Tornadoes · United States · Indiana · 2023

EF0 tornado, Hopewell to Providence, Indiana, March 31, 2023

From Hopewell to Providence, this EF0 tornado ran 1.9 miles across Johnson County on March 31, 2023, touching down at 11:27 PM EDT and reaching 25 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $800,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF0
Date
March 31, 2023
Touchdown
11:27 PM EDT (03:27 UTC)
Lifted
11:30 PM EDT (03:30 UTC)
On the ground
3 minutes
Path length
1.9 miles (3.1 km)
Path width
25 yards (23 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$800,000
County
Johnson County
Touchdown point
39.495, -86.174
Lift-off point
39.509, -86.142
Record number
2303312127-01

The damage survey

35 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS IND, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF3. The highest wind the damage implies is 140 mph.

  • Starting point. Trees snapped and uprooted
  • Upstairs walls gone with garage, but no anchoring of garage and no plywood or OSB on walls, just insulation panels so low end rating for DI
  • Roof damage to several homes. A pontoon was lifted over a small lake, over a house and into another home about 250 yards from lake. A race car trailer was lifted and thrown 200 yards.
  • Overhead imagery of damage

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong, occluding storm system over the Upper Midwest produced a deep column of strong southwesterly winds over the Midwest on the afternoon and evening of the 31st.|This pattern generated an inordinate amount of vertical wind shear. The overall southwesterly flow also brought rather mild and somewhat humid air into the region, which was adequately unstable given noticeably colder air aloft, especially over the southwestern quadrant of Indiana.||Resulting thunderstorms were able to mix down the stronger winds to the surface as damaging straight line gusts, while a rather low freezing level promoted isolated large hail. Ten tornadoes occurred across the region: 5 from a rotating supercell thunderstorm that tracked roughly parallel to and about 20 miles south of Interstate 70, and 5 others spawned from a squall line's northern book-end vortex that impacted north-central central Indiana. The supercell's first two tornadoes (both EF3) caused a combined 5 fatalities...before the supercell spawned two more strong tornadoes (EF2/EF3), with the cell's final EF3 inflicting major damage on a warehouse in Whiteland (Johnson Co.). The (northern) squall line's first tornado was an EF2 that impacted mostly rural areas...while the squall line's four following tornadoes were all weak (EF0/EF1), with the final three spawned over Howard County, concluding with a longer tracking EF1 that injured one person.

This was the rotating supercell's fourth tornado, and the first and weaker of two tornadoes spawned in Johnson County. The tornado started to the north-northeast of the village of Providence, although most of the sporadic tree damage noted in the town was from straight line winds, with slightly more intense tree damage seen from the tornado. The tornado continued to move east-northeast and crossed Indiana Route 135, with multiple power lines damaged and downed across the highway. Metal roofing of a barn just east of Route 135 was peeled back from winds nearing 85 mph. The tornado continued to the east-northeast towards Indiana Route 144, but lifted just before reaching this highway, southeast of Bargersville. Sporadic tree damage was noted to the south of Route 144.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

11 minutes of warning. NWS IND issued a tornado warning for this county at 03:16 UTC, 11 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 03:49 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 00:00 UTC and running to 04:47 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
00:00 UTC06:44 UTCWind AdvisoryIND
00:00 UTC04:47 UTCTornado WatchIND
03:16 UTC03:49 UTCTornado WarningIND
03:22 UTC03:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIND
03:24 UTC04:00 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIND
03:42 UTC04:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIND
03:55 UTC04:13 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningIND
11:00 UTC14:36 UTCWind AdvisoryIND
14:36 UTC19:12 UTCHigh Wind WarningIND
19:12 UTC22:00 UTCWind AdvisoryIND

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:04 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 00:00Z

3.5 hours before the tornado, 203 km from the path. April 1, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2023-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -81650, lifted condensation level 799 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 00:00Z on 2023-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 456 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 61 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-81650 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
799 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
61 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
456 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
400 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Cncnati-Daytn, OH (KILN), 12:00Z

