Tornadoes · United States · Pennsylvania · 1998

F3 tornado, Blooming Grove, Pennsylvania, May 31, 1998

This F3 tornado ran 20.0 miles across Pike County on May 31, 1998, touching down at 8:20 PM EDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody and injured 2, and did $1.0 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mphthis tornado

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F3
Date
May 31, 1998
Touchdown
8:20 PM EDT (00:20 UTC)
Path length
20.0 miles (32.2 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
2
Property damage
$1.0 million
County
Pike County
Touchdown point
41.300, -75.100
Lift-off point
41.230, -74.870
Record number
1049

What the Weather Service recorded

An intensifying storm system moved across upstate New York and into southern Quebec early in the morning on the 31st. This system dragged a warm front across northeastern Pennsylvania. Behind this front, a southerly flow of warm, moist, and unstable air quickly developed. This set the stage for the development of severe weather later that afternoon as a cold front and strong upper air disturbance approached. From late in the afternoon until late that evening, northeastern Pennsylvania was under siege from severe thunderstorms, including several tornadic supercells. In all, nine separate tornadoes touched down on this day. Overall damage estimates run into the millions with many homes and structures heavily damaged or destroyed. The most devastating storms occurred in Pike county. Within about a 3 hour stretch from 7 to 10 pm EDT, four different twisters affected the county. One tornadic cell was responsible for knocking down thousands of healthy large trees in and around Promised Land State Park with several vacation homes damaged or leveled. Fortunately, injuries were kept at a minimum. Widespread straight line wind damage also occurred with hailstones the size of ping pong balls falling in some places. The north side of Scranton had extensive wind damage as a storm passed through shortly before 10 pm EDT and sections of Wayne and Luzerne counties had roads closed and/or blocked from falling trees for more than 2 days after the storm. Pennsylvania Power and Light Company estimated that hundreds of thousands of customers were without power at the height of the storms on the evening of the 31st. Some of the more remote locations did not have power restored for the better part of a week.

The tornadic supercell that affected southern Wayne county a bit earlier in the evening continued eastward into Pike county. A tornado touched down briefly in Promised Land and then plowed through portions of Promised Land State Park before temporarily lifting into the cloud base. The twister cut approximately a 2 mile by 500 yard path through heavily forested areas of the park. Camp sites were littered with trees as the tornado cut down hundreds of them. Some of the trees were very sizeable and they were still chopped down or twisted off quite easily as evidenced by ground and aerial post storm surveys. A few homes near the path of the twister sustained minor to moderate damage from falling trees. Fortunately, camp grounds and vacation homes were largely unoccupied when the tornado struck. The tornado appeared to be near ground level for only a few minutes as the damage path became discontinuous again just east of the park.

The cell that produced tornadic damage earlier both in southern Wayne county and just upstream in Promised Land State Park dropped a tornado once again across the southern and southeastern portions of Pike county. A nearly continuous 20 mile path was uncovered via aerial storm surveys from Pecks Pond east-southeastward to near route 739 in Delaware township. The average width of the damage path was about 200 yards. The twister descended once again in the Pecks Pond area around 8:20 pm EDT. At that point, the intensity was rated as F2 as the tornado cut down nearly every tree in its path on its way towards Blue Heron Lake. At approximately 8:30 pm, the tornado struck the small vacation community surrounding Blue Heron Lake. A summer home was leveled by the force of the twister. The only things left standing were an interior wall and a few sturdy metal cabinets on the floor in the kitchen. An adjacent mobile home was severely damaged as well. Two campers near this area had minor injuries from falling tree limbs. Otherwise, though, injuries were kept to a minimum as homes were mostly vacant. In addition, an estimated thousands of trees were sheared off or toppled bordering Blue Heron Lake both to the west and east. The twister's intensity increased at this point to F3. Further downstream, the tornado continued to cut a consistent path of twisted off and/or uprooted trees across the Little Mud Pond, Silver Lake, and Deer Leap Factory areas. The tornado appeared to skip across hilltop sections along this route with its intensity mainly in the F1 range. Finally, just before 8:45 pm EDT, the tornado ascended once again in Delaware township as little in the way of damage was evident between route 739 and the Delaware River. In all, emergency management and federal officials estimated that in excess of 1 million dollars damage was incurred along this approximately 20 mile path. Many roads were closed as they became impassable due to fallen trees and wires. Portions of routes 402 and 390 were closed for several days. In addition, sections of Promised Land State Park were closed off to the public for about two weeks until all debris was cleared away and power was restored.

