Tornadoes · United States · New York · 1998

F2 tornado, Plymouth, New York, May 31, 1998

This F2 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Chenango County on May 31, 1998, touching down at 5:50 PM EDT and reaching 1,500 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F2
Date
May 31, 1998
Touchdown
5:50 PM EDT (21:50 UTC)
Path length
1.0 miles (1.6 km)
Path width
1,500 yards (1372 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$500,000
County
Chenango County
Touchdown point
42.620, -75.600
Lift-off point
42.620, -75.600
Record number
1042

What the Weather Service recorded

An intensifying storm system moved across upstate New York and into southern Quebec early in the morning on the 31st. This system dragged a warm front northeastward across central New York. A southerly flow of warm, moist, and unstable air quickly developed. This set the stage for severe weather that afternoon and evening as a cold front and strong upper air disturbance approached. From early in the afternoon until the evening hours, central New York was under siege from severe thunderstorms, including several tornadic supercells. In all, six separate tornadoes touched down on this day in central New York. The most devastating twister cut a discontinuous sixty plus mile track from southeastern Tioga county across southern Broome county and into Delaware county where it finally lifted back into the cloud base. This tornado alone damaged or destroyed more than 30 homes and injured nearly 20 people. Very fortunately, no fatalities occurred. Another violent tornado ripped through southern sections of Otsego county between Laurens and Milford. Thousands of trees were snapped off or uprooted with large sections of forest completely taken out. Several residences were leveled and many roads were impassable for days due to the fallen debris. The damage toll from this day's tornadoes ran into the millions. Several strong bow echo complexes also affected central New York. From southern Chenango county through the lower half of Otsego county, one such storm took out hundreds of trees and inflicted considerable structural damage in and around Oneonta. One man was killed in Oneonta when hit by a falling tree limb. Throughout Onondaga county, wind gusts estimated at 90 to 100 mph caused widespread damage early in the evening between 6:00 and 6:30 pm EDT. Two large transmission towers near Nedrow were toppled from the winds and many buildings had blown out windows and/or roof damage. Hail as large as 3 to 4 inches in diameter accompanied some of the tornadic supercells across New York's southern tier; smashing windows, severely denting cars, and causing crop losses. New York State Electric and Gas Company estimated that hundreds of thousands of customers were without power during the height of the storms late that afternoon and evening. Some of the more remote locations did not have power restored for the better part of a week.

A supercell thunderstorm became tornadic near Plymouth Reservoir in Plymouth township around 5:50 pm EDT. Although the tornado's touchdown was brief, it still cut a large swath of damage nearly a 1/4 mile wide and mowed down hundreds of trees around the reservoir. A few homes on the outer fringes of the tornado's sphere of influence had roof and siding damage.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

9 minutes of warning. NWS BGM issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:41 UTC, 9 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:45 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
18:42 UTC19:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM
19:44 UTC20:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM
21:04 UTC22:05 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM
21:41 UTC22:45 UTCTornado WarningBGM

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a High Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 10:32 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Albany, NY (KALY), 12:00Z

9.8 hours before the tornado, 145 km from the path. May 31, 1998.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-05-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -66290, lifted condensation level 1673 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Albany, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-05-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 188 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 35 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-66290 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1673 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
18 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
188 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
264 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.4
0-3 km lapse rate
4.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 1998 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 31, 1998

45 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 311:20 AM CDTF0Marathon, WI0.250$10,000
May 312:20 AM CDTF1Calumet, WI1.480$300,000
May 315:30 AM EDTF0Missaukee, MI0.3100
May 315:35 AM EDTF0Antrim, MI0.130
May 315:50 AM EDTF1Kalkaska, MI7.0100
May 315:55 AM EDTF0Crawford, MI0.130
May 316:25 AM EDTF0Genesee, MI0.130$10,000
May 3112:44 PM ESTF0DeKalb, IN0.130
May 311:15 PM ESTF0DeKalb, IN0.130
May 313:04 PM EDTF0Putnam, OH0.130
May 313:22 PM CDTF3Saratoga, NY to VT30.597068$71 million
May 314:37 PM EDTF1Albany, NY3.580$30,000
May 314:45 PM EDTF0Delaware, NY3.080$150,000
May 315:05 PM EDTF1Chautauqua, NY2.0302$70,000
May 315:20 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA0.5440
May 315:30 PM EDTF3Tioga, NY62.020012$2.5 million
May 316:00 PM EDTF0Chenango, NY0.580$140,000
May 316:03 PM EDTF2Hillsborough, NH0.590$30,000
May 316:25 PM EDTF0Otsego, NY0.730$70,000
May 316:30 PM EDTF3Otsego, NY5.08003$800,000
May 317:00 PM EDTF0Luzerne, PA0.240$50,000
May 317:22 PM EDTF2Rensselaer, NY8.0200$180,000
May 317:25 PM EDTF1Clinton, OH0.3100$20,000
May 317:30 PM EDTF1Elk, PA3.0100
May 317:30 PM EDTF0Elk, PA0.5100
May 318:08 PM EDTF2Pike, PA2.0550$200,000
May 318:10 PM EDTF1Cameron, PA5.050
May 318:20 PM EDTF3Pike, PA20.02002$1.0 million
May 318:20 PM EDTF2Pike, PA3.0200$400,000
May 318:20 PM EDTF0Lackawanna, PA0.330$70,000
May 318:20 PM EDTF0Lackawanna, PA0.1100$100,000
May 318:45 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA7.080
May 318:50 PM EDTF3Somerset, PA13.0880115$4.0 million
May 318:50 PM EDTF0Wayne, PA0.530$50,000
May 319:00 PM EDTF3Berks, PA8.31207$1.4 million
May 319:02 PM EDTF0Lycoming, PA0.550
May 319:15 PM EDTF0Lycoming, PA0.240
May 319:15 PM EDTF1Wyoming, PA0.550$70,000
May 319:30 PM EDTF1Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT0.330$4,000
May 318:35 PM CDTF2Adair, KY1.0100$300,000
May 319:50 PM EDTF0Pike, PA0.330$40,000
May 3110:48 PM EDTF1Bell, KY1.5300$200,000
May 3112:30 AM EDTF2Lancaster, PA7.0880
May 3112:52 AM EDTF1Chester, PA3.0100$300,000
May 311:20 AM EDTF2Philadelphia, PA5.6200$1.8 million

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.