Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2024

EF0 tornado, Shelby, Nebraska, May 21, 2024

This EF0 tornado ran 4.1 miles across Polk County on May 21, 2024, touching down at 4:54 AM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $1.0 million of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 21, 2024
Touchdown
4:54 AM CDT (09:54 UTC)
Lifted
4:58 AM CDT (09:58 UTC)
On the ground
4 minutes
Path length
4.1 miles (6.6 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$1.0 million
County
Polk County
Touchdown point
41.303, -97.472
Lift-off point
41.326, -97.398
Record number
2405210354-01

The damage survey

40 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID and NWS OAX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 94 mph.

  • Loss of siding and roof panels
  • Trees topped, large branches snapped
  • Pivot flipped powerlines/ poles down
  • Several downed trees and broken branches

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A couple rounds of thunderstorms brings severe hail and wind to portions of south central Nebraska during the evening of May 20th and into the early morning hours of May 21st. The first round of thunderstorms developed between 6-7PM CDT along a retreating warm front that stretched W-E along roughly the I-80 corridor between Grand Island and York. This activity consisted of several semi-discrete supercells with primarily a severe hail threat of 1 to 2 inches in diameter. The greatest concentration of severe hail occurred in Hall County from Wood River to Grand Island. The severe threat with this initial round waned with loss of daytime heating between 8-9PM CDT. ||A second round of severe weather, consisting of scattered to widespread convection along the existing W to E warm front, as well as an advancing N-S outflow from the west affected the area after midnight. Severe weather reports were generally limited to low-end severe wind (i.e. measured wind gusts 55-60 MPH), and somewhat hit and miss. The exception to this was along the Hwy 81 corridor in Fillmore and Polk Counties were wind gusts of 65-75 MPH were measured on a couple of mesonet stations. Also, a small (only 75 yds wide), weak tornado (EF-0) was surveyed in extreme NE Polk County where tree, power pole, and pivot damage was noted. The severe threat with this second round shifted east of the GID CWA by around 5AM CDT.

A brief EF0 rated tornado skirted its way across northern Polk County in the early morning hours of May 21st. The tornado damaged trees, downed power lines and poles, and overturned several irrigation pivots. The peak wind was estimated to be 80 MPH.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 04:34 UTC and running to 11:17 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
23:31 UTC04:34 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchGID
00:00 UTC00:24 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
00:00 UTC18:00 UTCFlood WatchGID
04:34 UTC11:17 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchGID
06:42 UTC07:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
07:54 UTC14:00 UTCFlood AdvisoryGID
09:33 UTC10:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.02 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 05:54 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

9.9 hours before the tornado, 89 km from the path. May 21, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2024-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1458 joules per kilogram, CIN -29, lifted condensation level 1666 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2024-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 18 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 34 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1458 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-29 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2709 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1666 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
34 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
5 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
18 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
55 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
2.3
0-3 km lapse rate
7.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Columbus Municipal (OLU), 17 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
07:55 UTC50° 5 kt1002-RA BR
07:56 UTC646360° 5 kt1002VCTS -RA BR
08:00 UTC64.462.680° 6 kt1002VCTS -RA BR
08:00 UTC70° 5 kt1002-RA BR
08:05 UTC110° 7 kt1002.4-RA BR
08:10 UTC100° 5 kt1002.4-RA BR
08:15 UTC60° 10 kt1001.7-RA BR
08:20 UTC70° 10 kt1001-RA BR
08:21 UTC64.464.480° 11 kt1001-RA BR
08:25 UTC70° 10 kt1000.7-RA
08:30 UTC10° 5 kt1001RA
08:34 UTC64.464.440° 6 kt1001.4VCTS -RA
08:35 UTC60° 5 kt1001.4-RA
08:40 UTC80° 5 kt1001RA
08:45 UTC80° 9 kt1001RA
08:49 UTC64.464.490° 14 kt1000.7-TSRA
08:50 UTC 1000.7-RA
08:55 UTC100° 9 kt1000+RA BR
08:56 UTC6464100° 10 kt1000+TSRA BR
09:10 UTC110° 7 kt1000RA
09:15 UTC110° 5 kt1000.3-RA
09:19 UTC64.462.690° 7 kt1000VCTS -RA
09:20 UTC80° 7 kt1000-RA
09:25 UTC80° 9 kt999.7-RA
09:30 UTC80° 11 kt999.7-RA
09:35 UTC90° 10 kt999-RA
09:40 UTC80° 7 kt998-RA
09:43 UTC64.462.6100° 7 kt998-RA
09:45 UTC90° 7 kt998
09:50 UTC80° 7 kt-RA
09:55 UTC60° 7 kt-RA
09:56 UTC646360° 8 kt997-TSRA
10:00 UTC70° 8 kt+RA
10:05 UTC64.462.6230° 38 kt551000.7+TSRA BR SQ