A severe thunderstorm became tornadic just south of Interstate 84 and east of Tarey Hill in Blooming Grove township around 8:20 pm EDT. The tornado cut approximately a 3 mile by 200 yard path paralleling Interstate 84. The twister moved through heavily forested areas and mowed down hundreds of trees in its path. Again, many of the trees were quite sizeable and appeared to be toppled easily. The damage pattern was circular in spots as viewed by aerial surveys. Fortunately, little in the way of houses or populated regions were in the path of this particular tornado. The tornado's intensity seemed to fluctuate between F1 and F2. The tornado lifted back up just east of route 739 near Cranberry Ridge as little in the way of damage was seen downstream of this point. Several local roads were closed for up to 24 hours from fallen trees.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

16 minutes of warning. NWS BGM issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:04 UTC, 16 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:10 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:45 UTC23:50 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningBGM
23:07 UTC00:10 UTCTornado WarningBGM
23:12 UTC00:15 UTCTornado WarningBGM
00:04 UTC01:10 UTCTornado WarningBGM
01:31 UTC03:00 UTCTornado WarningBGM

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 10:32 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 00:00Z

0.3 hours before the tornado, 183 km from the path. June 1, 1998.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 1998-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 151 joules per kilogram, CIN -348, lifted condensation level 1224 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 00:00Z on 1998-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 233 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 30 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
151 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-348 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1224 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
30 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
233 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
319 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.4 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Brookhaven, NY (KOKX), 12:00Z

11.7 hours after it, 183 km from the path. June 1, 1998.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-06-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 18 joules per kilogram, CIN -92, lifted condensation level 529 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Brookhaven, NY at 12:00Z on 1998-06-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 3 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 64 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
18 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-92 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
529 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
64 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
3 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
47 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Binghamton radar (KBGM), 133 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:32 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 1998 tornado in PennsylvaniaEvery tornado in Pennsylvania since 1950Warnings in force in Pennsylvania nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 31, 1998

45 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 311:20 AM CDTF0Marathon, WI0.250$10,000
May 312:20 AM CDTF1Calumet, WI1.480$300,000
May 315:30 AM EDTF0Missaukee, MI0.3100
May 315:35 AM EDTF0Antrim, MI0.130
May 315:50 AM EDTF1Kalkaska, MI7.0100
May 315:55 AM EDTF0Crawford, MI0.130
May 316:25 AM EDTF0Genesee, MI0.130$10,000
May 3112:44 PM ESTF0DeKalb, IN0.130
May 311:15 PM ESTF0DeKalb, IN0.130
May 313:04 PM EDTF0Putnam, OH0.130
May 313:22 PM CDTF3Saratoga, NY to VT30.597068$71 million
May 314:37 PM EDTF1Albany, NY3.580$30,000
May 314:45 PM EDTF0Delaware, NY3.080$150,000
May 315:05 PM EDTF1Chautauqua, NY2.0302$70,000
May 315:20 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA0.5440
May 315:30 PM EDTF3Tioga, NY62.020012$2.5 million
May 315:50 PM EDTF2Chenango, NY1.01,500$500,000
May 316:00 PM EDTF0Chenango, NY0.580$140,000
May 316:03 PM EDTF2Hillsborough, NH0.590$30,000
May 316:25 PM EDTF0Otsego, NY0.730$70,000
May 316:30 PM EDTF3Otsego, NY5.08003$800,000
May 317:00 PM EDTF0Luzerne, PA0.240$50,000
May 317:22 PM EDTF2Rensselaer, NY8.0200$180,000
May 317:25 PM EDTF1Clinton, OH0.3100$20,000
May 317:30 PM EDTF1Elk, PA3.0100
May 317:30 PM EDTF0Elk, PA0.5100
May 318:08 PM EDTF2Pike, PA2.0550$200,000
May 318:10 PM EDTF1Cameron, PA5.050
May 318:20 PM EDTF2Pike, PA3.0200$400,000
May 318:20 PM EDTF0Lackawanna, PA0.330$70,000
May 318:20 PM EDTF0Lackawanna, PA0.1100$100,000
May 318:45 PM EDTF1Lycoming, PA7.080
May 318:50 PM EDTF3Somerset, PA13.0880115$4.0 million
May 318:50 PM EDTF0Wayne, PA0.530$50,000
May 319:00 PM EDTF3Berks, PA8.31207$1.4 million
May 319:02 PM EDTF0Lycoming, PA0.550
May 319:15 PM EDTF0Lycoming, PA0.240
May 319:15 PM EDTF1Wyoming, PA0.550$70,000
May 319:30 PM EDTF1Northwest Hills Planning Region, CT0.330$4,000
May 318:35 PM CDTF2Adair, KY1.0100$300,000
May 319:50 PM EDTF0Pike, PA0.330$40,000
May 3110:48 PM EDTF1Bell, KY1.5300$200,000
May 3112:30 AM EDTF2Lancaster, PA7.0880
May 3112:52 AM EDTF1Chester, PA3.0100$300,000
May 311:20 AM EDTF2Philadelphia, PA5.6200$1.8 million

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.