Tornadoes · United States · New York · 1998
F2 tornado, Plymouth, New York, May 31, 1998
This F2 tornado ran 1.0 miles across Chenango County on May 31, 1998, touching down at 5:50 PM EDT and reaching 1,500 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $500,000 of property damage.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
F040 to 72 mph
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
F173 to 112 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
F2113 to 157 mphthis tornado
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
F3158 to 206 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
F4207 to 260 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
F5261 to 318 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- F2
- Date
- May 31, 1998
- Touchdown
- 5:50 PM EDT (21:50 UTC)
- Path length
- 1.0 miles (1.6 km)
- Path width
- 1,500 yards (1372 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- $500,000
- County
- Chenango County
- Touchdown point
- 42.620, -75.600
- Lift-off point
- 42.620, -75.600
- Record number
- 1042
What the Weather Service recorded
An intensifying storm system moved across upstate New York and into southern Quebec early in the morning on the 31st. This system dragged a warm front northeastward across central New York. A southerly flow of warm, moist, and unstable air quickly developed. This set the stage for severe weather that afternoon and evening as a cold front and strong upper air disturbance approached. From early in the afternoon until the evening hours, central New York was under siege from severe thunderstorms, including several tornadic supercells. In all, six separate tornadoes touched down on this day in central New York. The most devastating twister cut a discontinuous sixty plus mile track from southeastern Tioga county across southern Broome county and into Delaware county where it finally lifted back into the cloud base. This tornado alone damaged or destroyed more than 30 homes and injured nearly 20 people. Very fortunately, no fatalities occurred. Another violent tornado ripped through southern sections of Otsego county between Laurens and Milford. Thousands of trees were snapped off or uprooted with large sections of forest completely taken out. Several residences were leveled and many roads were impassable for days due to the fallen debris. The damage toll from this day's tornadoes ran into the millions. Several strong bow echo complexes also affected central New York. From southern Chenango county through the lower half of Otsego county, one such storm took out hundreds of trees and inflicted considerable structural damage in and around Oneonta. One man was killed in Oneonta when hit by a falling tree limb. Throughout Onondaga county, wind gusts estimated at 90 to 100 mph caused widespread damage early in the evening between 6:00 and 6:30 pm EDT. Two large transmission towers near Nedrow were toppled from the winds and many buildings had blown out windows and/or roof damage. Hail as large as 3 to 4 inches in diameter accompanied some of the tornadic supercells across New York's southern tier; smashing windows, severely denting cars, and causing crop losses. New York State Electric and Gas Company estimated that hundreds of thousands of customers were without power during the height of the storms late that afternoon and evening. Some of the more remote locations did not have power restored for the better part of a week.
A supercell thunderstorm became tornadic near Plymouth Reservoir in Plymouth township around 5:50 pm EDT. Although the tornado's touchdown was brief, it still cut a large swath of damage nearly a 1/4 mile wide and mowed down hundreds of trees around the reservoir. A few homes on the outer fringes of the tornado's sphere of influence had roof and siding damage.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
9 minutes of warning. NWS BGM issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:41 UTC, 9 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:45 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18:42 UTC | 19:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM |
| 19:44 UTC | 20:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM |
