Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2016
EF0 tornado, Deer Grove to Sterling Arpt, Illinois, March 15, 2016
From Deer Grove to Sterling Arpt, this EF0 tornado ran 1.8 miles across Whiteside County on March 15, 2016, touching down at 8:33 PM CDT and reaching 50 yards wide. It killed nobody.
The rating scale
Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.
EF065 to 85 mphthis tornado
Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.
EF186 to 110 mph
Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.
EF2111 to 135 mph
Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.
EF3136 to 165 mph
Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.
EF4166 to 200 mph
Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.
EF5over 200 mph
Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.
Unrated
The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.
The record
- Rating
- EF0
- Date
- March 15, 2016
- Touchdown
- 8:33 PM CDT (01:33 UTC)
- Lifted
- 8:38 PM CDT (01:38 UTC)
- On the ground
- 5 minutes
- Path length
- 1.8 miles (2.8 km)
- Path width
- 50 yards (46 m)
- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- County
- Whiteside County
- Touchdown point
- 41.664, -89.692
- Lift-off point
- 41.687, -89.679
- Record number
- 1603151933-01
The damage survey
3 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS DVN, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF0. The highest wind the damage implies is 80 mph.
- Part of irrigation rig flipped
Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.
What the Weather Service recorded
A strong area of low pressure and associated warm front tracked northeast from Missouri into northern Illinois late in the day. Numerous severe thunderstorms developed over the region, bringing large hail, damaging winds, and several tornadoes to the area. The warm front lifting north was a focus area for tornadic supercells.
A tornado uprooted a tree, damaged shingles and siding on two homes, and overturned a short portion of an irrigation rig. The damage was rated EF0 with winds estimated at 80 MPH. The path was about 50 yards wide and roughly 1.5 miles long.
From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.
The warnings
0 minutes of warning. NWS DVN issued a tornado warning for this county at 01:33 UTC, 0 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:49 UTC.
The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:31 UTC and running to 02:00 UTC.
| Issued (UTC) | Expired | Product | Office |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20:31 UTC | 02:00 UTC | Tornado Watch | DVN |
| 23:50 UTC | 00:45 UTC | Severe Thunderstorm Warning | DVN |
| 00:31 UTC | 01:15 UTC | Tornado Warning | DVN |
| 01:33 UTC | 01:49 UTC | Tornado Warning | DVN |
| 06:00 UTC | 20:27 UTC | High Wind Watch | DVN |
| 12:00 UTC | 16:34 UTC | High Wind Warning | DVN |
| 16:34 UTC | 01:00 UTC | Wind Advisory | DVN |
Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.
The forecast that day
The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 01:01 UTC.
SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.
The air that afternoon
The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.
Davenport, (KDVN), 00:00Z
1.6 hours before the tornado, 68 km from the path. March 16, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 1252 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -33 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 617 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 801 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 72 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 34 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- 330 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- 453 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 3.1
- Supercell composite
- 12.3
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 5.1 K/km
Davenport, (KDVN), 12:00Z
10.4 hours after it, 68 km from the path. March 16, 2016.
- Mixed-layer CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer CIN
- -99935 J/kg
- Surface CAPE
- 0 J/kg
- Mixed-layer LCL
- 808 m above ground
- 0-6 km bulk shear
- 11 kt
- 0-1 km bulk shear
- 35 kt
- 0-1 km storm-relative helicity
- -49 m²/s²
- 0-3 km storm-relative helicity
- -119 m²/s²
- Significant tornado parameter
- 0.0
- Supercell composite
- 0.0
- 0-3 km lapse rate
- 6.4 K/km
The radar
The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 75 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 01:32 UTC.
Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track
Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.
What was reported nearby
Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.
| Time (UTC) | Report | Where | County | Remark |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23:30 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Sw Rapids City | Rock Island, IL | TORNADO SPOTTED SOUTH OF LE CLAIRE |
| 00:29 UTC | TORNADO | 1 Sw Rapids City | Rock Island, IL | TORNADO SPOTTED SOUTH OF LE CLAIRE |
| 00:36 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | 1 N Cambridge | Henry, IL | |
| 01:33 UTC | TORNADO | 5 N Deer Grove | Whiteside, IL | TRACK INCLUDING A TREE UPROOTED...DAMAGE TO SHINGLES AND SIDING ON TWO HOMES...AND A SHORT PORTION OF AN IRRIGATION RIG OVERTURNED. WINDS ESTIMATED AROUND 80 MPH WHICH IS AN EF-0 RATING. PATH IS 50 YARDS WIDE AND TRACK I |
| 01:41 UTC | TSTM WND GST 50 | 1 N Whiteside County Ai | Whiteside, IL | |
| 01:50 UTC | HAIL 1 | Bureau | Bureau, IL | |
| 02:10 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | 2 S Oakdale Nature Pres | Stephenson, IL | |
| 02:12 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | Mount Morris | Ogle, IL | LASTED FOR ABOUT TWO MINUTES. |
| 02:14 UTC | HAIL 0.5 | 2 Se Amboy | Lee, IL | |
| 02:22 UTC | HAIL 1 | Ladd | Bureau, IL | RELAYED BY LOT. |
| 02:27 UTC | HAIL 1.25 | Peru | La Salle, IL | TIME ESTIMATED PER RADAR. |
| 02:36 UTC | HAIL 0.88 | 1 E Troy Grove | La Salle, IL | REPORTED AT THE INTERSECTION OF I-39 AND U.S. HIGHWAY 52 BY NIU STAFF METEOROLOGIST. |
| 02:45 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 0.77 | 2 E Polo | Ogle, IL | ALSO PEA SIZE HAIL. |
| 02:45 UTC | HEAVY RAIN 0.77 | Polo | Ogle, IL | ALSO PEA SIZE HAIL. |
| 03:01 UTC | HAIL 0.75 | Depue | Bureau, IL | PEA TO DIME SIZED HAIL |
From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.
This ground now
The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are
The other tornadoes of March 15, 2016
10 more were confirmed in the United States that day.
| Date | Time | Rating | Where | Path (mi) | Width (yd) | Deaths | Injuries | Damage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 15 | 6:26 PM CDT | EF2 | McDonough, IL | 8.2 | 400 | $200,000 | ||
| March 15 | 6:42 PM CDT | EF1 | Warren, IL | 8.3 | 400 | $215,000 | ||
| March 15 | 7:25 PM CDT | EF2 | Rock Island, IL | 4.8 | 200 | 10 | $750,000 | |
| March 15 | 7:33 PM CDT | EF0 | Scott, IA | 0.0 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 7:34 PM CDT | EF0 | Clinton, IA | 1.2 | 50 | |||
| March 15 | 7:42 PM CDT | EF2 | Peoria, IL | 7.5 | 440 | $1.0 million | ||
| March 15 | 7:44 PM CDT | EF1 | Sangamon, IL | 3.6 | 75 | $280,000 | ||
| March 15 | 7:49 PM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, IA | 1.4 | 75 | 3 | $50,000 | |
| March 15 | 7:57 PM CDT | EF1 | Clinton, IA | 3.4 | 300 | |||
| March 15 | 8:05 PM CDT | EF0 | Peoria, IL | 3.7 | 200 | $260,000 |
What this means
Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.
Sources
NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.