Tornadoes · United States · Texas · 2019

EF1 tornado, Pauls Store, Texas, May 2, 2019

This EF1 tornado ran 0.6 miles across Shelby County on May 2, 2019, touching down at 6:30 AM CDT and reaching 118 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $10,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
May 2, 2019
Touchdown
6:30 AM CDT (11:30 UTC)
Lifted
6:31 AM CDT (11:31 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.6 miles (0.9 km)
Path width
118 yards (108 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
County
Shelby County
Touchdown point
31.853, -93.951
Lift-off point
31.861, -93.948
Record number
1905020530-01

The damage survey

22 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS SHV, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 105 mph.

  • numerous trees snapped and uprooted
  • small farm outbuilding destroyed
  • numerous large limbs down and a few trees uprooted
  • several pine trees uprooted

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A deep southerly flow increased across much of the Ark-La-Tex during the daytime hours of April 30th through May 1st, ahead of a slow moving upper level trough that drifted east into the Southern Plains from the Four Corners Region. A complex of showers and thunderstorms that developed over Western and Central Oklahoma during the evening of April 30th ahead of a stalled surface frontal boundary sent a cold pool southeast into portions of extreme Northeast Texas and Southwest Arkansas which eventually stalled out during the early morning hours on May 1st. Weak upper level disturbances in the southwest flow aloft ahead of the approaching trough triggered additional showers and thunderstorms across Northcentral Texas, which spread east northeast across East Texas, Southwest Arkansas, and North Louisiana during the evening hours of the 1st, and continued throughout the morning hours of the 2nd. The earlier stalled boundary over Northeast Texas and Southwest Arkansas helped to enhance the showers and thunderstorms, and coupled with the instability and deep moisture in place, some of the showers and thunderstorm became severe, producing large hail, damaging winds, and locally heavy rainfall. An isolated tornado even touched down across Eastern Shelby County Texas just prior to daybreak on the 2nd. Where the storms moved repeatedly over the same areas, flash flooding was observed with several roads flooded and closed across portions of East Texas. ||While the storms diminished shortly after daybreak on the 2nd, another complex of showers and thunderstorms developed during the late afternoon through the evening hours in Central and Southeast Texas ahead of another shortwave trough, with a portion of this complex migrating into Deep East Texas by mid-evening. Given the moderate instability in place across this area due to strong daytime heating, some of these storms also became severe, with damaging winds downing trees and destroying a chicken house in Northern Nacogdoches County before weakening by late evening.

An EF-1 tornado with maximum estimated winds between 90-95 mph touched down in a pasture just south of County Road 3376, snapping and uprooting numerous trees and damaging a small farm outbuilding. The tornado continued northeast and snapped several more trees near a home but did not damage the home. The tornado then crossed County Road 3376 snapping and uprooting more trees before causing some minor roof damage to a chicken house on Farm to Market Road 139, lifting just northeast of the roadway.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
10:24 UTC11:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV
10:41 UTC11:32 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV
10:54 UTC14:00 UTCFlash Flood WarningSHV
11:13 UTC11:57 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV
02:23 UTC03:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningSHV

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 06:02 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Shreveport, LA (KBAD), 00:00Z

11.5 hours before the tornado, 72 km from the path. May 2, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2019-05-02Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1832 joules per kilogram, CIN -8, lifted condensation level 1455 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Shreveport, LA at 00:00Z on 2019-05-02The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 28 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1832 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-8 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3087 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1455 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
9 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
28 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
67 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.4
Supercell composite
5.2
0-3 km lapse rate
6.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Shreveport radar (KSHV), 67 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 11:30 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
11:30 UTCTORNADO7 Nnw HuxleyShelby, TXTHE TORNADO SNAPPED AND UPROOTED NUMEROUS TREES AND DAMAGED A SMALL FARM OUTBUILDING ALONG A .6 MILE PATH. MAXIMUM WINDS WERE ESTIMATED AT 95 MPH AND THE MAXIMUM WIDTH WAS 118 YARDS.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in TexasEvery tornado in Texas since 1950Warnings in force in Texas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 2, 2019

15 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 26:40 AM CDTEF1De Soto Parish, LA1.0240$10,000
May 27:08 AM CDTEF1De Soto Parish, LA0.2330$150,000
May 212:37 PM CDTEF1Pulaski, AR1.5200$100,000
May 21:14 PM CDTEF0Pulaski, AR5.1500$100,000
May 21:26 PM CDTEF0Pulaski, AR3.780
May 21:33 PM CDTEF0Pulaski, AR1.050$30,000
May 21:35 PM CDTEF0Faulkner, AR0.750$1,000
May 22:20 PM CDTEF0Prairie, AR4.5100
May 22:40 PM CDTEF0Jackson, AR0.250
May 24:29 PM CDTEF0Greene, AR0.250$30,000
May 26:02 PM CDTEF0Mississippi, AR0.250$1,000
May 26:11 PM CDTEF0Pemiscot, MO2.8150$5,000
May 26:20 PM CDTEF0Obion, TN0.2100$5,000
May 26:43 PM CDTEF0Obion, TN0.1100$5,000
May 29:20 PM CDTUnratedVal Verde, TX0.410

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.