Tornadoes · United States · Minnesota · 2024
EF0 tornado, Welch to Red Wing, Minnesota, May 21, 2024
From Welch to Red Wing, this EF0 tornado ran 0.7 miles across Goodhue County on May 21, 2024, touching down at 5:41 PM CDT and reaching 25 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- May 21, 2024
- Touchdown
- 5:41 PM CDT (22:41 UTC)
- Lifted
- 5:42 PM CDT (22:42 UTC)
- On the ground
- 1 minutes
- Path length
- 0.7 miles (1.1 km)
- Path width
- 25 yards (23 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Goodhue County
- Touchdown point
- 44.560, -92.636
- Lift-off point
- 44.569, -92.630
- Record number
- 2405211641-01
The damage survey
2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS MPX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 70 mph.
- Fence also pushed in somewhat.
- Several trees had large branches broken.
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A low pressure center in southeast Nebraska during the morning of May 21 reached southeast Minnesota during the evening. A warm front extended to the east-northeast from the low. Severe storms developed, producing two tornadoes: one in south central MN and another in southeast MN. Severe other storms produced wind damage, mostly to trees and power lines.
The tornado broke about 12-15 trees in three different groves. Two evergreens were also tipped over. It also carved out a path through some tall grasses. The estimated maximum wind speed was 70 mph.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
21 minutes of warning. NWS MPX issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:20 UTC, 21 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:42 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 18:15 UTC and running to 23:02 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06:00 UTC | 03:00 UTC | Flood Watch | MPX |
| 18:15 UTC | 23:02 UTC | Tornado Watch | MPX |
| 21:46 UTC | 22:01 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | MPX |
| 21:50 UTC | 22:30 UTC | Tornado Warning | MPX |
| 22:20 UTC | 22:42 UTC | Tornado Warning | MPX |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:57 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 12:00Z
10.7 hours before the tornado, 83 km from the path. May 21, 2024.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 67 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -85 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 102 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 840 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 17 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 15 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 38 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 30 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 4.7 K/km
Minneapolis, MN (KMPX), 00:00Z
1.3 hours after it, 83 km from the path. May 22, 2024.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 37 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -259 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 534 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 999 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 38 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 16 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 38 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 116 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- -0.2
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.9 K/km
The surface observations
Red Wing (RGK), 12 km from the path, in the two hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Temp (°F) | Dew point (°F) | Wind | Gust (kt) | Pressure (mb) | Weather |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20:55 UTC | 66.2 | 64.4 | 60° 5 kt | 996.3 | +TSRA | |
| 21:31 UTC | 64.4 | 62.6 | 60° 7 kt | 15 | 993.9 | TS +RA |
| 21:35 UTC | 64.4 | 62.6 | 60° 6 kt | 15 | 994.9 | +TSRA |
| 21:37 UTC | 64.4 | 62.6 | 10° 5 kt | 15 | 994.9 | +TSRA |
| 22:04 UTC | 64.4 | 62.6 | 20° 6 kt | 994.2 | VCTS +RA | |
| 22:35 UTC | 64.4 | 62.6 | 20° 3 kt | 993.9 | +TSRA | |
| 22:55 UTC | 62.6 | 60.8 | 210° 17 kt | 36 | 995.9 | |
| 23:15 UTC | 62.6 | 60.8 | 210° 13 kt | 18 | 995.6 | -VCTSRA |
| 23:35 UTC | 62.6 | 60.8 | 190° 5 kt | 995.3 | RA | |
| 23:55 UTC | 62.6 | 59 | 200° 10 kt | 16 | 995.3 | +TSRA |
| 00:15 UTC | 62.6 | 59 | 220° 12 kt | 19 | 994.9 | TSRA |
| 00:35 UTC | 62.6 | 59 | 0° 0 kt | 992.9 | +TSRA |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.
