Tornadoes · United States · Oklahoma · 2019

Unrated tornado, Willow, Oklahoma, May 25, 2019

This Unrated tornado ran 0.3 miles across Greer County on May 25, 2019, touching down at 7:04 PM CDT and reaching 30 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
May 25, 2019
Touchdown
7:04 PM CDT (00:04 UTC)
Lifted
7:06 PM CDT (00:06 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.3 miles (0.5 km)
Path width
30 yards (27 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Greer County
Touchdown point
35.045, -99.516
Lift-off point
35.045, -99.516
Record number
1905251804-01

What the Weather Service recorded

Scattered supercells merged into a linear system that produced a variety of severe weather on the 25th.

An Oklahoma City television storm chaser observed a tornado that was estimated to be located just southwest of the community of Willow. No damage was reported.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down. One was issued for the county at another hour that day.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:25 UTC and running to 03:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:25 UTC03:00 UTCTornado WatchOUN
23:26 UTC23:59 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
23:48 UTC02:45 UTCFlash Flood WarningOUN
23:58 UTC00:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
00:05 UTC00:37 UTCTornado WarningOUN
00:53 UTC01:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
01:03 UTC01:30 UTCTornado WarningOUN
01:19 UTC02:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
01:35 UTC04:30 UTCFlash Flood WarningOUN
01:54 UTC07:45 UTCFlash Flood WarningOUN
01:58 UTC03:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningOUN
02:36 UTC11:30 UTCFlood WarningOUN
02:46 UTC08:45 UTCFlash Flood WarningOUN
04:38 UTC10:30 UTCFlood WarningOUN
07:31 UTC07:30 UTCFlood WarningOUN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:48 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the tornado touched down, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the tornado touched down at May 25, 6:44 PM CDT, 20 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, May 25, 6:44 PM CDT, 20 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Norman OK
644 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019

.DISCUSSION...
00Z TAFs.

&&

.AVIATION...
Main issue will be a line of thunderstorms expected to move
across the area this evening. Strong winds will be possible with
these storms. There will likely also be MVFR ceilings early Sunday
morning with the highest chances at KCSM and KWWR. And some non-
convective low-level wind shear is expected at most sites early
Sunday morning.

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /issued 253 PM CDT Sat May 25 2019/

DISCUSSION...
The focus today is centered around near-term convective/flooding
threats. Little change was made beyond today to the forecast.

Latest surface analysis shows decreasing hints of diffuse
composite surface boundary somewhere near the Kansas border.
Regardless, persistent low-level southerly flow continues to
transport moisture northward and is expected to rectify the
convectively overturned environment sampled by 12z OUN sounding.
The already moist low level environment is probably augmented by
moist ground/vegetation some. Nearly all sites across the area
have low 70 dew points.

On the western extend of anomalous low-level moisture plume and
where diabatic heating has been relatively strong, along with
influence from eastern upper level trough, storms have developed.
Expanding cold pool is likely with thees storms along the northern
caprock and growth upscale as they move eastward is expected.
This activity has been more expansive with earlier CI than most
CAMs indicated, and it seems that a more aggressive timing and
spatial coverage of multi-cell clusters and eventually an MCS
than the average CAM output shows is warranted. If storms can
remain discrete/quasi-discrete before moving into western
Oklahoma, there would be a low-end tornado threat. As low-level
jet strengthens this evening, low-level shear will increase. By
then, cold pool growth should favor linear evolution by then.
There may be a tendency for convection to be cold pool dominate,
thus limiting the tornado potential. However, similar to last
night, we'll have to watch any northwest-southeast oriented
segments with cold pool/shear balance for leading edge
circulations well into the evening, particularly if topped with
radar evidence of an organized/sustained updraft. This
displacement last night precluded more substantial QLCS tornado
potential.

Significant moisture transport vectors and anomalous PWATs will
lead to intense rainfall rates. Even with indications of steady
forward propagation the ground is quite saturated so even though
the duration may not be particularly long, the potential for
flooding/flash flooding is higher than typical in this scenario.

The trend should be for decreasing intensity with eastward extend
and a lessening of both the severe and flood potential later in
the night.

Sunday night, a similar scenario is expected with diurnally driven
activity on the High Plains once again growing up scale and moving
east-northeast posing a risk of severe storms and flooding. Given
position of synoptic features, it should be confined a little more
to the western sections of the area Monday. On Tuesday, western
trough ejects northeast and its track suggests at least modest
large scale ascent over most of our area supporting convection
over a larger portion of the area. Flooding continues to be a
concern given antecedent conditions, and the CAPE/shear parameter
space will support severe storm potential. Wednesday's potential
is a little less certain given tendency for large scale lift to
shift northeastward. It may be driven by 1) how much we
destabilize in the wake of potential lingering convection the
previous night, and 2) position of mesoscale features such as
residual boundaries. Right now, the greatest probabilities appear
to be across southern portions of the area.