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Omaha radar (KOAX), 89 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 09:52 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
09:16 UTCTSTM WND GST 578 Nne PalmerNance, NE
09:16 UTCTSTM WND GST 578 Nne PalmerNance, NE
09:29 UTCTSTM WND DMGFullertonNance, NEEM sent photos of branches down and at least one tree. Time estimated from radar and nearby mesonet ob.
09:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 695 Se Cedar RapidsBoone, NE
09:38 UTCTSTM WND GST 659 Wnw GenoaNance, NE
09:38 UTCTSTM WND GST 659 Wnw GenoaNance, NE
09:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 547 E ClarksPolk, NE
09:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 547 E ClarksPolk, NE
09:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 547 E ClarksPolk, NE
09:52 UTCTSTM WND GST 563 N GenoaNance, NE
09:52 UTCTSTM WND GST 563 N GenoaNance, NE
09:54 UTCTSTM WND GST 744 Ese OsceolaPolk, NE
09:54 UTCTSTM WND GST 744 Ese OsceolaPolk, NE
09:54 UTCTORNADO8 Nnw ShelbyPolk, NEResult from survey of May 21 storms. EF0 rated tornado in northeast Polk County with estimated maximum wind 80 mph. Damaged trees, power poles and pivots. Path was 4.41 miles and width estimated to be 75 yards.
10:03 UTCTSTM WND GST 631 Nnw ColumbusPlatte, NE
10:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 902 Ne ColumbusPlatte, NEMultiple power poles snapped off on the northeast side of Columbus. Tree damage around Columbus as well.
10:06 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 W BellwoodButler, NESeveral center pivots overturned and multiple power poles snapped from the intersection of U.S. 81 and state highway 64 east to Bellwood. Report time based on radar.
10:14 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Ene RichlandColfax, NENumerous outbuildings have roofs off including a machine shed and 2 hog units. Numerous overturned pivots. Time based on radar.
10:25 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Se BrainardButler, NEseveral tree tops snapped. Also 4.50 rainfall. Time estimated from radar.
10:30 UTCTSTM WND GST 79HowellsColfax, NE
10:33 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 N ValparaisoSaunders, NECorrects previous tstm wnd dmg report to fix the time Delayed report: Roof taken off shed. Several large trees blown over. Time estimated from radar.
10:51 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 N ValparaisoSaunders, NEDelayed report: Roof taken off shed. Several large trees blown over. Time estimated from radar.
12:00 UTCRAIN 2.51 Sse StromsburgPolk, NE
12:00 UTCRAIN 2.72OsceolaPolk, NE.
12:00 UTCRAIN 2.72OsceolaPolk, NE
12:00 UTCRAIN 3.35ShelbyPolk, NE.
12:00 UTCRAIN 3.35ShelbyPolk, NE
12:05 UTCTSTM WND GST 632 Ne ColumbusPlatte, NEMeasured by ASOS at the Columbus Airport.
12:30 UTCRAIN 2.551 Ese StromsburgPolk, NE
12:42 UTCFLASH FLOODBrunoButler, NEMany roads underwater, especially in the Skull Creek area.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2024 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 21, 2024

42 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 215:14 AM CDTEF0Colfax, NE0.550
May 215:23 AM CDTEF0Butler, NE0.650
May 215:27 AM CDTEF0Butler, NE2.650
May 215:45 AM CDTEF0Saunders, NE0.450
May 217:10 AM CDTEF0Montgomery, IA0.740
May 217:32 AM CDTEF1Page, IA3.380
May 2112:52 PM CDTEF0Saunders, NE0.250
May 212:30 PM CDTEF1Buena Vista, IA1.675
May 212:35 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IA2.970
May 212:43 PM CDTEF3Page, IA33.91,300$1.0 million
May 212:57 PM CDTEF1Page, IA1.785
May 212:59 PM CDTEF4Greenfield tornado, IA40.61,600535$32 million
May 213:09 PM CDTEF0Audubon, IA7.2100$10,000
May 213:18 PM CDTEF1Adams, IA12.7200$101,000
May 213:39 PM CDTEF2Adair, IA14.6200$750,000
May 213:48 PM CDTEF0Martin, MN2.375
May 213:50 PM CDTEF0Union, IA4.075$20,000
May 214:25 PM CDTEF0Warren, IA1.040$30,000
May 214:28 PM CDTEF0Warren, IA2.075$10,000
May 214:30 PM CDTEF2Polk, IA40.81,0004$8.4 million
May 215:25 PM CDTEF0Henry, MO0.350
May 215:27 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK5.3500$100,000
May 215:39 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK1.0100$10,000
May 215:41 PM CDTEF0Goodhue, MN0.725
May 216:01 PM CDTEF1Winona, MN to WI19.7110$320,000
May 216:14 PM CDTEF1Buffalo, WI3.9100$80,000
May 216:17 PM CDTEF1Buffalo, WI2.745$126,000
May 216:34 PM CDTEF1Trempealeau, WI0.8150$79,000
May 216:56 PM CDTEF1Eau Claire, WI9.5440
May 216:59 PM CDTEF1Jackson, WI3.175
May 217:08 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI7.0300$140,000
May 217:20 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI9.1120$88,000
May 217:27 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI4.0150$270,000
May 217:29 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI2.275$70,000
May 217:33 PM CDTEF0Clark, WI1.475$33,000
May 217:34 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI4.0110$345,000
May 217:47 PM CDTEF1Marathon, WI2.160
May 217:49 PM CDTEF1Dane, WI4.675$1.1 million
May 217:51 PM CDTEF1Marathon, WI2.180
May 217:59 PM CDTEF1Marquette, WI5.360$60,000
May 218:58 PM CDTEF1Outagamie, WI2.780
May 2110:32 PM CDTEF1Door, WI2.350

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.