Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2024

EF0 tornado, Welch to Red Wing, Minnesota, May 21, 2024

From Welch to Red Wing, this EF0 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Goodhue County on May 21, 2024, touching down at 5:41 PM CDT and reaching 25 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 21, 2024
Touchdown
5:41 PM CDT (22:41 UTC)
Lifted
5:42 PM CDT (22:42 UTC)
On the ground
1 minutes
Path length
0.7 miles (1.1 km)
Path width
25 yards (23 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Goodhue County
Touchdown point
44.560, -92.636
Lift-off point
44.569, -92.630
Record number
2405211641-01

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 70 mph.

  • Fence also pushed in somewhat.
  • Several trees had large branches broken.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A low pressure center in southeast Nebraska during the morning of May 21 reached southeast Minnesota during the evening. A warm front extended to the east-northeast from the low. Severe storms developed, producing two tornadoes: one in south central MN and another in southeast MN. Severe other storms produced wind damage, mostly to trees and power lines.

The tornado broke about 12-15 trees in three different groves. Two evergreens were also tipped over. It also carved out a path through some tall grasses. The estimated maximum wind speed was 70 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

21 minutes of warning. NWS MPX issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:20 UTC, 21 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:42 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:15 UTC and running to 23:02 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
06:00 UTC03:00 UTCFlood WatchMPX
18:15 UTC23:02 UTCTornado WatchMPX
21:46 UTC22:01 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningMPX
21:50 UTC22:30 UTCTornado WarningMPX
22:20 UTC22:42 UTCTornado WarningMPX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z

10.7 hours before the tornado, 83 km from the path. May 21, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2024-05-21Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 67 joules per kilogram, CIN -85, lifted condensation level 840 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 12:00Z on 2024-05-21The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 17 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
67 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-85 J/kg
Surface CAPE
102 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
840 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
15 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
30 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z

1.3 hours after it, 83 km from the path. May 22, 2024.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2024-05-22Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 37 joules per kilogram, CIN -259, lifted condensation level 999 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Minneapolis, MN at 00:00Z on 2024-05-22The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 38 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
37 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-259 J/kg
Surface CAPE
534 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
999 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
38 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
116 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
-0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
5.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Red Wing (RGK), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:55 UTC66.264.460° 5 kt996.3+TSRA
21:31 UTC64.462.660° 7 kt15993.9TS +RA
21:35 UTC64.462.660° 6 kt15994.9+TSRA
21:37 UTC64.462.610° 5 kt15994.9+TSRA
22:04 UTC64.462.620° 6 kt994.2VCTS +RA
22:35 UTC64.462.620° 3 kt993.9+TSRA
22:55 UTC62.660.8210° 17 kt36995.9
23:15 UTC62.660.8210° 13 kt18995.6-VCTSRA
23:35 UTC62.660.8190° 5 kt995.3RA
23:55 UTC62.659200° 10 kt16995.3+TSRA
00:15 UTC62.659220° 12 kt19994.9TSRA
00:35 UTC62.6590° 0 kt992.9+TSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 80 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:39 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:57 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S FaribaultRice, MNLarge tree down blocking roadway 2 miles south of Faribault. Time estimated via radar.
21:57 UTCTSTM WND DMG2 S FaribaultRice, MNLarge tree down blocking roadway 2 miles south of Faribault. Time estimated via radar.
22:24 UTCTSTM WND GST 50West ConcordDodge, MN
22:29 UTCHAIL 0.255 Ese DouglasOlmsted, MN
22:31 UTCHAIL 0.753 Nne RochesterOlmsted, MN
22:39 UTCHAIL 0.253 Ssw Zumbro FallsWabasha, MN
22:41 UTCTSTM WND DMGKassonDodge, MNLarge tree split. Also downed large branches and power lines and a rolled semi on Highway 14.
22:41 UTCTORNADO5 W Red WingGoodhue, MNA tornado tracked for two thirds of a mile near the intersection of Highway 61 and Highway 19 Blvd. It mostly went through fields just southwest and west of a school but did break or tip over about 12 to 15 trees. It was
22:55 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Nnw ElginWabasha, MNOne pine tree branch down.
23:11 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 N KelloggWabasha, MNLarge pine tree snapped on County Road 24.
23:33 UTCTSTM WND DMGElginWabasha, MN
23:41 UTCTSTM WND DMGElginWabasha, MN
23:54 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 E DouglasOlmsted, MNReport from mPING: 3-inch tree limbs broken; Power poles broken.
23:59 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 E DouglasOlmsted, MNReport from mPING: Trees uprooted or snapped; Roof blown off.
01:05 UTCRAIN 2.22 Sse Apple ValleyDakota, MNCoCoRaHS observer measured 2.20 inches of rain in a 3.5 hour period.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2024 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 21, 2024

42 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 214:54 AM CDTEF0Polk, NE4.175$1.0 million
May 215:14 AM CDTEF0Colfax, NE0.550
May 215:23 AM CDTEF0Butler, NE0.650
May 215:27 AM CDTEF0Butler, NE2.650
May 215:45 AM CDTEF0Saunders, NE0.450
May 217:10 AM CDTEF0Montgomery, IA0.740
May 217:32 AM CDTEF1Page, IA3.380
May 2112:52 PM CDTEF0Saunders, NE0.250
May 212:30 PM CDTEF1Buena Vista, IA1.675
May 212:35 PM CDTEF1Montgomery, IA2.970
May 212:43 PM CDTEF3Page, IA33.91,300$1.0 million
May 212:57 PM CDTEF1Page, IA1.785
May 212:59 PM CDTEF4Greenfield tornado, IA40.61,600535$32 million
May 213:09 PM CDTEF0Audubon, IA7.2100$10,000
May 213:18 PM CDTEF1Adams, IA12.7200$101,000
May 213:39 PM CDTEF2Adair, IA14.6200$750,000
May 213:48 PM CDTEF0Martin, MN2.375
May 213:50 PM CDTEF0Union, IA4.075$20,000
May 214:25 PM CDTEF0Warren, IA1.040$30,000
May 214:28 PM CDTEF0Warren, IA2.075$10,000
May 214:30 PM CDTEF2Polk, IA40.81,0004$8.4 million
May 215:25 PM CDTEF0Henry, MO0.350
May 215:27 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK5.3500$100,000
May 215:39 PM CDTEF1Rogers, OK1.0100$10,000
May 216:01 PM CDTEF1Winona, MN to WI19.7110$320,000
May 216:14 PM CDTEF1Buffalo, WI3.9100$80,000
May 216:17 PM CDTEF1Buffalo, WI2.745$126,000
May 216:34 PM CDTEF1Trempealeau, WI0.8150$79,000
May 216:56 PM CDTEF1Eau Claire, WI9.5440
May 216:59 PM CDTEF1Jackson, WI3.175
May 217:08 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI7.0300$140,000
May 217:20 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI9.1120$88,000
May 217:27 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI4.0150$270,000
May 217:29 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI2.275$70,000
May 217:33 PM CDTEF0Clark, WI1.475$33,000
May 217:34 PM CDTEF1Clark, WI4.0110$345,000
May 217:47 PM CDTEF1Marathon, WI2.160
May 217:49 PM CDTEF1Dane, WI4.675$1.1 million
May 217:51 PM CDTEF1Marathon, WI2.180
May 217:59 PM CDTEF1Marquette, WI5.360$60,000
May 218:58 PM CDTEF1Outagamie, WI2.780
May 2110:32 PM CDTEF1Door, WI2.350

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.