Tornadoes · United States · Michigan · 2019

EF0 tornado, Lennon to Otisville Arpt, Michigan, March 14, 2019

From Lennon to Otisville Arpt, this EF0 tornado ran 6.5 miles across Genesee County on March 14, 2019, touching down at 7:24 PM EDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $100,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
March 14, 2019
Touchdown
7:24 PM EDT (23:24 UTC)
Lifted
7:29 PM EDT (23:29 UTC)
On the ground
5 minutes
Path length
6.5 miles (10.5 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$100,000
County
Genesee County
Touchdown point
43.107, -83.647
Lift-off point
43.176, -83.558
Record number
1903141724-01

The damage survey

23 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DTX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 83 mph.

  • Large tree limb down on deck. Minor housing damage.
  • Several downed and sheared tree limbs.
  • Pine tree sheared aloft and visible debris on ground.
  • Trailer home completely lifted off foundation, eventually blown into large tree.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

The first severe weather and tornado event for 2019 in Southeast Michigan occurred on Thursday, March 14. A large, powerful low pressure system moved up across the central Plains, with weather ranging from blizzards to tornadoes. There were two rounds of weather that occurred across Southeast Michigan, the first round of severe weather raced northeast across the area as storms traveled at 100 mph! The second round of severe weather, which is what brought the tornadoes to the area, was a line of thunderstorms that moved northeast just ahead of a cold front. As this line moved across the area, there were multiple areas of circulation embedded with the line which resulted in four tornado touchdowns across Shiawassee and Genesee counties. Three out of the four tornadoes were weak and rated an EF-0. The tornado that hit near Vernon, MI, was rated an EF-2. Some debris (insulation/lighter metal) from the M-71 area in Vernon was carried 7 miles by the tornado. The Shiawassee Emergency Manager reported 135 structures, 94 homes, 4 businesses, 16 barns and 22 RVs were damaged or destroyed in the wake of the storms.

The tornado touched down on Nichols Rd just south of Corunna Rd before traveling east/northeast to Calkins Rd just east of Morrish Rd. Damage included downed and snapped trees, large limbs, and a collapsed pole barn. The tornado lifted near Jennings Rd just north of Pasadena Ave.

A tornado touched down near the intersection of Stanley and Bray Roads and quickly tracked off to the northeast. The storm lifted near the M-57 and Irish Road intersection. The tornado was strongest when it hit the Camelot Villas off of Genesee Road. A mobile home was flipped onto its side, with another mobile home partially blown off the foundation. Roof and siding damage was prevalent within the mobile park. Clusters of trees were snapped and tree tops sheared along the tornado path, with a couple other small trailers flipped.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

23 minutes of warning. NWS DTX issued a tornado warning for this county at 23:01 UTC, 23 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:30 UTC.

The county was under a severe thunderstorm watch, issued at 22:10 UTC and running to 00:40 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:10 UTC00:40 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WatchDTX
23:01 UTC23:30 UTCTornado WarningDTX
23:20 UTC23:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningDTX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Slight Risk, with a 0.05 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:55 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 12:00Z

11.4 hours before the tornado, 49 km from the path. March 14, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2019-03-14Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -93024, lifted condensation level 1254 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 12:00Z on 2019-03-14The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 383 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 44 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-93024 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1254 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
44 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
67 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
383 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
243 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.3 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Detroit, MI (KDTX), 00:00Z

0.6 hours after it, 49 km from the path. March 15, 2019.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2019-03-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 78 joules per kilogram, CIN -47, lifted condensation level 1010 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Detroit, MI at 00:00Z on 2019-03-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 534 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 97 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
78 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-47 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1010 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
97 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
57 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
534 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
577 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
5.2 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Flint (FNT), 23 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
21:25 UTC160° 14 kt995.9
21:30 UTC180° 19 kt995.9
21:35 UTC170° 13 kt995.6
21:40 UTC170° 14 kt995.6
21:42 UTC5754170° 15 kt22995.3
21:45 UTC170° 14 kt19995.3
21:50 UTC170° 16 kt995.3
21:53 UTC5754170° 14 kt23994.9
21:55 UTC160° 16 kt994.9
22:00 UTC170° 15 kt994.9
22:05 UTC160° 17 kt994.9
22:10 UTC170° 18 kt994.9
22:15 UTC170° 13 kt994.6
22:20 UTC170° 15 kt20994.6
22:25 UTC170° 16 kt994.2
22:30 UTC170° 17 kt994.2
22:35 UTC180° 13 kt994.2
22:40 UTC170° 11 kt993.9
22:45 UTC180° 14 kt993.9
22:50 UTC190° 14 kt993.9
22:53 UTC6054190° 13 kt24993.9VCTS
22:55 UTC190° 13 kt18993.9
23:00 UTC180° 13 kt993.6
23:05 UTC170° 11 kt992.9
23:10 UTC 18 kt992.9
23:15 UTC 15 kt993.6
23:20 UTC 19 kt994.9-RA
23:25 UTC 17 kt994.6-RA
23:28 UTC5650260° 19 kt30994.9VCTS -RA
23:30 UTC 19 kt995.3-RA
23:31 UTC5650270° 20 kt36995.6-TSRA
23:35 UTC 995.3+RA BR
23:39 UTC5451260° 21 kt44995.3+TSRA BR
23:40 UTC260° 20 kt995.3+RA BR
23:41 UTC5451260° 20 kt44995.3+TSRA BR
23:43 UTC5451260° 16 kt32995.3+TSRA BR
23:45 UTC 17 kt994.9+RA BR
23:50 UTC260° 15 kt995.6RA BR
23:53 UTC5351260° 13 kt24995.3+TSRA BR
23:55 UTC280° 14 kt995.3+RA BR
00:00 UTC270° 13 kt994.9RA BR
00:05 UTC 13 kt995.3RA BR
00:10 UTC270° 11 kt995.3RA BR
00:15 UTC250° 8 kt995.6RA BR
00:20 UTC230° 4 kt995.3RA BR
00:25 UTC230° 5 kt995.6-RA BR
00:30 UTC230° 5 kt995.6-RA
00:31 UTC5251230° 6 kt995.6-RA
00:35 UTC210° 5 kt995.9
00:40 UTC220° 5 kt995.9
00:45 UTC220° 5 kt995.9
00:50 UTC220° 5 kt996.3
00:53 UTC5251220° 6 kt996.3
00:55 UTC230° 7 kt996.6
01:00 UTC260° 10 kt996.6-RA
01:02 UTC5351250° 9 kt996.6-RA
01:05 UTC260° 10 kt997-RA
01:10 UTC260° 9 kt996.6-RA
01:15 UTC250° 15 kt997
01:20 UTC260° 17 kt997

