Tornadoes · United States · Nebraska · 2021

EF0 tornado, Aurora, Nebraska, May 2, 2021

This EF0 tornado ran 0.9 miles across Hamilton County on May 2, 2021, touching down at 7:51 PM CDT and reaching 150 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $45,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
May 2, 2021
Touchdown
7:51 PM CDT (00:51 UTC)
Lifted
7:56 PM CDT (00:56 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
0.9 miles (1.5 km)
Path width
150 yards (137 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$45,000
County
Hamilton County
Touchdown point
40.840, -97.991
Lift-off point
40.853, -97.997
Record number
2105021851-02

The damage survey

7 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS GID, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 75 mph.

  • Crossing Highway 14 south of Aurora. Video evidence.
  • Dozen or so roll up door in storage unit damaged. One larger overhead door blown out.
  • Large garage door on what side buckled.
  • Estimated start point of tornado.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Slow moving front brought severe thunderstorms, including landspouts, and heavy rain to portions of south central Nebraska during the evening of May 2nd. A line of thunderstorms blossomed along a stationary front between 6-8PM CDT from southern Gosper County E to Adams County, then NE to Polk County. Once this activity developed, it remained nearly stationary until around 10PM CDT when an upper level disturbance arrived from the W and began to nudge convection to the E and SE. The primary hazard with the initial convection was landspout tornadoes. A total of four landspout tornadoes were observed: one in Kearney County, two in Hamilton County, and one in Polk County. Landspout tornadoes are often very weak and cause little to no damage. These landspouts generally fall into that category, but two of them did cause at least minor damage. Most notable was the landspout that occurred near Hwy 14 just S of Aurora. Not only was it very photogenic, but it also caused damage to a storage building and downed a power line. Other severe reports were limited to severe wind gust in Furnas County, and a large hail report in Kearney County. By late evening and into the overnight, the main threat turned to flash flooding due to the stationary/nearly-stationary nature of the thunderstorms. The heaviest rainfall amounts ranged from 3 to 6 inches and flash flooding was reported in Kearney, Adams, and Hamilton Counties. Impacts ranged from flooded streets, underpasses, and rural roads, to water in some basements in Aurora. Thunderstorms weakened considerably by midnight and lingering rain showers ended by dawn on the morning of the 3rd.||The landspout tornadoes developed within a zone of favorable juxtaposition of steep low level lapse rates, moderate low level instability, weak deep layer shear, and high ambient surface vorticity associated with the stalled surface boundary. Heavy rainfall was supported by aforementioned extremely slow storm motions, as well as seasonably high deep layer moisture.

This landspout moved north-northwest for approximately 1 mile before diminishing roughly as it crossed Highway 14 just south of Aurora. The main observable damage was damage to storage building roll-up doors, a couple of larger overhead doors and a downed power line. The treeline near the start of the tornado had evidence of cornstalks lofted up into the trees and power lines.

This landspout was rated an unknown EF scale and unknown wind speed because of the lack of observable damage. The location was estimated based on pictures and videos.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 22:46 UTC and running to 03:55 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:46 UTC03:55 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchGID
00:57 UTC01:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningGID
03:12 UTC08:47 UTCFlash Flood WarningGID
08:47 UTC15:00 UTCFlood WarningGID

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Marginal Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 19:43 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 00:00Z

0.9 hours before the tornado, 146 km from the path. May 3, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1198 joules per kilogram, CIN -9, lifted condensation level 1730 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 00:00Z on 2021-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 61 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 24 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1198 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-9 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1901 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1730 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
24 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
8 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
61 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
70 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.1
Supercell composite
1.7
0-3 km lapse rate
8.1 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Omaha, NE (KOAX), 12:00Z

11.1 hours after it, 146 km from the path. May 3, 2021.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -96573, lifted condensation level 1012 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Omaha, NE at 12:00Z on 2021-05-03The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 41 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 29 knots.193958Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-96573 J/kg
Surface CAPE
3 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1012 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
29 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
13 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
41 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
105 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
4.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Aurora (AUH), 5 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
22:55 UTC82.855220° 9 kt996.6
23:15 UTC83.854.7240° 8 kt996.6
23:35 UTC8353.8220° 12 kt15996.3
23:55 UTC82.853.2260° 9 kt996.6
00:15 UTC82.252.7340° 10 kt14996.6
00:35 UTC80.651.8360° 12 kt996.3
00:55 UTC79.253350° 10 kt995.9VCTS
01:15 UTC7459.2170° 23 kt28996.6VCTS
01:35 UTC69.858.3190° 11 kt20997-VCTSRA
01:55 UTC69.457.7250° 5 kt997-TSRA
02:15 UTC68.758.5360° 24 kt31998.6+TSRA
02:35 UTC6358.3160° 7 kt20999.7+TSRA

