Severe Thunderstorm Warning 55, NWS Goodland, KS

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
915 AM MDT (1015 AM CDT) MON MAY 22 1995

AIR MASS REMAINS QUITE UNSTABLE...ESPECIALLY AT MID LEVELS...AS
INDICATED BY FREQUENT DEVELOPMENT OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE NORTHEAST TWO-THIRDS OF THE CWA.  LATEST KGLD
RELFECTIVITIES SHOW PRECIPITATION BEGINNING TO EXIT WITH PASSAGE OF
A WEAK 500 MB VORT LOBE...PROGGED BY THE 00Z ETA AT 12 HOURS.

WITH LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE IN EXCESS OF 3 G/KG/HR EXPECTED
AHEAD OF THE FRONT...AS SHOWN BY LOCAL MESOSCALE ANALYSIS...FEEL
THAT ADDITIONAL SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS COULD DEVELOP AT ANY TIME
OF THE DAY...ESPECIALLY LATER THIS MORNING OR EARLY AFTERNOON IN THE
PRESENCE OF SOME DIURNAL HEATING.  CURRENT FRONTAL POSITION
ACCORDING TO SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SEEMS TO BE JUST NORTH OF THE
NEBRASKA/KANSAS BORDER.

TEMPS AND POPS AS INDICATED IN CCF PORTION STILL SEEM REASONABLE.

GLD 068/045 57   HLC 072/052 57
CBK 069/048 57   MCK 067/049 67
TRB 074/049 57   5C0 067/044 67

VJN/ENTWISTLE

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT...FOR EVENTS ON 5/21/95
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
844 AM MDT (944 AM CDT) MON MAY 22 1995

TIME (MDT) ...CITY LOCATION...     STATE  ...EVENT/REMARKS...
           ...COUNTY LOCATION.

 1440      1/2W PARKS                NE   NICKEL HAIL (0.88 INCH)
 5/21/95   DUNDY

 1520      2N MAX                    NE   QUARTER HAIL (1.00 INCH)
 5/21/95   DUNDY

 1550      5S PALISADE               NE   QUARTER HAIL (1.00 INCH)
 5/21/95   HITCHCOCK

 1935      TRENTON                   NE   GOLFBALL HAIL (1.75 INCH)
 5/21/95   HITCHCOCK

 1938      TRENTON                   NE   QUARTER TO GOLFBALL HAIzL
 5/21/95   HITCHCOCK                      (1.00 TO 1.75 INCH)

ENTWISTLE

COZ090>092-NEZ079>081-KSZ001>004-013>016-027>029-041-042-230600-

HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE GOODLAND KS
1050 AM MDT (1150 AM CDT) MON MAY 22 1995

THIS OUTLOOK PERTAINS TO THE FOLLOWING COUNTIES

CHEYENNE CO   CHEYENNE KS   DECATUR KS     DUNDY NE        GOVE KS
GRAHAM KS     GREELEY KS    HITCHCOCK NE   KIT CARSON CO   LOGAN KS
NORTON KS     RAWLINS KS    RED WILLOW NE  SHERIDAN KS     SHERMAN KS
THOMAS KS     WALLACE KS    WICHITA KS     YUMA CO

SYNOPSIS:

A COLD FRONT WILL MOVE SLOWLY ACROSS THE AREA THIS AFTERNOON AND
TONIGHT.  WITH A MOIST AND UNSTABLE AIRMASS IN PLACE OVER THE AREA...
THIS FRONT WILL TRIGGER THUNDERSTORMS IN THE UNSTABLE AIR.  SOME OF
THESE STORMS WILL BE SEVERE...ESPECIALLY SOUTH AND EAST OF A TRIBUNE
TO GOODLAND TO HILL CITY LINE.

ANOTHER CONCERN IS THE POSSIBILITY OF FLASH FLOODING LATE THIS
AFTERNOON AND OVERNIGHT.  SOILS ARE WET ACROSS MOST OF THE TRI-STATE
AREA...AND THE POTENTIAL FOR HEAVY RAIN EXISTS ACROSS NORTHWEST
KANSAS AND SOUTHWEST NEBRASKA.  PERSONS NEAR
WASHES...CREEKS...AND RIVERS SHOULD BE PREPARED TO SEEK HIGHER GROUND
IF FLOODING OCCURS.  NOTIFY LAW ENFORCEMENT OR THE WEATHER SERVICE
AFTER YOU ARE OUT OF HARMS WAY.

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS LIKELY...ESPECIALLY EAST OF HIGHWAY 27 AND
SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 24.

ENTWISTLE