Tornadoes · United States · Virginia · 2026

EF0 tornado, Page and Rappahannock counties, Virginia, July 21, 2026

This EF0 tornado ran 2.3 miles across Page and Rappahannock counties on July 21, 2026, touching down at 8:45 PM EDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody.

Preliminary. This is NWS LWX's damage survey, filed in the Damage Assessment Toolkit as Thornton Gap. The rating, the path and the casualties are the survey's and can change while it is revised. The Storm Prediction Center compiles the official record of 2026 from these surveys and publishes it in the spring of 2027; this page moves to that tornado's permanent address when it does.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The survey

Rating, as surveyed
EF0, preliminary
Date
July 21, 2026
Touchdown
8:45 PM EDT (00:45 UTC)
Lifted
8:47 PM EDT (00:47 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
2.3 miles (3.7 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Page and Rappahannock counties
Touchdown point
38.663, -78.323
Lift-off point
38.661, -78.281
Highest wind the damage implies
80 mph
Surveyed by
NWS LWX
The office's name for it
Thornton Gap
Survey last edited
July 29, 2026
Record number
None yet. SPC numbers 2026 in the spring of 2027.

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS LWX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.

  • Large metal road signs blown down. Line of uprooted or snapped off trees and large branches.
  • A few trees and large branches snapped on both sides of Skyline Drive.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 18:47 UTC and running to 01:07 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:47 UTC01:07 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchLWX
23:30 UTC00:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX
00:30 UTC00:46 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX
00:32 UTC01:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningLWX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 20:01 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Washington/Dulle, VA (KIAD), 12:00Z

11.2 hours after it, 84 km from the path. July 22, 2026.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2026-07-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 322 joules per kilogram, CIN -28, lifted condensation level 947 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Washington/Dulle, VA at 12:00Z on 2026-07-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 27 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 52 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
322 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-28 J/kg
Surface CAPE
981 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
947 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
21 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
27 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
21 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4
0-3 km lapse rate
5.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Sterling radar (KLWX), 79 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nne Wilde AcresFrederick, VASeveral large branches snapped on north end of Cardinal Drive
23:33 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nne ClaryFrederick, VA75 trees downed along 500 to 700 blocks of Mindbank Road.
23:33 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Nne ClaryFrederick, VAHalf dozen trees uprooted and numerous large branches snapped between intersection of Chappel Rd and Minebank Rd down to the 1200 block of Minebank Rd.
23:40 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ese NinevehWarren, VALarge tree down onto road near the 1100 block of Ashby Station Road.
23:51 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Nw BroadwayRockingham, VATree down onto road near the intersection of Brooks Gap Rd and Lori Mathis Lane.
23:53 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Nne Cherry GroveRockingham, VALarge tree down onto road near the 13600 block of Turleytown Rd.
23:53 UTCTSTM WND DMGHarrisonburgRockingham, VALarge tree down onto road near the 13600 block of Turleytown Rd.
23:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ssw Cherry GroveRockingham, VATree down onto road near the intersection of Rocky Lane and Green Hill Road.
23:58 UTCTSTM WND DMGNew MarketShenandoah, VANumerous trees down in the New Market area.
00:00 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 N TimbervilleRockingham, VANumerous trees down and small farm equipment blown over in the 19300 block of Mechanicsville Road.
00:08 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ssw Cherry GroveRockingham, VATrees down near the intersection of VA-721 Green Hill Road and Rocky Lane.
00:11 UTCTORNADO3 N TimbervilleRockingham, VAMultidirectional tree damage. Large trees uprooted, large limbs snapped on the 19300 block of Mechanicsville Rd near Timberville VA, consistent with rotation signature noted on NWS weather radar.
00:23 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 Ese HarrisonburgRockingham, VATree down near the intersection of Neff Avenue and Evelyn Byrd Avenue.
00:42 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ese PanoramaRappahannock, VALarge tree down blocking roadway on Skyline Drive north of Mary's Rock Tunnel.
00:45 UTCTSTM WND DMGPanoramaPage, VAMultiple large trees and metal signs blown down around Thorton Gap (near the intersection of Skyline Drive and US-211 Lee Highway).

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2026 tornado in VirginiaEvery tornado in Virginia since 1950Warnings in force in Virginia nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of July 21, 2026

35 more have been surveyed in the United States that day, so far.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
July 211:36 PM EDTEF2Ritchie, WV2.7800
July 211:40 PM EDTEF1Broome, NY6.6200
July 211:41 PM EDTEF0Wayne, PA2.3100
July 211:45 PM EDTEF1Chenango, NY4.6100
July 212:00 PM EDTEF1Morris, NJ1.4250
July 212:15 PM EDTEF1Morris, NJ0.6250
July 212:27 PM EDTEF0Muskingum, OH15.875
July 212:50 PM EDTEF1Morris, NJ0.270
July 212:50 PM EDTEF1Clermont, OH4.9250
July 213:09 PM EDTEF0Clinton, OH3.475
July 213:10 PM EDTEF1Muskingum, OH8.7450
July 213:12 PM EDTEF1Carroll, KY27.05001
July 213:21 PM EDTEF0Brown, OH1.790
July 214:03 PM EDTEF1Hardin, KY0.225
July 214:10 PM EDTEF0Westchester, NY1.840
July 214:14 PM EDTEF2Washington, OH to WV13.3600
July 214:25 PM EDTEF2Washington, OH to WV12.91,000
July 214:28 PM EDTEF1Washington, OH to WV27.61,320
July 215:25 PM EDTEF0Bourbon, KY0.225
July 214:27 PM CDTEF2Grayson, KY21.25001
July 215:37 PM EDTEF1Casey, KY1.2220
July 215:38 PM EDTEF0Barbour, WV0.3110
July 216:15 PM EDTEF0Cape May, NJ0.330
July 215:19 PM CDTEF1Metcalfe, KY2.8150
July 216:20 PM EDTEF1Hampshire, WV to VA3.3225
July 216:37 PM EDTEF0Venango, PA1.150
July 215:43 PM CDTEF0Metcalfe, KY4.075
July 216:44 PM EDTEF0Trumbull, OH6.2100
July 216:55 PM EDTEF1Randolph, WV0.9250
July 217:04 PM EDTEF0Pendleton, WV0.275
July 217:05 PM EDTEF0Lawrence, PA0.5200
July 217:20 PM EDTEF1Pendleton, WV to VA12.9150
July 217:55 PM EDTEF0Butler, PA0.250
July 218:01 PM EDTEF0Butler, PA0.230
July 218:05 PM EDTEF0Rockingham, VA7.7100

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. A survey can be revised, so the rating, the path and the casualties can all still change.

Sources

NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit, the record the survey teams file from the damage, and NOAA Storm Prediction Center storm reports. Neither is the official database for 2026, which SPC publishes in the spring of 2027.