Tornadoes · United States · Pennsylvania · 1998

F0 tornado, Sterling, Pennsylvania, May 31, 1998

This F0 tornado ran 0.5 miles across Wayne County on May 31, 1998, touching down at 8:50 PM EDT and reaching 30 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $50,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F0
Date
May 31, 1998
Touchdown
8:50 PM EDT (00:50 UTC)
Path length
0.5 miles (0.8 km)
Path width
30 yards (27 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$50,000
County
Wayne County
Touchdown point
41.320, -75.400
Lift-off point
41.320, -75.400
Record number
1050

What the Weather Service recorded

An intensifying storm system moved across upstate New York and into southern Quebec early in the morning on the 31st. This system dragged a warm front across northeastern Pennsylvania. Behind this front, a southerly flow of warm, moist, and unstable air quickly developed. This set the stage for the development of severe weather later that afternoon as a cold front and strong upper air disturbance approached. From late in the afternoon until late that evening, northeastern Pennsylvania was under siege from severe thunderstorms, including several tornadic supercells. In all, nine separate tornadoes touched down on this day. Overall damage estimates run into the millions with many homes and structures heavily damaged or destroyed. The most devastating storms occurred in Pike county. Within about a 3 hour stretch from 7 to 10 pm EDT, four different twisters affected the county. One tornadic cell was responsible for knocking down thousands of healthy large trees in and around Promised Land State Park with several vacation homes damaged or leveled. Fortunately, injuries were kept at a minimum. Widespread straight line wind damage also occurred with hailstones the size of ping pong balls falling in some places. The north side of Scranton had extensive wind damage as a storm passed through shortly before 10 pm EDT and sections of Wayne and Luzerne counties had roads closed and/or blocked from falling trees for more than 2 days after the storm. Pennsylvania Power and Light Company estimated that hundreds of thousands of customers were without power at the height of the storms on the evening of the 31st. Some of the more remote locations did not have power restored for the better part of a week.

A severe thunderstorm became tornadic across extreme southern portions of the county. Eyewitness reports and post storm surveys indicate that a tornado briefly touched down in Dreher township around 7:50 pm EDT. The tornado appeared to skip over hilltop areas for a minute or two before lifting back into the cloud base. Spurts of tree and power line damage were seen from above. Trees and large limbs were fallen in several directions with the damage pattern rather chaotic. The tornado's intensity was rated as F0 at this point with the damage path about a half mile by 30 yards or so.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

46 minutes of warning. NWS BGM issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:04 UTC, 46 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:10 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:45 UTC23:50 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM
23:07 UTC00:10 UTCTornado WarningBGM
23:12 UTC00:15 UTCTornado WarningBGM
00:04 UTC01:10 UTCTornado WarningBGM
00:29 UTC01:35 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM
01:43 UTC02:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM
01:56 UTC03:00 UTCTornado WarningBGM

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 10:32 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Albany, NY (KALY), 12:00Z

11.2 hours after it, 200 km from the path. June 1, 1998.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 4 joules per kilogram, CIN -20, lifted condensation level 814 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity -14 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 40 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
4 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-20 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
814 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
12 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
-14 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
130 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 109 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:42 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 1998 tornado in PennsylvaniaEvery tornado in Pennsylvania since 1950Warnings in force in Pennsylvania nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 31, 1998

45 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 311:20 AM CDTF0Marathon, WI0.250$10,000
May 312:20 AM CDTF1Calumet, WI1.480$300,000
May 315:30 AM EDTF0Missaukee, MI0.3100
May 315:35 AM EDTF0Antrim, MI0.130
May 315:50 AM EDTF1Kalkaska, MI7.0100
May 315:55 AM EDTF0Crawford, MI0.130
May 316:25 AM EDTF0Genesee, MI0.130$10,000
May 3112:44 PM ESTF0DeKalb, IN0.130
May 311:15 PM ESTF0DeKalb, IN0.130
May 313:04 PM EDTF0Putnam, OH0.130
May 313:22 PM CDTF3Saratoga, NY to VT30.597068$71 million
May 314:37 PM EDTF1Albany, NY3.580$30,000
May 314:45 PM EDTF0Delaware, NY3.080$150,000
May 315:05 PM EDTF1Chautauqua, NY2.0302$70,000
May 315:20 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA0.5440
May 315:30 PM EDTF3Tioga, NY62.020012$2.5 million
May 315:50 PM EDTF2Chenango, NY1.01,500$500,000
May 316:00 PM EDTF0Chenango, NY0.580$140,000
May 316:03 PM EDTF2Hillsborough, NH0.590$30,000
May 316:25 PM EDTF0Otsego, NY0.730$70,000
May 316:30 PM EDTF3Otsego, NY5.08003$800,000
May 317:00 PM EDTF0Luzerne, PA0.240$50,000
May 317:22 PM EDTF2Rensselaer, NY8.0200$180,000
May 317:25 PM EDTF1Clinton, OH0.3100$20,000
May 317:30 PM EDTF1Elk, PA3.0100
May 317:30 PM EDTF0Elk, PA0.5100
May 318:08 PM EDTF2Pike, PA2.0550$200,000
May 318:10 PM EDTF1Cameron, PA5.050
May 318:20 PM EDTF3Pike, PA20.02002$1.0 million
May 318:20 PM EDTF2Pike, PA3.0200$400,000
May 318:20 PM EDTF0Lackawanna, PA0.330$70,000
May 318:20 PM EDTF0Lackawanna, PA0.1100$100,000
May 318:45 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA7.080
May 318:50 PM EDTF3Somerset, PA13.0880115$4.0 million
May 319:00 PM EDTF3Berks, PA8.31207$1.4 million
May 319:02 PM EDTF0Lycoming, PA0.550
May 319:15 PM EDTF0Lycoming, PA0.240
May 319:15 PM EDTF1Wyoming, PA0.550$70,000
May 319:30 PM EDTF1Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT0.330$4,000
May 318:35 PM CDTF2Adair, KY1.0100$300,000
May 319:50 PM EDTF0Pike, PA0.330$40,000
May 3110:48 PM EDTF1Bell, KY1.5300$200,000
May 3112:30 AM EDTF2Lancaster, PA7.0880
May 3112:52 AM EDTF1Chester, PA3.0100$300,000
May 311:20 AM EDTF2Philadelphia, PA5.6200$1.8 million

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.