Flash Flood Warning 32, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
245 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

VERY BUSY MORNING.  FFA THAT STL AND COORDINATED WAS QUITE APPROPRIATE
AND WL LIKELY NEED TO GO INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SFC ANLYS REVEALS A VERY
MST AIR MASS WITH DEW POINTS IN CURRENT SGF DEW POINT 66.  WITH LLVL
AND GEOSTROPHIC WINDS DENOTING 30-40 KNOTS OF LLVL INFLOW FM S...RAIN
WL CONTINUE WITH AHEAD OF SHRTWV AND SFC CDFNT.

FCST PROB OF PD...TEMPS AND WX ON FRI...

ISENTROPIC LIFT IS VERY PRONOUNCED ON I296 AND I298 SFCS AND H7 UVV IS
IMPRESSIVE THAT TARGETS AREA THRU 48 HR PD.  STILL LIKE THE ETA AS IT
KEEPS ACTION FURTHER S...AND NGM HAS HIGH MSTR BIAS TO N AGAIN.

RECOMMENDATIONS...
SGF/JLN GRP...KP FFA FOR THIS AM AND GO INTO THIS AFTN.  PERIODS
OF SHOWERS AND TRW.  SOME WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.  TEMPS HOLDING
AROUND 70.  S WINDS 15-25 MPH.
COU GRP...PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME MAY CONTAIN
BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.  HIGH NEAR 65.

CCF INFO
SGF TT 070/058 062/055 060 04+77
JLN TT 070/057 063/054 062 04+77

GORDON

MOZ093-094-102-261005-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
404 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN BARRY...SOUTHERN LAWRENCE...AND
NEWTON COUNTIES HAVE BEEN EXTENDED ALONG WITH 4 ADDITIONAL
COUNTIES UNTIL 10AM.

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR THIS MORNING FOR MOST OF
SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI...

HEAVY RAIN CONTINUES TO FALL ACROSS SOUTHEAST KANSAS...SOUTHWEST AND
PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI.  RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 5 INCHES
SINCE MIDNIGHT HAVE FALLEN FROM NEWTON TO LAWRENCE COUNTIES. THE HEAVY
RAIN IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE.

MANY ROADS WERE COVERED WITH WATER IN SOUTHERN LAWRENCE COUNTY
WITH NUMEROUS STRANDED CARS. ALSO MANY STREAMS AND CREEKS WERE BANKFULL.
AS A RESULT THE FLASH FLOOD WARNING WILL BE CONTINUED ACROSS A LARGE
SECTION OF SOUTHWEST MISSOURI AND PORTIONS OF CENTRAL MISSOURI.

SHUMWAY

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261800-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
100 PM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

THE FOLLOWING OUTLOOK CONTAINS INFORMATION FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS   BOURBON     CHEROKEE   CRAWFORD

IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI

BARRY           DALLAS        LACLEDE        OREGON         STONE
BARTON          DENT          LAWRENCE       OZARK          TANEY
BENTON          DOUGLAS       MARIES         PHELPS         TEXAS
CAMDEN          GREENE
                              MCDONALD       POLK           VERNON
CEDAR           HICKORY       MILLER         PULASKI        WEBSTER
CHRISTIAN       HOWELL        MORGAN         SHANNON        WRIGHT
DADE            JASPER        NEWTON         ST CLAIR

...HEAVY RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING AND MAY
PRODUCE FLASH FLOODING...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TODAY...

A COLD FRONT FROM KANSAS CITY TO OKLAHOMA CITY AND A WARM FRONT FROM
SEDALIA TO BRANSON CONTINUE TO TRIGGER EXTENSIVE RAINFALL ACROSS THE
AREA.  STRONG SOUTHERLY WINDS AHEAD OF THE FRONTS WILL TRANSPORT
COPIOUS AMOUNTS OF MOISTURE FROM THE GULF OF MEXICO.

IN ADDITION AN UPPER LEVEL TROUGH WILL ENHANCE THE LIFTING OF THIS
MOIST AIR ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI AND SOUTHEAST KANSAS TO PRODUCE
EXTENSIVE SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS.

THE MAIN THREAT WITH ALL OF THIS ACTIVITY IS HEAVY RAINFALL...AND FLASH
FLOODING.  THERE HAVE BEEN NUMEROUS REPORTS OF STREAMS AND CREEKS OUT
OF THEIR BANKS AND FLOODING IN URBAN AREAS WILL INCREASE THIS MORNING.
THERE IS AN OUTSIDE CHANCE OF A FEW SEVERE STORMS MAINLY SOUTH OF AN
INTERSATE 44 LINE THRU MID AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO 4 INCHES COULD OCCUR TODAY.  IF YOU LIVE IN A
LOW LYING AREA...MOVE TO HIGHER GROUND.  EVERYONE IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS
AND SOUTHWEST AND SOUTH CENTRAL MISSOURI NEEDS TO LISTEN TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR THIS STATION FOR FURTHER UPDATES.

BEHIND THE COLD FRONT IS VERY COLD CANADIAN AIR...WHICH WILL
DRASTICALLY DROP TEPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON AND ESPECIALLY TONIGHT.
TEMPERATURES IN CENTRAL AND WESTERN KANSAS HAVE DROPPED 20 TO 40
DEGREES FROM 24 HOURS AGO.  TEMPERATURES ARE EXPECTED TO FALL INTO THE
50S THURSDAY TONIGHT.

DUE TO THE HILLY TERRAIN ACROSS SOUTHERN MISSOURI...MANY AREAS AT THE
BOTTOM OF THESE HILLS FREQUENTLY EXPERIENCE FLASH FLOODING DURING HEAVY
RAINFALL EVENTS.  MOST FLOODING DEATHS OCCUR WHEN TRYING TO DRIVE
ACROSS WATER COVERING THE ROADWAYS AND LOW WATER BRIDGES.  WHEN
FLOODED...THESE AREAS MUST BE AVOIDED!!!

GORDON

MOZ082-083-096>098-102>106-261810-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
809 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

...A TORNADO WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR 10 COUNTIES ACROSS EXTREME
SOUTHERN AND SOUTHWEST MISSOURI THRU 1 PM...

...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FOR TODAY...

THE STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A TORNADO WATCH FOR
BARRY...STONE...TANEY...OZARK...DOUGLAS...TEXAS...HOWELL...SHANNON
...DENT AND OREGON COUNTIES THRU 1 PM...

THE COMBINATION OF A COLD FRONT OVER EXTREME WESTERN MISSOURI AND A
WARM FRONT ACROSS CENTRAL MISSOURI AND AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL
CREATE THE ENVIRONMENT FOR SOME SEVERE WEATHER INCLUDING ISOLATED
TORNADOES.  IN ADDITION THE MAIN THREAT WITH THIS ACTIVITY WILL BE WITH
LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND FLASH FLOODING.

IF YOU ARE CAUGHT OUTSIDE...SEEK SHELTER IN A NEARBY REINFORCED
BUILDING.  AS A LAST RESORT...SEEK SHELTER IN A CULVERT...DITCH OR
LOW SPOT AND COVER YOUR HEAD WITH YOUR HANDS.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR LOCAL RADIO OR TV STATION
FOR LATER STATEMENTS OR WARNINGS CONCERNING THIS SEVERE WEATHER
SITUATION.

GORDON