| 21:04 UTC | 22:05 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | BGM |
| 21:41 UTC | 22:45 UTC | Tornado Warning | BGM |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a High Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 10:32 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Albany, NY (KALY), 12:00Z
9.8 hours before the tornado, 145 km from the path. May 31, 1998.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -66290 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 1673 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 18 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 188 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 264 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.4
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.0 K/km
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 1998 tornado in New YorkEvery tornado in New York since 1950Warnings in force in New York nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 31, 1998
45 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 31 | 1:20 AM CDT | F0 | Marathon, WI | 0.2 | 50 | $10,000 | ||
| May 31 | 2:20 AM CDT | F1 | Calumet, WI | 1.4 | 80 | $300,000 | ||
| May 31 | 5:30 AM EDT | F0 | Missaukee, MI | 0.3 | 100 | |||
| May 31 | 5:35 AM EDT | F0 | Antrim, MI | 0.1 | 30 | |||
| May 31 | 5:50 AM EDT | F1 | Kalkaska, MI | 7.0 | 100 | |||
| May 31 | 5:55 AM EDT | F0 | Crawford, MI | 0.1 | 30 | |||
| May 31 | 6:25 AM EDT | F0 | Genesee, MI | 0.1 | 30 | $10,000 | ||
| May 31 | 12:44 PM EST | F0 | DeKalb, IN | 0.1 | 30 | |||
| May 31 | 1:15 PM EST | F0 | DeKalb, IN | 0.1 | 30 | |||
| May 31 | 3:04 PM EDT | F0 | Putnam, OH | 0.1 | 30 | |||
| May 31 | 3:22 PM CDT | F3 | Saratoga, NY to VT | 30.5 | 970 | 68 | $71 million | |
| May 31 | 4:37 PM EDT | F1 | Albany, NY | 3.5 | 80 | $30,000 | ||
| May 31 | 4:45 PM EDT | F0 | Delaware, NY | 3.0 | 80 | $150,000 | ||
| May 31 | 5:05 PM EDT | F1 | Chautauqua, NY | 2.0 | 30 | 2 | $70,000 | |
| May 31 | 5:20 PM EDT | F1 | Lycoming, PA | 0.5 | 440 | |||
| May 31 | 5:30 PM EDT | F3 | Tioga, NY | 62.0 | 200 | 12 | $2.5 million | |
| May 31 | 6:00 PM EDT | F0 | Chenango, NY | 0.5 | 80 | $140,000 | ||
| May 31 | 6:03 PM EDT | F2 | Hillsborough, NH | 0.5 | 90 | $30,000 | ||
| May 31 | 6:25 PM EDT | F0 | Otsego, NY | 0.7 | 30 | $70,000 | ||
| May 31 | 6:30 PM EDT | F3 | Otsego, NY | 5.0 | 800 | 3 | $800,000 | |
| May 31 | 7:00 PM EDT | F0 | Luzerne, PA | 0.2 | 40 | $50,000 | ||
| May 31 | 7:22 PM EDT | F2 | Rensselaer, NY | 8.0 | 200 | $180,000 | ||
| May 31 | 7:25 PM EDT | F1 | Clinton, OH | 0.3 | 100 | $20,000 | ||
| May 31 | 7:30 PM EDT | F1 | Elk, PA | 3.0 | 100 | |||
| May 31 | 7:30 PM EDT | F0 | Elk, PA | 0.5 | 100 | |||
| May 31 | 8:08 PM EDT | F2 | Pike, PA | 2.0 | 550 | $200,000 | ||
| May 31 | 8:10 PM EDT | F1 | Cameron, PA | 5.0 | 50 | |||
| May 31 | 8:20 PM EDT | F3 | Pike, PA | 20.0 | 200 | 2 | $1.0 million | |
| May 31 | 8:20 PM EDT | F2 | Pike, PA | 3.0 | 200 | $400,000 | ||
| May 31 | 8:20 PM EDT | F0 | Lackawanna, PA | 0.3 | 30 | $70,000 | ||
| May 31 | 8:20 PM EDT | F0 | Lackawanna, PA | 0.1 | 100 | $100,000 | ||
| May 31 | 8:45 PM EDT | F1 | Lycoming, PA | 7.0 | 80 | |||
| May 31 | 8:50 PM EDT | F3 | Somerset, PA | 13.0 | 880 | 1 | 15 | $4.0 million |
| May 31 | 8:50 PM EDT | F0 | Wayne, PA | 0.5 | 30 | $50,000 | ||
| May 31 | 9:00 PM EDT | F3 | Berks, PA | 8.3 | 120 | 7 | $1.4 million | |
| May 31 | 9:02 PM EDT | F0 | Lycoming, PA | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| May 31 | 9:15 PM EDT | F0 | Lycoming, PA | 0.2 | 40 | |||
| May 31 | 9:15 PM EDT | F1 | Wyoming, PA | 0.5 | 50 | $70,000 | ||
| May 31 | 9:30 PM EDT | F1 | Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT | 0.3 | 30 | $4,000 | ||
| May 31 | 8:35 PM CDT | F2 | Adair, KY | 1.0 | 100 | $300,000 | ||
| May 31 | 9:50 PM EDT | F0 | Pike, PA | 0.3 | 30 | $40,000 | ||
| May 31 | 10:48 PM EDT | F1 | Bell, KY | 1.5 | 300 | $200,000 | ||
| May 31 | 12:30 AM EDT | F2 | Lancaster, PA | 7.0 | 880 | |||
| May 31 | 12:52 AM EDT | F1 | Chester, PA | 3.0 | 100 | $300,000 | ||
| May 31 | 1:20 AM EDT | F2 | Philadelphia, PA | 5.6 | 200 | $1.8 million |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.