Flash Flood Warning 28, NWS Springfield, MO

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
245 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

VERY BUSY MORNING.  FFA THAT STL AND COORDINATED WAS QUITE APPROPRIATE
AND WL LIKELY NEED TO GO INTO THIS AFTERNOON. SFC ANLYS REVEALS A VERY
MST AIR MASS WITH DEW POINTS IN CURRENT SGF DEW POINT 66.  WITH LLVL
AND GEOSTROPHIC WINDS DENOTING 30-40 KNOTS OF LLVL INFLOW FM S...RAIN
WL CONTINUE WITH AHEAD OF SHRTWV AND SFC CDFNT.

FCST PROB OF PD...TEMPS AND WX ON FRI...

ISENTROPIC LIFT IS VERY PRONOUNCED ON I296 AND I298 SFCS AND H7 UVV IS
IMPRESSIVE THAT TARGETS AREA THRU 48 HR PD.  STILL LIKE THE ETA AS IT
KEEPS ACTION FURTHER S...AND NGM HAS HIGH MSTR BIAS TO N AGAIN.

RECOMMENDATIONS...
SGF/JLN GRP...KP FFA FOR THIS AM AND GO INTO THIS AFTN.  PERIODS
OF SHOWERS AND TRW.  SOME WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN.  TEMPS HOLDING
AROUND 70.  S WINDS 15-25 MPH.
COU GRP...PERIODS OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS SOME MAY CONTAIN
BRIEF PERIODS OF HEAVY RAIN.  HIGH NEAR 65.

CCF INFO
SGF TT 070/058 062/055 060 04+77
JLN TT 070/057 063/054 062 04+77

GORDON

KSZ073-097-101-MOZ055>058-066>071-077>083-088>098-101>106-261115-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
1012 PM CDT WED SEP 25 1996

THE FOLLOWING OUTLOOK CONTAINS INFORMATION FOR THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

IN SOUTHEAST KANSAS   BOURBON     CHEROKEE   CRAWFORD

IN SOUTHWEST AND CENTRAL MISSOURI

BARRY           DALLAS        LACLEDE        OREGON         STONE
BARTON          DENT          LAWRENCE       OZARK          TANEY
BENTON          DOUGLAS       MARIES         PHELPS         TEXAS
CAMDEN          GREENE        MCDONALD       POLK           VERNON
CEDAR           HICKORY       MILLER         PULASKI        WEBSTER
CHRISTIAN       HOWELL        MORGAN         SHANNON        WRIGHT
DADE            JASPER        NEWTON         ST CLAIR

...HEAVY RAIN POTENTIAL THURSDAY ACROSS THE REGION...

LOW PRESSURE OVER WESTERN OKLAHOMA THIS EVENING WILL MOVE TO NORTHERN
MISSOURI BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON WITH THE ASSOCIATED COLD FRONT IN WESTERN
MISSOURI.

ABUNDANT MOISTURE WILL FLOW INTO THE REGION ON STRONG SOUTHEAST WINDS
AND AS A RESULT...HEAVY RAINS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE ENTIRE
REGION BY THURSDAY MORNING AND INTO THURSDAY EVENING. RAINFALL AMOUNTS
IN SOME LOCATION COULD BE OVER THREE INCHES.

FOR OVERNIGHT...LIGHT TO MODERATE SHOWER ACTIVITY CAN BE EXPECTED
ACROSS THE REGION WITH A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AND THE POTENTIAL
OF MORE THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

STAY TUNED TO THpIS STATION FOR FURTHER WEATHER UPDATES.  AN UPDATED
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK WILL BE ISSUED AT 6AM THURSDAY MORNING.

SHUMWAY

MOZ090-094-260835-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
232 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING CONTINUES FOR WESTERN GREENE AND
LAWRENCE COUNTIES UNTIL 245 AM...
...URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FOR GREENE COUNTY UNTIL 5AM...
...FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR LAWRENCE COUNTY UNTIL 4AM...

A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS FROM CHANUTE TO SPRINGFIELD WAS MOVING
TO THE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH. THESE STORMS ARE CAPABLE OF VERY HEAVY
RAINFALL AND WINDS UP TO 60 MPH. RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF OVER 1 INCH IS
POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. FLOODING OF LOW LYING AREAS WILL ALSO BE
POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS MOVE TO A NEVADA TO LEBANON LINE BY 330 AM.

BE ESPECIALLY CAUTIOUS AT NIGHT WHEN IT IS HARDER TO RECOGNIZE THE
DANGERS OF FLASH FLOODING.

IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS...MOVE TO A PLACE OF SHELTER IMMEDIATELY IF A
STORM APPROACHES.  MOTORISTS SHOULD REMAIN ALERT FOR REDUCED
VISIBILITIES DURING DOWNPOURS OF RAIN.  STREETS MAY FLOOD QUICKLY.

TAGGART/SHUMWAY

MOZ090-094-260855-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SPRINGFIELD MO
254 AM CDT THU SEP 26 1996

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING EXPIRED FOR WESTERN GREENE AND LAWERENCE
COUNTIES...
FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR NORTHERN LAWRENCE...SOUTHERN BARRY...AND NEWTON
COUNTIES UNTIL 4AM...
URBAN AND SMALL STREAM ADVISORY FOR GREENE...DADE...AND POLK COUNTIES
UNTIL 5AM...

LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS FROM CHANUTE KANSAS TO SPRINGFIELD
CONTINUED TO MOVE NORTHEAST AT 20 MPH AND WILL BE LOCATED FROM A NEVADA
TO LEBANON LINE BY 330AM.

NICKEL HAIL WAS REPORTED IN ASH GROVE AT 228AM...ALSO VERY HEAVY RAIN
WITH AMOUNTS OF 1 INCH BETWEEN 130AM AND 230AM IN PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST
GREENE COUNTY.

SHUMWAY