Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2023

EF1 tornado, Higgins to Arnett, Texas, June 15, 2023

From Higgins to Arnett, this EF1 tornado ran 4.8 miles across Ellis and Lipscomb counties on June 15, 2023, touching down at 6:29 PM CDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $11,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
June 15, 2023
Touchdown
6:29 PM CDT (23:29 UTC)
Lifted
6:35 PM CDT (23:35 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
4.8 miles (7.7 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$11,000
Counties
Ellis and Lipscomb counties
Touchdown point
36.076, -100.018
Lift-off point
36.049, -99.942
Record number
2306151729-03

The damage survey

10 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS OUN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • OK Department of Wildlife reports multiple power lines down and trees down between EW 66/67 along NS 171
  • Drone image from Woodward County EM.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

During the evening of the 15th a line of storms, of which contained supercells, formed over portions of southwest Kansas and extend south through Beaver County, OK into the northeastern portions of the Texas Panhandle. The supercell furthest south dropped a tornado on Perryton, TX killing three people and leaving a path of distruction over 6 miles. Several other landspout tornadoes spun up further south of Perryton along the flanking line of the tornadic supercell. One of these landpouts took out some power poles, but remained mostly in grasslands. These tornadic supercells also produced large hail between 1 and 2.5 in diameter.

The approach of an anomalously strong (for mid-June) upper-level disturbance lead to a widespread severe weather outbreak across portions of the forecast area, especially along and west of the I-35 corridor, during the afternoon into late evening of the 15th. This included the development of numerous supercell thunderstorms across the area. Despite relatively high cloud bases, strong low-level instability and sufficient low-level wind shear aided tornadic outcomes, with eleven tornadoes confirmed across western into southern Oklahoma. Numerous reports of large to very large hail, including reports of 4-inch hail in Lawton, and wind damage were received across area.

This tornado developed to the west of Highway 1453. It resulted in a few downed tree branches before crossing into Ellis County, Oklahoma. This tornado was also observed by several storm spotters and chasers.

This tornado moved into Ellis County from Lipscomb County Texas (see entry in Texas panhandle from NWS Amarillo). In Oklahoma, this tornado produced scattered tree damage as it moved east-southeast, including snapping or uprooting trees at it approached County Road 171.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the tornado touched down, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Amarillo, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the tornado touched down at Jun 15, 6:22 PM CDT, 7 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 15, 6:22 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
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Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 15, 2:05 PM CDT, 4 hours 24 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Amarillo TX
205 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

OKZ001>003-TXZ001>020-317-161100-
Cimarron-Texas-Beaver-Dallam-Sherman-Hansford-Ochiltree-Lipscomb-
Hartley-Moore-Hutchinson-Roberts-Hemphill-Oldham-Potter-Carson-
Gray-Wheeler-Deaf Smith-Randall-Armstrong-Donley-Collingsworth-
Palo Duro Canyon-
205 PM CDT Thu Jun 15 2023

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for the Texas and Oklahoma
Panhandles.

.DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight.

Thunderstorms are expected to develop across northern and eastern
sections of the combined Panhandles this afternoon and evening.
Some storms will likely become severe, with large hail, damaging
winds, and a few tornadoes the primary hazards.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through Wednesday.

Thunderstorms are possible Friday afternoon through Saturday
night, mainly across northern and eastern sections of the area.
Some storms may become severe with large hail and damaging winds
the primary hazards, especially over the Saturday time frame.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation will likely be needed this afternoon through
this evening.

In the hours before

Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:45 PM CDT, 44 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 15, 5:48 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 15, 5:50 PM CDT, 39 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:16 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
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Special weather statement, Jun 15, 6:22 PM CDT, 7 minutes before
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Local storm report, Jun 15, 6:24 PM CDT, 5 minutes before
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The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 12:00Z

11.5 hours before the tornado, 181 km from the path. June 15, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-06-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1224 joules per kilogram, CIN -313, lifted condensation level 1594 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 12:00Z on 2023-06-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 376 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1224 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-313 J/kg
Surface CAPE
726 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1594 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
376 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
402 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
1.5
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Amarillo Airport, TX (KAMA), 00:00Z

0.5 hours after it, 181 km from the path. June 16, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2023-06-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -90785, lifted condensation level 4139 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Amarillo Airport, TX at 00:00Z on 2023-06-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 59 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 25 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-90785 J/kg
Surface CAPE
43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
4139 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
25 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
59 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
43 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
10.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Gage/Shattuck (GAG), 32 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:00 UTC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Amarillo radar (KAMA), 181 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 15, 2023

31 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 154:58 PM CDTEF0Comanche, OK3.850$10,000
June 155:02 PM CDTEF2Ochiltree, TX17.4200$114,000
June 156:06 PM EDTEF2Lucas, OH3.8300$176,000
June 155:06 PM CDTEF3Perryton tornado, TX6.38803100$1.0 million
June 156:09 PM EDTEF1Monroe, MI4.8400
June 155:10 PM CDTEF0Cotton, OK1.250$10,000
June 155:11 PM CDTUnratedStephens, OK0.550
June 155:12 PM CDTEF0Ochiltree, TX12.350
June 156:28 PM EDTEF0Lucas, OH0.250$5,000
June 155:34 PM CDTEF0Stephens, OK0.8200
June 155:37 PM CDTEF1Stephens, OK0.520$30,000
June 156:49 PM EDTEF2Ottawa, OH3.4200$255,000
June 156:57 PM EDTEF1Sandusky, OH0.1100$15,000
June 155:58 PM CDTUnratedJefferson, OK0.850
June 156:03 PM CDTEF1Stephens, OK1.550$10,000
June 156:16 PM CDTEF2Jefferson, OK4.11,000$250,000
June 157:19 PM EDTEF0Sandusky, OH0.350$18,000
June 157:40 PM EDTEF0Sandusky, OH0.950$10,000
June 157:43 PM EDTEF0Franklin, FL0.450$5,000
June 156:47 PM CDTUnratedRoger Mills, OK1.050
June 157:48 PM EDTEF2Huron, OH8.72,200$270,000
June 157:51 PM EDTEF0Huron, OH1.6100$5,000
June 158:01 PM EDTEF0Huron, OH0.7100$5,000
June 158:04 PM EDTEF1Huron, OH8.61,100$165,000
June 158:13 PM EDTEF1Huron, OH4.0250$60,000
June 157:26 PM CDTEF0Love, OK0.510
June 158:46 PM EDTEF0Ashland, OH1.2300$70,000
June 158:02 PM CDTEF1Clay, TX2.5100$8,000
June 158:35 PM CDTEF2Escambia, FL8.6450
June 1512:21 AM CDTEF0Baldwin, AL0.375
June 151:43 AM EDTEF0Taylor, FL1.050

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.