Alert archive / Arizona / Coconino County / Severe Thunderstorm Warnings

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings in Coconino County, Arizona, 2011

32 severe thunderstorm warnings in 2011. An alert counts here when it covered this county. The archive of severe thunderstorm warnings reaches back to 1986.

Coconino County and its neighbors

Each county as a circle sized by its count in 2011. Tap one for its archive.

Severe Thunderstorm Warnings
32
Busiest month
September28 severe thunderstorm warnings
Busiest day
September 12, 201111 severe thunderstorm warnings

Over time

By month

Warning verification

How often warnings here had a storm report inside them, and how much warning the reports had.

4 of 32 severe thunderstorm warnings covering Coconino County in 2011 had a qualifying storm report inside them; 8 of 9 hail, wind and damage reports fell inside a warning, on average 16 minutes after it went out.

Coconino County, 2011

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
Severe thunderstorm warnings32488%989%16 min

Each office's whole area, 2011

WarningsWith a reportFalse alarm ratioReportsInside a warningMean lead time
NWS Flagstaff, AZ: severe thunderstorm warnings67888%1771%14 min

An office's figures cover every county it serves, including across state lines.

Verified by the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's Cow, which matches each storm-based warning with the local storm reports inside its polygon while it was in force, within 15 km of its edge: a tornado warning counts as verified on a tornado report, a severe thunderstorm warning on hail of 1 inch or more, a gust of 58 mph or more, or wind damage, a flash flood warning on a flash flood report. The false alarm ratio is the share of warnings with no such report; "inside a warning" is the probability of detection, the share of reports that fell inside one; lead time runs from the warning's issue to each report inside it, counting zero for a report that came first. A warning with no report is not proof nothing happened: reports come from spotters, the public and damage surveys, and are thin where few people live.

The alerts

Every alert, in the order issued. Times are local, Mountain Time. Each opens its own page with the text, the map, the radar and the sounding.

IssuedProductOfficeLasted
Jul 3, 5:28 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ32 min
Jul 3, 5:52 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ23 min
Jul 25, 5:40 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ35 min
Sep 9, 1:36 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ39 min
Sep 9, 2:19 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ41 min
Sep 10, 12:56 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ34 min
Sep 11, 1:21 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ24 min
Sep 11, 2:03 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ27 min
Sep 11, 2:30 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ30 min
Sep 11, 6:48 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ27 min
Sep 12, 5:56 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ34 min
Sep 12, 6:28 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ32 min
Sep 12, 7:00 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ30 min
Sep 12, 12:38 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ22 min
Sep 12, 1:00 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ30 min
Sep 12, 1:24 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ21 min
Sep 12, 1:46 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ29 min
Sep 12, 1:54 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ36 min
Sep 12, 2:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ24 min
Sep 12, 3:08 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ22 min
Sep 13, 4:45 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ30 min
Sep 13, 5:26 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ34 min
Sep 14, 11:57 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ33 min
Sep 14, 12:13 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ32 min
Sep 14, 12:48 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ27 min
Sep 14, 1:10 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ21 min
Sep 14, 1:12 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ21 min
Sep 14, 1:22 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ23 min
Sep 14, 1:45 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ18 min
Sep 14, 2:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ24 min
Sep 14, 2:06 PM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ24 min
Nov 21, 4:00 AM MSTSevere Thunderstorm WarningFGZ30 min

The busiest days

Days with the most alerts issued, by UTC date.

Nearby

Alerts in force nowTornadoes on recordForecastThe radar archive20102012

Sources

National Weather Service watches, warnings, advisories and statements from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's VTEC archive, which reconstructs tornado, severe thunderstorm, flash flood and marine warnings back to 1986 from the NWS text archive. Storm Prediction Center watches and mesoscale discussions from SPC's archive through the Mesonet. County centers from the US Census Bureau. Warning verification from the Mesonet's Cow. Rebuilt daily.