The radar
The Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 80 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:39 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21:57 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Faribault | Rice, MN | Large tree down blocking roadway 2 miles south of Faribault. Time estimated via radar. |
| 21:57 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 2 S Faribault | Rice, MN | Large tree down blocking roadway 2 miles south of Faribault. Time estimated via radar. |
| 22:24 UTC | TSTM WND GST 50 | West Concord | Dodge, MN | |
| 22:29 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | 5 Ese Douglas | Olmsted, MN | |
| 22:31 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 3 Nne Rochester | Olmsted, MN | |
| 22:39 UTC | HAIL 0.25 | 3 Ssw Zumbro Falls | Wabasha, MN | |
| 22:41 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Kasson | Dodge, MN | Large tree split. Also downed large branches and power lines and a rolled semi on Highway 14. |
| 22:41 UTC | TORNADO | 5 W Red Wing | Goodhue, MN | A tornado tracked for two thirds of a mile near the intersection of Highway 61 and Highway 19 Blvd. It mostly went through fields just southwest and west of a school but did break or tip over about 12 to 15 trees. It was |
| 22:55 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 Nnw Elgin | Wabasha, MN | One pine tree branch down. |
| 23:11 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 3 N Kellogg | Wabasha, MN | Large pine tree snapped on County Road 24. |
| 23:33 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Elgin | Wabasha, MN | |
| 23:41 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | Elgin | Wabasha, MN | |
| 23:54 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 1 E Douglas | Olmsted, MN | Report from mPING: 3-inch tree limbs broken; Power poles broken. |
| 23:59 UTC | TSTM WND DMG | 4 E Douglas | Olmsted, MN | Report from mPING: Trees uprooted or snapped; Roof blown off. |
| 01:05 UTC | RAIN 2.2 | 2 Sse Apple Valley | Dakota, MN | CoCoRaHS observer measured 2.20 inches of rain in a 3.5 hour period. |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2024 tornado in MinnesotaEvery tornado in Minnesota since 1950Warnings in force in Minnesota nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of May 21, 2024
42 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 21 | 4:54 AM CDT | EF0 | Polk, NE | 4.1 | 75 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 21 | 5:14 AM CDT | EF0 | Colfax, NE | 0.5 | 50 | |||
| May 21 | 5:23 AM CDT | EF0 | Butler, NE | 0.6 | 50 | |||
| May 21 | 5:27 AM CDT | EF0 | Butler, NE | 2.6 | 50 | |||
| May 21 | 5:45 AM CDT | EF0 | Saunders, NE | 0.4 | 50 | |||
| May 21 | 7:10 AM CDT | EF0 | Montgomery, IA | 0.7 | 40 | |||
| May 21 | 7:32 AM CDT | EF1 | Page, IA | 3.3 | 80 | |||
| May 21 | 12:52 PM CDT | EF0 | Saunders, NE | 0.2 | 50 | |||
| May 21 | 2:30 PM CDT | EF1 | Buena Vista, IA | 1.6 | 75 | |||
| May 21 | 2:35 PM CDT | EF1 | Montgomery, IA | 2.9 | 70 | |||
| May 21 | 2:43 PM CDT | EF3 | Page, IA | 33.9 | 1,300 | $1.0 million | ||
| May 21 | 2:57 PM CDT | EF1 | Page, IA | 1.7 | 85 | |||
| May 21 | 2:59 PM CDT | EF4 | Greenfield tornado, IA | 40.6 | 1,600 | 5 | 35 | $32 million |
| May 21 | 3:09 PM CDT | EF0 | Audubon, IA | 7.2 | 100 | $10,000 | ||
| May 21 | 3:18 PM CDT | EF1 | Adams, IA | 12.7 | 200 | $101,000 | ||
| May 21 | 3:39 PM CDT | EF2 | Adair, IA | 14.6 | 200 | $750,000 | ||
| May 21 | 3:48 PM CDT | EF0 | Martin, MN | 2.3 | 75 | |||
| May 21 | 3:50 PM CDT | EF0 | Union, IA | 4.0 | 75 | $20,000 | ||
| May 21 | 4:25 PM CDT | EF0 | Warren, IA | 1.0 | 40 | $30,000 | ||
| May 21 | 4:28 PM CDT | EF0 | Warren, IA | 2.0 | 75 | $10,000 | ||
| May 21 | 4:30 PM CDT | EF2 | Polk, IA | 40.8 | 1,000 | 4 | $8.4 million | |
| May 21 | 5:25 PM CDT | EF0 | Henry, MO | 0.3 | 50 | |||
| May 21 | 5:27 PM CDT | EF1 | Rogers, OK | 5.3 | 500 | $100,000 | ||
| May 21 | 5:39 PM CDT | EF1 | Rogers, OK | 1.0 | 100 | $10,000 | ||
| May 21 | 6:01 PM CDT | EF1 | Winona, MN to WI | 19.7 | 110 | $320,000 | ||
| May 21 | 6:14 PM CDT | EF1 | Buffalo, WI | 3.9 | 100 | $80,000 | ||
| May 21 | 6:17 PM CDT | EF1 | Buffalo, WI | 2.7 | 45 | $126,000 | ||
| May 21 | 6:34 PM CDT | EF1 | Trempealeau, WI | 0.8 | 150 | $79,000 | ||
| May 21 | 6:56 PM CDT | EF1 | Eau Claire, WI | 9.5 | 440 | |||
| May 21 | 6:59 PM CDT | EF1 | Jackson, WI | 3.1 | 75 | |||
| May 21 | 7:08 PM CDT | EF1 | Clark, WI | 7.0 | 300 | $140,000 | ||
| May 21 | 7:20 PM CDT | EF1 | Clark, WI | 9.1 | 120 | $88,000 | ||
| May 21 | 7:27 PM CDT | EF1 | Clark, WI | 4.0 | 150 | $270,000 | ||
| May 21 | 7:29 PM CDT | EF1 | Clark, WI | 2.2 | 75 | $70,000 | ||
| May 21 | 7:33 PM CDT | EF0 | Clark, WI | 1.4 | 75 | $33,000 | ||
| May 21 | 7:34 PM CDT | EF1 | Clark, WI | 4.0 | 110 | $345,000 | ||
| May 21 | 7:47 PM CDT | EF1 | Marathon, WI | 2.1 | 60 | |||
| May 21 | 7:49 PM CDT | EF1 | Dane, WI | 4.6 | 75 | $1.1 million | ||
| May 21 | 7:51 PM CDT | EF1 | Marathon, WI | 2.1 | 80 | |||
| May 21 | 7:59 PM CDT | EF1 | Marquette, WI | 5.3 | 60 | $60,000 | ||
| May 21 | 8:58 PM CDT | EF1 | Outagamie, WI | 2.7 | 80 | |||
| May 21 | 10:32 PM CDT | EF1 | Door, WI | 2.3 | 50 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.