8.5 hours after it, 203 km from the path. April 1, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -79747, lifted condensation level 1978 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Cncnati-Daytn, OH at 12:00Z on 2023-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 247 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 119 knots.1939587897117136156Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-79747 J/kg
Surface CAPE
1 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1978 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
119 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
45 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
247 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
191 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
5.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Indianapolis radar (KIND), 25 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 03:23 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
03:01 UTCTORNADO1 Ene Mccormicks CreekOwen, IN*** 2 FATAL, 2 INJ *** EF3 TORNADO BEGAN WITHIN MCCORMICKS CREEK STATE PARK AND CONTINUED ENE, ENDING NORTH OF STINESVILLE. TOTAL PATH LENGTH WAS 4 MILES WITH A MAXIMUM WIDTH OF 400 YARDS.
03:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 83GosportOwen, INSEVERE WINDS LASTED 8 MINUTES 1110PM TO 1118PM. 3 TREES DOWN. DIME HAIL.
03:10 UTCTSTM WND GST 83GosportOwen, INSEVERE WINDS LASTED 8 MINUTES 1110PM TO 1118PM. 3 TREES DOWN. DIME HAIL.
03:12 UTCTORNADO3 Sw MartinsvilleMorgan, INEF2 TORNADO BEGAN SW OF MARTINSVILLE AND CONTINUED ENE FOR 8.6 MILES. MAXIMUM WIDTH WAS 200 YARDS.
03:23 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ene ParagonMorgan, INWINDS DOWNED MULTIPLE TREES WITH CONSIDERABLE HOME DAMAGE BETWEEN MARTINSVILLE AND PARAGON. ALSO ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS IN PARAGON.
03:23 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 Ene ParagonMorgan, INWINDS DOWNED MULTIPLE TREES WITH CONSIDERABLE HOME DAMAGE BETWEEN MARTINSVILLE AND PARAGON. ALSO ESTIMATED 60 MPH WINDS IN PARAGON.
03:23 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 S ParagonMorgan, INTHUNDERSTORM WINDS DOWNED NUMEROUS LARGE TREES AND SNAPPED POWER POLES. TIME ESTIMATED.
03:27 UTCTORNADO2 Ssw BargersvilleJohnson, INTORNADO BEGAN NEAR THE TOWN OF PROVIDENCE, ENDING SE OF BARGERSVILLE FOR A TOTAL LENGTH OF 1.93 MILES. MAXIMUM WIDTH ALONG PATH WAS 25 YARDS.
03:29 UTCTSTM WND DMGMonroviaMorgan, INPRIVACY FENCE DESTROYED AND WINDOW BROKEN.
03:29 UTCTSTM WND DMGMonroviaMorgan, INPRIVACY FENCE DESTROYED AND WINDOW BROKEN.
03:29 UTCTSTM WND DMGMonroviaMorgan, INPRIVACY FENCE DESTROYED AND WINDOW BROKEN.
03:33 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse WhitelandJohnson, INTHUNDERSTORM WINDS CONSISTENT WITH PROBABLE TORNADO DESTROYED MULTIPLE HOMES ON BOTH SIDES OF US HIGHWAY 31 WITH WAREHOUSE DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATED.
03:33 UTCTSTM WND DMG1 Sse WhitelandJohnson, INTHUNDERSTORM WINDS CONSISTENT WITH PROBABLE TORNADO DESTROYED MULTIPLE HOMES ON BOTH SIDES OF US HIGHWAY 31 WITH WAREHOUSE DAMAGE. TIME ESTIMATED.
03:33 UTCTORNADO1 Sw WhitelandJohnson, IN3.5 MILE LONG TORNADO TRACKED THROUGH SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF WHITELAND ENDING NEAR I-65 EAST OF WHITELAND. MAXIMUM WIDTH ALONG PATH WAS 316 YARDS.
03:34 UTCTSTM WND GST 591 Sse Eagle Creek ReserMarion, INASOS STATION KEYE INDIANAPOLIS (EAGLE CREEK).
03:34 UTCTSTM WND GST 591 Sse Eagle Creek ReserMarion, INASOS STATION KEYE INDIANAPOLIS (EAGLE CREEK).
03:36 UTCTSTM WND GST 67Indianapolis Int'L AirpMarion, IN
03:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 653 E AvonHendricks, IN
03:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 653 E AvonHendricks, IN
03:40 UTCTSTM WND GST 653 E AvonHendricks, IN
03:55 UTCTSTM WND DMGMorristownShelby, INTHUNDERSTORM WINDS DOWNED GAS STATION OVERHANGING ROOF. TIME ESTIMATED.
03:55 UTCTSTM WND GST 683 Ese FairlandShelby, INASOS STATION KGEZ SHELBYVILLE.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in IndianaEvery tornado in Indiana since 1950Warnings in force in Indiana nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 31, 2023