The pattern late in the week and especially into next weekend
appears to trend back toward to at least some weak western mid-
upper troughing and low-level theta-e ridge, with some indication
of a east-west quasi-stationary synoptic front just north of us.
This would indicate a potentially active convective period
continuing with heavy rain/flooding possibly still a concern.

BRB

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Oklahoma City OK  67  82  68  83 /  70  10  30  10
Hobart OK         66  81  66  83 /  70  10  40  10
Wichita Falls TX  68  85  68  87 /  60   0  20  10
Gage OK           62  79  62  82 /  70  40  50  20
Ponca City OK     67  83  68  85 /  70  20  40  10
Durant OK         69  85  69  86 /  20  10  10  10

&&

.OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OK...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for OKZ004>026-033>038.

TX...Flood Watch through Sunday morning for TXZ083-084.

&&
Hazardous weather outlook, May 25, 11:26 AM CDT, 7 hours 38 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook...UPDATED
National Weather Service Norman OK
1126 AM CDT Sat May 25 2019

OKZ004>048-050>052-TXZ083>090-261630-
Harper-Woods-Alfalfa-Grant-Kay-Ellis-Woodward-Major-Garfield-
Noble-Roger Mills-Dewey-Custer-Blaine-Kingfisher-Logan-Payne-
Beckham-Washita-Caddo-Canadian-Oklahoma-Lincoln-Grady-McClain-
Cleveland-Pottawatomie-Seminole-Hughes-Harmon-Greer-Kiowa-Jackson-
Tillman-Comanche-Stephens-Garvin-Murray-Pontotoc-Coal-Cotton-
Jefferson-Carter-Johnston-Atoka-Love-Marshall-Bryan-Hardeman-
Foard-Wilbarger-Wichita-Knox-Baylor-Archer-Clay-
1126 AM CDT Sat May 25 2019

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of northern...
western...central...and southern Oklahoma...and western north
Texas.

.DAY ONE...Through tonight...

.Thunderstorms...
There is an Enhanced Risk of severe thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening.

Location...
The Enhanced Risk is generally west of a Blackwell, to Enid, to
Hobart, to Crowell Texas line. A Slight Risk extends farther east
to Stillwater, Purcell, and Wichita Falls.

Timing...
Severe storms could move into western Oklahoma and western north
Texas by 4 pm, then spread north and east through the evening.

Impacts...
Hail up to golf ball size.
Winds 60 to 80 mph.
Low tornado risk, mainly in the Enhanced Risk area.

.SPOTTER AND EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT STATEMENT...
Storm spotter groups and emergency management personnel should
prepare for severe weather operations this afternoon and evening.

.Heavy Rainfall and Flooding...
Additional rainfall may cause flooding due to saturated soils
across the region. The highest risk for flooding is across
northern and western Oklahoma.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday...

.Thunderstorms...
There is a risk for severe thunderstorms Sunday through Wednesday.
The greatest risk will be on Tuesday, mainly across northern and
central Oklahoma.

.Heavy Rainfall and Flooding...
Flooding will continue into next week and additional heavy rain
from thunderstorms will exacerbate the flooding, especially across
northern portions of Oklahoma.

Get graphics and more details at weather.gov/norman...and follow
our weather forecast office on Twitter and Facebook.

In the hours before

Local storm report, May 25, 6:23 PM CDT, 41 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
623 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0615 PM     TSTM WND GST     4 ESE ERICK             35.19N 99.80W
05/25/2019  M65 MPH          BECKHAM            OK   ASOS

&&

JT
Local storm report, May 25, 6:45 PM CDT, 19 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
645 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0632 PM     FLASH FLOOD      WOODWARD                36.43N 99.39W
05/25/2019                   WOODWARD           OK   PUBLIC

            1.5 FEET OF WATER ON MANY ROADWAYS AND PARKING LOTS. MOST
            ROADS ARE INACCESSIBLE.

&&

JT
Local storm report, May 25, 6:49 PM CDT, 15 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
649 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0639 PM     LIGHTNING        3 SE QUINLAN            36.42N 99.01W
05/25/2019                   WOODWARD           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            TANK BATTERY HIT BY LIGHTNING, ON FIRE.

&&

JT
Local storm report, May 25, 6:51 PM CDT, 13 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
651 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0647 PM     TSTM WND DMG     6 S WOODWARD            36.35N 99.39W
05/25/2019                   WOODWARD           OK   EMERGENCY MNGR

            POWER LINES DOWN.

&&

JT
Local storm report, May 25, 6:56 PM CDT, 8 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
656 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0650 PM     HAIL             1 SE SAYRE              35.28N 99.62W
05/25/2019  E0.50 INCH       BECKHAM            OK   PUBLIC

            MPING REPORT.

