Tornado Warning 1, NWS Lubbock, TX

TXZ007>018-

WEST TEXAS THUNDERSTORM OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
625 AM CST MON MAR 29 1993

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS...THE NORTHEASTERN
THIRD OF THE PERMIAN BASIN...ALL OF THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS...AND ALL OF
THE CONCHO VALLEY.  SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS A SLIGHT RISK
AREA WHICH ENCOMPASSES VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE REMAINDER OF WEST TEXAS EAST
OF THE MOUNTAINS.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM WAS MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
THIS MORNING...HEADING FOR WEST TEXAS.  AT THE SAME TIME...DEEP LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WAS MOVING TOWARD WEST TEXAS FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST.
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND VERY WARM AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL LEAD TO VERY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD AIR IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE...WILL RESULT
IN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE MODERATE AND SLIGHT RISK
AREAS.

AS A DRYLINE BEGINS TO MOVE OUT OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON...HELPING TO SET OFF THUNDERSTORMS...THIS INSTABILITY
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.  IN
ADDITION...THE WINDS IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXPECTED
TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES.  CONSIDERING THE LARGE
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...LARGE AND INTENSE
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

ALL PERSONS IN AND NEAR THE MODERATE AND SLIGHT RISK AREAS ARE URGED TO
REVIEW SAFETY RULES AND LISTEN TO NOAA RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR
TELEVISION FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WATCHES OR WARNINGS. THIS
IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION FOR WEST TEXAS.

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE RISK AREAS SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT FOR LIKELY ACTIVATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

TXZ007>018-291845

SPECIAL WEATHER STATEMENT...SEVERE WEATHER OUTLOOK
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
625 AM CST MON MAR 29 1993

THERE IS A MODERATE RISK OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENING
ACROSS THE EASTERN TWO-THIRDS OF THE SOUTH PLAINS...THE NORTHEASTERN
THIRD OF THE PERMIAN BASIN...ALL OF THE LOW ROLLING PLAINS...AND ALL OF
THE CONCHO VALLEY.  SURROUNDING THE MODERATE RISK AREA IS A SLIGHT RISK
AREA WHICH ENCOMPASSES VIRTUALLY ALL OF THE REMAINDER OF WEST TEXAS EAST
OF THE MOUNTAINS.

A STRONG UPPER LEVEL STORM WAS MOVING EASTWARD THROUGH SOUTHEAST ARIZONA
THIS MORNING...HEADING FOR WEST TEXAS.  AT THE SAME TIME...DEEP LOW
LEVEL MOISTURE WAS MOVING TOWARD WEST TEXAS FROM THE SOUTH AND EAST.
ABUNDANT SUNSHINE AND VERY WARM AIR IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE
ATMOSPHERE WILL LEAD TO VERY WARM SURFACE TEMPERATURES THIS AFTERNOON.
THIS...COMBINED WITH VERY COLD AIR IN THE UPPER ATMOSPHERE...WILL RESULT
IN EXTREMELY UNSTABLE CONDITIONS OVER THE MODERATE AND SLIGHT RISK
AREAS.

AS A DRYLINE BEGINS TO MOVE OUT OF EASTERN NEW MEXICO INTO WEST TEXAS
THIS AFTERNOON...HELPING TO SET OFF THUNDERSTORMS...THIS INSTABILITY
WILL LIKELY LEAD TO LARGE HAIL AND STRONG DAMAGING WINDS.  IN
ADDITION...THE WINDS IN THE LOWER LEVELS OF THE ATMOSPHERE ARE EXPECTED
TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THE DEVELOPMENT OF TORNADOES.  CONSIDERING THE LARGE
DEGREE OF INSTABILITY EXPECTED THIS AFTERNOON...LARGE AND INTENSE
TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE.

ALL PERSONS IN AND NEAR THE MODERATE AND SLIGHT RISK AREAS ARE URGED TO
REVIEW SAFETY RULES AND LISTEN TO NOAA RADIO OR COMMERCIAL RADIO OR
TELEVISION FOR LATER STATEMENTS AND POSSIBLE WATCHES OR WARNINGS. THIS
IS A POTENTIALLY DANGEROUS WEATHER SITUATION FOR WEST TEXAS.

SPOTTERS AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT PERSONNEL ACROSS THE RISK AREAS SHOULD
REMAIN ALERT FOR LIKELY ACTIVATION LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING.

TXZ001>012-291830-

SEVERE WEATHER STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LUBBOCK TX
1125 AM CST MON MAR 29 1993

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING IN EFFECT FOR HALE COUNTY UNTIL 1230
   PM CST...

AT 1115 AM THUNDERSTORMS WERE DEVELOPING RAPIDLY ACROSS THE SOUTH
PLAINS OF WEST TEXAS. THESE STORMS WERE INCREASING IN INTENSITY ARE
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN...GENERALLY SMALL HAIL AND
GUSTY SURFACE WINDS.

PEA TO GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL WAS REPORTED IN THE COMMUNITY OF
PLAINVIEW AT 1115 AM.

THE AIRMASS OVER WEST TEXAS IS VERY UNSTABLE AND UNSETTLED. THIS
SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION IS EXPECTED TO DETERIORATE THAN GET
BETTER AS THE DAY PROGRESSES.

STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOU(R LOCAL TV FOR UPDATES ON
THIS SEVERE WEATHER SITUATION.