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Detroit radar (KDTX), 50 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 23:25 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
22:57 UTCTORNADO3 Nw DurandShiawassee, MICONFIRMED TORNADO IN THE TOWN OF VERNON NEAR SOUTH MAPLE ST AND BENNINGTON RD.
22:59 UTCTORNADO1 E VernonShiawassee, MIMETAL ROOF BLOWN OFF AND MULTIPLE TELEPHONE POLES SNAPPED.
23:01 UTCTORNADO2 Nw DurandShiawassee, MITREES DOWN ROUGHLY 6 TO 10 INCHES IN DIAMETER
23:01 UTCTORNADO3 N DurandShiawassee, MICONSIDERABLE ROOF AND STRUCTURAL DAMAGE TO RESIDENTIAL HOME.
23:03 UTCTORNADOVernonShiawassee, MILOTS OF DEBRIS AND AT LEAST TWO HOMES DAMAGED FROM A CONFIRMED TORNADO.
23:05 UTCTORNADO5 Nne DurandShiawassee, MIROOF BLOWN OFF HOUSE.
23:12 UTCTORNADO4 S FlushingGenesee, MILARGE POLE BARN FLATTENED AND WIDESPREAD ROOF DAMAGE IN AREA
23:23 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 Ene Mount MorrisGenesee, MITHREE TRAILERS DAMAGED BY WHAT IS BELIEVED TO BE STRAIGHT LINE WINDS. TRAILERS EXHIBITED ROOF DAMAGE AND DAMAGE TO SKIRTING PANELS. ADDITIONALLY, ONE OF THE TRAILERS WAS BLOWN OFF FOUNDATION.
23:35 UTCTSTM WND GST 605 Ese FowlervilleLivingston, MIMEASURED WIND GUST TAKEN AT LIVINGSTON COUNTY AIRPORT.
23:38 UTCTSTM WND DMGMayvilleTuscola, MITUSCOLA COUNTY CENTRAL DISPATCH REPORTED NUMEROUS TREES DOWN AND A PORCH ROOF BLOWN OFF IN THE MAYVILLE AREA.
00:33 UTCHAIL 1MilfordOakland, MI

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2019 tornado in MichiganEvery tornado in Michigan since 1950Warnings in force in Michigan nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 14, 2019

31 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 149:18 AM CDTEF2Carlisle, KY16.73001$1.5 million
March 1410:10 AM CDTEF1Union, KY9.91251$60,000
March 1411:14 AM CDTEF0Henderson, KY1.3100$4,000
March 1411:27 AM CDTEF0Graves, KY0.775$2,000
March 1412:42 PM CDTEF0Henderson, KY1.2100$8,000
March 142:06 PM EDTEF1Jackson, IN1.240$70,000
March 142:14 PM EDTEF0Washington, IN3.035$30,000
March 141:15 PM CDTEF0Webster, KY2.350$1,000
March 141:51 PM CDTEF0Lake, IN1.575
March 144:10 PM CDTEF1Cullman, AL11.1112
March 145:04 PM CDTEF0Blount, AL2.6115
March 145:05 PM CDTEF1Blount, AL17.21,175
March 145:25 PM CDTEF0Tuscaloosa, AL1.250
March 146:45 PM EDTEF2Shiawassee, MI18.2700$9.8 million
March 146:47 PM EDTEF0Shiawassee, MI6.4100$50,000
March 145:54 PM CDTEF1St. Clair, AL4.7530
March 147:09 PM EDTEF0Genesee, MI8.1125$75,000
March 146:19 PM CDTEF0Perry, AL4.5100
March 146:22 PM CDTEF0Calhoun, AL1.2200
March 146:37 PM CDTEF1Perry, AL9.4300
March 146:39 PM CDTEF0Marengo, AL5.1150
March 148:06 PM EDTEF0Floyd, GA1.7150$50,000
March 148:11 PM EDTEF0Stark, OH8.750$100,000
March 148:23 PM EDTEF0Stark, OH1.6100$100,000
March 147:27 PM CDTEF0Dallas, AL2.9300
March 147:39 PM CDTEF0Chilton, AL11.9350
March 148:21 PM CDTEF0Coosa, AL0.640
March 148:44 PM CDTEF1Autauga, AL7.1250
March 148:46 PM CDTEF0Coosa, AL2.1150
March 149:32 PM CDTEF2Elmore, AL8.6650
March 1410:00 PM CDTEF0Randolph, AL4.475

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.