIES DURING DOWNPOURS OF RAIN.  STREETS MAY FLOOD QUICKLY.

TAGGART/SHUMWAY

MOZ090-094-260855-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
254 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EXPIRED FOR WESTERN GREENE AND LAWERENCE
COUNTIES...
FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN BARRY...AND NEWTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 4AM...
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FOR GREENE...DADE...AND POLK COUNTIES
UNTIL 5AM...

LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM CHANUTE KANSAS TO SPRINGFIELD
CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH AND WILL BE LOCATED FROM A NEVADA
TO LEBANON LINE BY 330AM.

NICKEL HAIL WAS REPORTED IN ASH GROVE AT 228AM...ALSO VERY HEAVY RAIN
WITH AMOUNTS OF 1 INCH BETWEEN 130AM AND 230AM IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
GREENE COUNTY.

SHUMWAY

MOZ093-094-102-261005-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
404 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN BARRY...SOUTHERN LAWRENCE...AND
NEWTON COUNTIES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED ALONG WITH 4 ADDITIONAL
COUNTIES UNTIL 10AM.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS MORNING FOR MOST OF
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI...

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SOUTHWEST AND
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES
SINCE MIDNIGHT HAVE FALLEN FROM NEWTON TO LAWRENCE COUNTIES. THE HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

MANY ROADS WERE COVERED WITH WATER IN SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY
WITH NUMEROUS STRANDED CARS. ALSO MANY STREAMS AND CREEKS WERE BANKFULL.
AS A RESULT THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE CONTINUED ACROSS A LARGE
SECTION OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI.

SHUMWAY

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

THE FOLLOWING OUTLOOK CONTAINS INFORMATION FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS   BOURBON     CHEROKEE   CRAWFORD

IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI

BARRY           DALLAS        LACLEDE        OREGON         STONE
BARTON          DENT          LAWRENCE       OZARK          TANEY
BENTON          DOUGLAS       MARIES         PHELPS         TEXAS
CAMDEN          GREENE
                              MCDONALD       POLK           VERNON
CEDAR           HICKORY       MILLER         PULASKI        WEBSTER
CHRISTIAN       HOWELL        MORGAN         SHANNON        WRIGHT
DADE            JASPER        NEWTON         ST CLAIR

...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND MAY
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TODAY...

A COLD FRONT FROM KANSAS CITY TO OKLAHOMA CITY AND A WARM FRONT FROM
SEDALIA TO BRANSON CONTINUE TO TRIGGER EXTENSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE
AREA.  STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONTS WILL TRANSPORT
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO.

IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ENHANCE THE LIFTING OF THIS
MOIST AIR ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS TO PRODUCE
EXTENSIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN THREAT WITH ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY IS HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FLASH
FLOODING.  THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS REPORTS OF STREAMS AND CREEKS OUT
OF THEIR BANKS AND FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING.
THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS MAINLY SOUTH OF AN
INTERSATE 44 LINE THRU MID AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES COULD OCCUR TODAY.  IF YOU LIVE IN A
LOW LYING AREA...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.  EVERYONE IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS
AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI NEEDS TO LISTEN TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR THIS STATION FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IS VERY COLD CANADIAN AIR...WHICH WILL
DRASTICALLY DROP TEPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN KANSAS HAVE DROPPED 20 TO 40
DEGREES FROM 24 HOURS AGO.  TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE
50S THURSDAY TONIGHT.

DUE TO THE HILLY TERRAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...MANY AREAS AT THE
BOTTOM OF THESE HILLS FREQUENTLY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING DURING HEAVY
RAINFALL EVENTS.  MOST FLOODING DEATHS OCCUR WHEN TRYING TO DRIVE
ACROSS WATER COVERING THE ROADWAYS AND LOW WATER BRIDGES.  WHEN
FLOODED...THESE AREAS MUST BE AVOIDED!!!

GORDON