Flash Flood Warning 81, NWS Norman, OK

FPUS3 KOKC 090955
AFDOKC

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
455 AM CDT FRI JUN 9 1995

NO PCGRIDDS DATA AVBL DUE TO NETWORK PROBS...SO NOT MUCH IN THE WAY
OF FANCY STUFF TO LOOK AT.  ALSO WORKING WITH NEW ICWF...HOPEFULLY
ALL WILL TURN OUT RSNBLY WELL....

MAIN OUTFLOW BNDRY NOW ACRS SRN PT OF OK WL PROB BE FOCUS FOR CNVCTN
THIS AFTN.  HAVE SPLIT PCPN FOR TDA INTO ONGOING/THIS AFTN IN SVRL ZN
GRPS.  THE CRNT PCPN SHOULD DIE OUT BY NOON...THEN NEW CNVCTN WL LKLY
FORM AGAIN THIS AFTN OR EVE.

BLV ETA SFC PROG IS MOST RSNBL OF THE SET WITH ITS SMWHT MORE SLY
POSN OF THE LOW IN ERLY PDS.  XPCT HIGHLY UNSTABLE CONDS THIS
AFTN/EVE...SPCLY IN SW.  CAP WL PROB HOLD IN FAR S AND SW...SO WL GO
ONLY ABT 20 PCT THERE...BUT WL STILL MNTN PSBLTY OF SVR EVRYWHR.
SELS MDT RISK APPEARS RSNBL...AND WL ALSO ADD PSBLTY OF HVY RNFL IN
CNTRL AND N CNTRL OK.  CONSIDERED FF WATCH...BUT AM NOT CERTAIN ENUF
OF THE LOCATION OF HVY RNFL TNGT TO ACTUALLY GO FOR IT.  WL LET DAY
SHIFT RECONSIDER.

MODELS DRAG CDFNT THRU THE FA FRI NGT THRU SAT NGT.  PROXIMITY OF
HIGHLY HUMID CONDS IN LWR ATMOS ARGUES FOR MAINTAINING POPS INTO THE
EXTDD PDS...EVEN THO FNT WL PROB MAKE ITS WAY THRU MOST OF THE FA BY
SAT NGT.  XPCT PCPN IN NWRN OK TO BE MNLY RN SAT NGT AS COOL UPSLOPE
FLOW PERSISTS.

DID NOT GET A CHC TO LOOK AT ANYTHING BYND 48 HRS...SO WL LV EXTDD
PDS APPROX AS THEY WERE.

AM RUNNING W-A-Y BHD...AND OUR COMPUTERS DO NOT SEEM TO CARE.  XPCT
ZFP APPROX 510 AM AND OTHER PRODUCTS TO FOLLOW FAIRLY QUICKLY.

FCSTID = 23 = RS
OKC 86 66 80 62 / 80 60 40 40
HBR 90 65 85 63 / 60 60 30 30
SPS 93 68 86 64 / 20 20 30 30
GAG 78 55 80 53 / 40 40 20 30
PNC 85 68 78 60 / 50 40 20 30
DUA 91 71 85 68 / 20 20 30 40

.OK...NONE.
.TX...NONE.

OKZ004>053-TXZ083>090-090000-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
305 AM CDT FRI JUN 9 1995

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THbE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS. HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS STILL IKELY WITH
THE STORM.

MT

OKZ025-090815-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR TEXT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
305 AM CDT FRI JUN 9 1995

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THE STORM OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS STILL LIKELY
WITH THE STORM.

MT

OKZ025-090815-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR COUNTY CODES
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
305 AM CDT FRI JUN 9 1995

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS BnEEN CANCELLED.
THE OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW BELOW SEVERE
LIMITS. HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS STILL IKELY WITH
THE STORM.

MT

OKZ039-041-043-046>049-091015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
310 AM CDT FRI JUN 09 1995

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 591 HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE BEEN CLEARED FROM THE TORNADO WATCH:

STEPHENS...MURRAY...CARTER...JOHNSTON...COAL...ATOKA AND PUSHMATAHA.
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T

WTNT71KNHC/WTNT71 KNHC 090850
t

OKZ025-090815-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...CORRECTED FOR TEXT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
305 AM CDT FRI JUN 9 1995

THE SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS BEEN CANCrELLED.
THE STORM OVER EASTERN OKLAHOMA COUNTY HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW BELOW
SEVERE LIMITS. HOWEVER GUSTY WINDS AND HEAVY RAINFALL IS STILL LIKELY
WITH THE STORM.

MT

OKZ039-041-043-046>049-091015-

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE OKLAHOMA CITY OK
310 AM CDT FRI JUN 09 1995

THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 591 HAS BEEN CANCELLED.
THE FOxLLOWING COUNTIES HAVE BEEN CLEARED FROM THE TORNADO WATCH:

STEPHENS...MURRAY...CARTER...JOHNSTON...COAL...ATOKA AND PUSHMATAHA.
  _
SPEG