&&

JT
Local storm report, May 25, 7:04 PM CDT, 0 minutes before
PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORMAN OK
704 PM CDT SAT MAY 25 2019

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0617 PM     HAIL             10 NW ELK CITY          35.51N 99.54W
05/25/2019  E0.75 INCH       ROGER MILLS        OK   PUBLIC

            MPING REPORT.

&&

JT

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Norman, OK (KOUN), 00:00Z

0.1 hours before the tornado, 193 km from the path. May 26, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2019-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1531 joules per kilogram, CIN -29, lifted condensation level 1082 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 00:00Z on 2019-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 98 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1531 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-29 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3625 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1082 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
20 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
98 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.5
Supercell composite
12.6
0-3 km lapse rate
5.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Norman, OK (KOUN), 12:00Z

11.9 hours after it, 193 km from the path. May 26, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2019-05-26Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 97 joules per kilogram, CIN -335, lifted condensation level 919 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Norman, OK at 12:00Z on 2019-05-26The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 262 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 47 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
97 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-335 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
919 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
47 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
262 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
278 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.5
0-3 km lapse rate
3.0 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Altus AFB radar (KFDR), 91 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:02 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:15 UTCTSTM WND GST 654 Ese ErickBeckham, OK
23:17 UTCHAIL 0.7510 Nw Elk CityRoger Mills, OKMPING REPORT.
23:50 UTCHAIL 0.51 Se SayreBeckham, OKMPING REPORT.
00:48 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 Ene SayreBeckham, OKTWITTER REPORT WITH PICTURE. TIMBER BEAN CREEK AND COFFEE BEAN CREEK BOTH OUT OF THEIR BANKS AT DOXEY OK, EAST OF SAYRE. OVER 3 INCHES OF RAIN IN A LITTLE OVER AN HOUR.
01:00 UTCHAIL 0.75Se Burns FlatWashita, OK
01:18 UTCFLASH FLOOD8 Wsw Burns FlatWashita, OK10-15 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING OVER HWY 152.
01:22 UTCFLASH FLOOD6 Wsw Burns FlatWashita, OK9 INCHES FOR 100 FEET COVERS ROADWAY IN VARIOUS STRETCHES.
02:03 UTCFLASH FLOODBurns FlatWashita, OKWASHITA CO SHERIFFS OFFICE REPORTS MOST ROADS IN BURNS FLAT ARE FLOODED, SOME WITH THREE FEET OF WATER.
02:24 UTCTSTM WND GST 60HobartKiowa, OK60MPH WIND MEASURED AT INTERSECTION OF HWY 183 AND HWY 9.
02:31 UTCHAIL 13 Sse Altus-Lugert LakeKiowa, OKMPING REPORT.
02:32 UTCTSTM WND GST 60HobartKiowa, OK
02:32 UTCHAIL 1HobartKiowa, OKQUARTER SIZE HAIL IN HOBART. ZERO VISIBILITY DUE TO RAIN AND HAIL.
02:44 UTCFLASH FLOOD3 E SentinelWashita, OK4 TO 8 INCHES OF WATER RUNNING ACROSS THE ROAD BETWEEN SENTINEL AND ROCKY.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in OklahomaEvery tornado in Oklahoma since 1950Warnings in force in Oklahoma nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 25, 2019

21 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 254:59 PM CDTUnratedHockley, TX1.130
May 255:39 PM CDTEF2Hale, TX1.7100$250,000
May 256:42 PM EDTEF1Carroll, OH0.550$60,000
May 256:08 PM CDTUnratedHale, TX4.6100
May 257:14 PM CDTUnratedBeckham, OK0.250
May 258:27 PM EDTEF1Indiana, PA5.135
May 258:32 PM EDTEF0Indiana, PA0.120
May 257:40 PM CDTUnratedHall, TX0.030
May 2510:28 PM CDTEF3Canadian, OK2.275229$400,000
May 2510:46 PM CDTEF0Oklahoma, OK0.950$20,000
May 2510:49 PM CDTEF0Oklahoma, OK0.750$20,000
May 2510:53 PM CDTEF0Oklahoma, OK0.530$10,000
May 2510:56 PM CDTEF0Cleveland, OK0.730$10,000
May 2510:57 PM CDTEF0Oklahoma, OK0.230$2,000
May 2511:14 PM CDTEF1Tazewell, IL1.1200
May 2511:19 PM CDTEF1Tazewell, IL0.7150
May 2512:04 AM CDTEF1Creek, OK2.6200$40,000
May 2512:14 AM CDTEF1Creek, OK10.71,000$250,000
May 2512:21 AM CDTEF1Creek, OK12.51,400$760,000
May 2512:27 AM CDTEF1Tulsa, OK12.32,200$1.1 million
May 2512:51 AM CDTEF0Tulsa, OK1.8400$175,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.