Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2023

Unrated tornado, Oxville, Illinois, March 31, 2023

This Unrated tornado ran 0.5 miles across Scott County on March 31, 2023, touching down at 5:15 PM CDT and reaching 10 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unratedthis tornado

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
Unrated
Date
March 31, 2023
Touchdown
5:15 PM CDT (22:15 UTC)
Lifted
5:17 PM CDT (22:17 UTC)
On the ground
2 minutes
Path length
0.5 miles (0.9 km)
Path width
10 yards (9 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
County
Scott County
Touchdown point
39.660, -90.580
Lift-off point
39.660, -90.570
Record number
2303311615-01

The damage survey

2 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The highest wind the damage implies is 70 mph.

  • Spotters reported a brief tornado near Chapin. Emergency manager reported there was no notable damage, so an unknown rating was assigned.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

Two rounds of strong to severe thunderstorms spawned 13 tornadoes across central Illinois during the afternoon and evening of March 31st...including an EF-3 tornado that killed 3 people in Robinson in Crawford County. The first round of convection developed along a warm front lifting northeastward through the area during the afternoon. These storms were primarily very large hail-producers, with up to baseball-sized (2.75 diameter) hail being reported in the town of Banner in Fulton County. Once the warm front lifted into northern Illinois, a modestly unstable but highly sheared environment was in place during the late afternoon and evening...with CAPE values of 1500-2500J/kg and 0-6km bulk shear in excess of 70kt. As a trailing cold front approached from the west, additional supercell thunderstorms developed that produced tornadoes, very large hail, and damaging wind gusts. The cells eventually congealed into a broken line as they pushed eastward to the I-57 corridor by mid-evening. Meanwhile, a discrete supercell ahead of the line tracked south of I-70, dropping the EF-3 tornado in Crawford County.

A tornado briefly touched down in the Illinois River bottoms about 6.5 miles west-northwest of Winchester at 5:15 PM CDT. No damage was observed.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

No tornado warning for this county appears in the archive as in force at the moment the tornado touched down.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 16:48 UTC and running to 01:00 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
16:48 UTC01:00 UTCTornado WatchILX
18:00 UTC18:00 UTCWind AdvisoryILX
22:03 UTC22:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX
22:30 UTC22:56 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX
22:44 UTC23:15 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:54 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

10.3 hours before the tornado, 177 km from the path. March 31, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2023-03-31Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -89166, lifted condensation level 1009 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2023-03-31The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 646 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 53 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-89166 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1009 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
53 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
48 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
646 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
712 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.8 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

1.7 hours after it, 177 km from the path. April 1, 2023.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2023-04-01Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 638 joules per kilogram, CIN -39, lifted condensation level 921 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2023-04-01The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 347 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 63 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
638 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-39 J/kg
Surface CAPE
972 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
921 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
63 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
31 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
347 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
369 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.4
Supercell composite
7.1
0-3 km lapse rate
6.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The St Louis radar (KLSX), 107 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:11 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
21:11 UTCHAIL 22 Ese SeehornPike, ILTIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
21:20 UTCHAIL 1.51 E RichfieldAdams, IL
21:22 UTCHAIL 1.53 S RichfieldAdams, IL
21:27 UTCHAIL 2KingstonAdams, ILCORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM KINGSTON. TIME ESTIMATED.
21:30 UTCHAIL 2.51 Ene KingstonAdams, IL
21:30 UTCHAIL 2.53 Ese LibertyAdams, ILTIME ESTIMATED VIA RADAR.
21:30 UTCHAIL 32 E RichfieldAdams, ILDELAYED REPORT. ESTIMATED TIME FROM RADAR. 3 INCH HAIL REPORTED WITH PICTURE INCLUDED.
21:33 UTCHAIL 1.52 Ene KingstonAdams, ILDELAYED REPORT. TIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
21:34 UTCHAIL 31 E RichfieldAdams, ILCONFIRMED WITH PICTURE OF HAIL AND RULER.
21:35 UTCHAIL 3.52 Nne BeverlyAdams, ILVIA TWITTER WITH PICTURES. ON EAST 2775TH STREET JUST NORTH OF INTERSECTION WITH ILLINOIS ROUTE 104.
21:38 UTCHAIL 0.52 W BuckhornBrown, ILREPORT FROM MPING: HALF-INCH (0.50 IN.).
21:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG3 W VersaillesBrown, ILDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR. OPEN SIDED CAR PORT FLIPPED OVER.
21:48 UTCTSTM WND DMG5 W VersaillesBrown, ILDELAYED REPORT. MINOR ROOF DAMAGE TO SHINGLED AND METAL PANEL ROOF. TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
21:50 UTCHAIL 25 W VersaillesBrown, ILDELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
21:51 UTCHAIL 1.25Mount SterlingBrown, ILDELAYED REPORT.
21:52 UTCHAIL 1.754 E BuckhornBrown, IL
21:53 UTCHAIL 23 Nw VersaillesBrown, ILCORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM 3 NW VERSAILLES. DELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
21:53 UTCHAIL 2Mount SterlingBrown, ILCORRECTS PREVIOUS HAIL REPORT FROM MOUNT STERLING. DELAYED REPORT, TIME ESTIMATED FROM RADAR.
21:55 UTCHAIL 1.75Mount SterlingBrown, IL
22:12 UTCTORNADO6.5 Wnw WinchesterScott, ILSPOTTER RECORDED VIDEO OF A TORNADO MOVING THROUGH THE ILLINOIS RIVER BOTTOMS. NO DAMAGE REPORTED.
22:25 UTCHAIL 1.25ChapinMorgan, IL
22:27 UTCTORNADOChapinMorgan, ILSPOTTER SAW TORNADO ON THE GROUND.
22:35 UTCTORNADO5 N Jacksonville AirporMorgan, ILSPOTTER POSSIBLY DROVE THROUGH TORNADO. SAID THERE WAS STRONG WINDS AND POSSIBLE DEBRIS AS IT PASSED.
22:42 UTCHAIL 1JacksonvilleMorgan, ILONE HALF MILE FROM MORTON AVE EXIT ON I-72.
22:44 UTCHAIL 0.71 S KampsvilleCalhoun, ILTIME ESTIMATED BY RADAR.
22:45 UTCHAIL 1.75W PrenticeMorgan, IL