126 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 312:18 PM CDTEF3Little Rock tornado, AR34.280054$90 million
March 312:37 PM CDTUnratedTazewell, IL0.310
March 313:15 PM CDTEF1Tazewell, IL0.910
March 313:23 PM CDTUnratedWoodford, IL0.620
March 313:36 PM CDTEF3Wapello, IA26.11,000$2.0 million
March 313:45 PM CDTEF1Prairie, AR1.1100
March 313:52 PM CDTUnratedPoweshiek, IA3.660
March 314:05 PM CDTUnratedLivingston, IL0.015
March 314:10 PM CDTEF4Keota–Wellman tornado, IA19.97003
March 314:22 PM CDTEF1Grundy, IA3.580$50,000
March 314:22 PM CDTEF1Grundy, IA4.180$50,000
March 314:30 PM CDTEF3Wynne–Parkin tornado, Arkansas and Tennessee72.51,600426$151 million
March 314:36 PM CDTEF2Benton, IA1.750
March 314:37 PM CDTEF0Johnson, IA6.150
March 314:46 PM CDTEF2Johnson, IA16.9752
March 314:47 PM CDTEF2Benton, IA4.950
March 314:49 PM CDTEF2Stone, AR6.8125
March 314:51 PM CDTUnratedBenton, IA1.410
March 314:53 PM CDTEF2Johnson, IA14.7100
March 315:03 PM CDTUnratedBuchanan, IA1.710
March 315:06 PM CDTEF2Johnson, IA9.075
March 315:06 PM CDTEF1Cedar, IA8.310
March 315:14 PM CDTEF2Cedar, IA16.4250
March 315:15 PM CDTUnratedScott, IL0.510
March 315:17 PM CDTEF1Cedar, IA5.2100
March 315:18 PM CDTEF2Cedar, IA19.62002
March 315:20 PM CDTEF1Delaware, IA4.150
March 315:27 PM CDTUnratedMorgan, IL0.710
March 315:32 PM CDTEF1Delaware, IA11.190
March 315:35 PM CDTEF0Morgan, IL1.130
March 315:41 PM CDTEF1Jones, IA1.450
March 315:41 PM CDTEF2Des Moines, IA0.9150
March 315:48 PM CDTEF3Covington tornado, TN39.22,000128$80 million
March 315:50 PM CDTEF2Clinton, IA18.03501
March 315:58 PM CDTEF1Jackson, IA1.250
March 316:09 PM CDTEF0Jackson, IA0.215
March 316:12 PM CDTEF2Sangamon, IL5.4400
March 316:16 PM CDTEF1Jackson, IA to IL1.91003
March 316:18 PM CDTEF2Sangamon, IL21.0200
March 316:24 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL3.5300
March 316:33 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL3.0200
March 316:36 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL9.3440
March 316:37 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL6.8650
March 316:39 PM CDTEF1Carroll, IL1.050
March 316:47 PM CDTEF0Macoupin, IL6.3150$25,000
March 316:48 PM CDTEF1Whiteside, IL13.9150
March 316:48 PM CDTEF1Iowa, WI1.175$300,000
March 316:50 PM CDTEF1Lafayette, WI5.575$1.0 million
March 316:50 PM CDTEF1Carroll, IL11.0200
March 316:55 PM CDTEF1Lafayette, WI6.675$600,000
March 317:03 PM CDTUnratedPhillips, AR2.8100
March 317:06 PM CDTEF0Christian, IL4.120
March 317:08 PM CDTEF2Lee, IL9.3350
March 317:13 PM CDTEF1Lee, IL7.875
March 317:13 PM CDTEF1Christian, IL1.730
March 317:16 PM CDTEF0Green, WI3.075$400,000
March 317:20 PM CDTEF1Green, WI10.250$600,000
March 317:24 PM CDTEF1Ogle, IL27.5600140
March 317:26 PM CDTEF0Green, WI5.875$400,000
March 317:31 PM CDTEF1Winnebago, IL5.8300

All 127 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.