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Grand Island radar (KUEX), 70 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:51 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
00:50 UTCTORNADO1 Sse AuroraHamilton, NEEMERGENCY MANAGER CONFIRMS THAT A LANDSPOUT BLEW IN GARAGE DOORS AT A STORAGE UNIT ON THE EXTREME SOUTH SIDE OF AURORA NEAR HIGHWAY 14. SEVERAL VIDEOS OF THIS ACTIVITY ALSO RECEIVED VIA SOCIAL MEDIA.
01:00 UTCTORNADO5 Wsw StromsburgPolk, NEEMERGENCY MANAGER REPORTS A HORSE TRAILER FLIPPED ALONG HIGHWAY 66 FROM A LIKELY LANDSPOUT. TIME ESTIMATED BASED ON SEVERAL REPORTS WE RECEIVED OF LANDSPOUTS VISIBLE FROM THE BENEDICT AND STROMSBURG AREAS.
01:20 UTCFLOOD4 Se KenesawAdams, NEREPORT OF WATER OVER COUNTY ROAD WESTER OF JUNIATA.
01:50 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.753 S ShelbyPolk, NEEM RAIN GAUGE MEASURED.
02:52 UTCFLOOD2 Ene JuniataAdams, NEREPORT FROM MPING: STREET/ROAD FLOODING; STREET/ROAD CLOSED; VEHICLES STRANDED.
03:06 UTCFLASH FLOODAuroraHamilton, NEFLOODED STREETS IN AURORA, INCLUDING UNDERPASS ON HIGHWAY 14.
03:13 UTCHEAVY RAIN 4.28AuroraHamilton, NEWUNDERGROUND STATION KNEAUROR19. STILL RAINING.
03:15 UTCHEAVY RAIN 3.26AuroraHamilton, NEDAVIS WEATHERLINK STATION. STILL RAINING.
03:18 UTCHEAVY RAIN 4.26AuroraHamilton, NEWUNDERGROUND STATION KNEAUROR15.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2021 tornado in NebraskaEvery tornado in Nebraska since 1950Warnings in force in Nebraska nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 2, 2021

26 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 23:45 PM CDTEF0Greene, AL1.445
May 24:57 PM CDTUnratedMadison Parish, LA1.425
May 25:25 PM CDTUnratedTuscaloosa, AL0.325
May 24:26 PM MDTUnratedBent, CO0.920
May 25:46 PM CDTUnratedLaSalle Parish, LA1.225
May 25:46 PM CDTEF1Issaquena, MS30.1300$505,000
May 25:53 PM CDTEF1Holmes, MS10.6450$40,000
May 25:55 PM CDTEF1Jefferson, MS14.0650$30,000
May 26:31 PM CDTEF2Holmes, MS6.0510$75,000
May 26:44 PM CDTEF0Yazoo, MS8.2100$15,000
May 26:52 PM CDTEF0Union Parish, LA0.180
May 27:20 PM CDTEF1Holmes, MS4.2300$100,000
May 27:22 PM CDTEF1Hinds, MS6.91,000$200,000
May 27:41 PM CDTEF1Madison, MS3.4250$8,000
May 27:42 PM CDTEF1Attala, MS7.5110$20,000
May 27:51 PM CDTUnratedHamilton, NE0.040
May 27:57 PM CDTEF0Kearney, NE1.7150
May 28:06 PM CDTEF0Polk, NE1.3100$45,000
May 28:08 PM CDTEF0Calhoun, MS1.350$10,000
May 28:17 PM CDTEF0Leake, MS2.950$10,000
May 28:23 PM CDTEF0Choctaw, MS2.160$5,000
May 28:30 PM CDTEF1Calhoun, MS2.150$500,000
May 29:15 PM CDTEF0Chickasaw, MS7.550$25,000
May 29:40 PM CDTEF1Pontotoc, MS4.5150$125,000
May 29:53 PM CDTEF1Lee, MS12.7400$1.0 million
May 210:22 PM CDTEF0Lee, MS2.0100$25,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.