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2023 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 31, 2023

126 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 312:18 PM CDTEF3Little Rock tornado, AR34.280054$90 million
March 312:37 PM CDTUnratedTazewell, IL0.310
March 313:15 PM CDTEF1Tazewell, IL0.910
March 313:23 PM CDTUnratedWoodford, IL0.620
March 313:36 PM CDTEF3Wapello, IA26.11,000$2.0 million
March 313:45 PM CDTEF1Prairie, AR1.1100
March 313:52 PM CDTUnratedPoweshiek, IA3.660
March 314:05 PM CDTUnratedLivingston, IL0.015
March 314:10 PM CDTEF4Keota–Wellman tornado, IA19.97003
March 314:22 PM CDTEF1Grundy, IA3.580$50,000
March 314:22 PM CDTEF1Grundy, IA4.180$50,000
March 314:30 PM CDTEF3Wynne–Parkin tornado, Arkansas and Tennessee72.51,600426$151 million
March 314:36 PM CDTEF2Benton, IA1.750
March 314:37 PM CDTEF0Johnson, IA6.150
March 314:46 PM CDTEF2Johnson, IA16.9752
March 314:47 PM CDTEF2Benton, IA4.950
March 314:49 PM CDTEF2Stone, AR6.8125
March 314:51 PM CDTUnratedBenton, IA1.410
March 314:53 PM CDTEF2Johnson, IA14.7100
March 315:03 PM CDTUnratedBuchanan, IA1.710
March 315:06 PM CDTEF2Johnson, IA9.075
March 315:06 PM CDTEF1Cedar, IA8.310
March 315:14 PM CDTEF2Cedar, IA16.4250
March 315:17 PM CDTEF1Cedar, IA5.2100
March 315:18 PM CDTEF2Cedar, IA19.62002
March 315:20 PM CDTEF1Delaware, IA4.150
March 315:27 PM CDTUnratedMorgan, IL0.710
March 315:32 PM CDTEF1Delaware, IA11.190
March 315:35 PM CDTEF0Morgan, IL1.130
March 315:41 PM CDTEF1Jones, IA1.450
March 315:41 PM CDTEF2Des Moines, IA0.9150
March 315:48 PM CDTEF3Covington tornado, TN39.22,000128$80 million
March 315:50 PM CDTEF2Clinton, IA18.03501
March 315:58 PM CDTEF1Jackson, IA1.250
March 316:09 PM CDTEF0Jackson, IA0.215
March 316:12 PM CDTEF2Sangamon, IL5.4400
March 316:16 PM CDTEF1Jackson, IA to IL1.91003
March 316:18 PM CDTEF2Sangamon, IL21.0200
March 316:24 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL3.5300
March 316:33 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL3.0200
March 316:36 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL9.3440
March 316:37 PM CDTEF2Henry, IL6.8650
March 316:39 PM CDTEF1Carroll, IL1.050
March 316:47 PM CDTEF0Macoupin, IL6.3150$25,000
March 316:48 PM CDTEF1Whiteside, IL13.9150
March 316:48 PM CDTEF1Iowa, WI1.175$300,000
March 316:50 PM CDTEF1Lafayette, WI5.575$1.0 million
March 316:50 PM CDTEF1Carroll, IL11.0200
March 316:55 PM CDTEF1Lafayette, WI6.675$600,000
March 317:03 PM CDTUnratedPhillips, AR2.8100
March 317:06 PM CDTEF0Christian, IL4.120
March 317:08 PM CDTEF2Lee, IL9.3350
March 317:13 PM CDTEF1Lee, IL7.875
March 317:13 PM CDTEF1Christian, IL1.730
March 317:16 PM CDTEF0Green, WI3.075$400,000
March 317:20 PM CDTEF1Green, WI10.250$600,000
March 317:24 PM CDTEF1Ogle, IL27.5600140
March 317:26 PM CDTEF0Green, WI5.875$400,000
March 317:31 PM CDTEF1Winnebago, IL5.8300
March 317:31 PM CDTEF2Tunica, MS22.71,200$2.3 million

All 127 of them

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.