Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2016

EF1 tornado, Knapp to Riddle Hill, Illinois, March 15, 2016

From Knapp to Riddle Hill, this EF1 tornado ran 3.6 miles across Sangamon County on March 15, 2016, touching down at 7:44 PM CDT and reaching 75 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $280,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Enhanced Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. EF065 to 85 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. EF186 to 110 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. EF2111 to 135 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. EF3136 to 165 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. EF4166 to 200 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. EF5over 200 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
EF1
Date
March 15, 2016
Touchdown
7:44 PM CDT (00:44 UTC)
Lifted
7:50 PM CDT (00:50 UTC)
On the ground
6 minutes
Path length
3.6 miles (5.8 km)
Path width
75 yards (69 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$280,000
County
Sangamon County
Touchdown point
39.740, -89.815
Lift-off point
39.774, -89.763
Record number
1603151844-01

The damage survey

40 damage points were recorded along this path by NWS ILX, in the Damage Assessment Toolkit the survey teams carry. The strongest indicator was rated EF1. The highest wind the damage implies is 107 mph.

  • Tree snapped about 10 ft off ground
  • About 1/3 of west wall missing
  • One branch snapped. Another tree appears broken but unhealthy.
  • Gouge marks on east side. No real damage to east side of building.

Survey points are preliminary and are the raw material the published rating was built from. Source: NWS Damage Assessment Toolkit.

What the Weather Service recorded

An area of low pressure deepened considerably as it tracked from northeast Missouri into southern Wisconsin on March 15th. While the airmass ahead of this system across central Illinois remained capped for much of the day, an approaching upper trough helped weaken the cap and set the stage for scattered severe thunderstorms ahead of an approaching cold front during the evening of the 15th. Several clusters of thunderstorms moved across west-central Illinois, mainly along and west of I-55. The first cluster tracked from just north of Quincy toward the Peoria area, while a second cluster impacted locations from Jacksonville to Springfield. Thanks to moderate instability and strong low-level wind shear near the low track, many of the storms rotated and produced large hail and tornadoes. A total of 4 tornadoes touched down, including an EF-2 just northwest of Trivoli in Peoria County.

A tornado touched down 2.4 miles west of Curran along Werner Road about three quarters of a mile west of the intersection with Farmingdale Road at 7:44 PM CDT. The roof of a home lost some shingles and a few pine trees were broken off in this area. The tornado tracked across mainly open fields and crossed I-72 just east of Farmingdale Road at 7:45 PM CDT. The tornado continued northeastward and damaged a house along Bunker Hill Road, blowing out windows, removing shingles, and breaking several trees. It then caused minor shingle damage to a home along Emerson Road about a quarter mile south of Iles Avenue. Further northeast, the tornado caused significant damage to a home along Iles Avenue about a half mile east of the intersection with Emerson Road, removing most of the roof and blowing out a wall on the west side of the structure. Across the street, a barn lost its roof and several trees were snapped off. The tornado then dissipated in an open field 6.6 miles west-southwest of Springfield at 7:50 PM CDT.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

18 minutes of warning. NWS ILX issued a tornado warning for this county at 00:26 UTC, 18 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 01:00 UTC.

The county was under a tornado watch, issued at 20:31 UTC and running to 03:10 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:31 UTC03:10 UTCTornado WatchILX
00:14 UTC00:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX
00:26 UTC01:00 UTCTornado WarningILX
00:48 UTC01:15 UTCTornado WarningILX
01:05 UTC01:18 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningILX
12:00 UTC01:00 UTCWind AdvisoryILX

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Enhanced Risk, with a 0.10 chance of a tornado within 25 miles. The outlook in force was issued at 19:45 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 00:00Z

0.7 hours before the tornado, 110 km from the path. March 16, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2016-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 1364 joules per kilogram, CIN -54, lifted condensation level 1257 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 00:00Z on 2016-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 135 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 54 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
1364 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-54 J/kg
Surface CAPE
2170 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1257 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
54 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
17 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
135 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
241 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
1.2
Supercell composite
8.9
0-3 km lapse rate
6.9 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Lincoln, IL (KILX), 12:00Z

11.3 hours after it, 110 km from the path. March 16, 2016.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2016-03-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -109050, lifted condensation level 840 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Lincoln, IL at 12:00Z on 2016-03-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 211 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 36 knots.1939587897117Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-109050 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
840 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
36 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
211 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
198 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
6.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The radar

The Lincoln radar (KILX), 58 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 00:44 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

What was reported nearby

Local storm reports within 60 km of the path, in the three hours either side.

Time (UTC)ReportWhereCountyRemark
23:25 UTCHAIL 0.75WinchesterScott, IL
23:38 UTCHAIL 12 N AlseyScott, ILBETWEEN ALSEY AND WINCHESTER. FROM WFO LSX.
23:45 UTCHAIL 13 Ssw JacksonvilleMorgan, IL
23:59 UTCHAIL 2JacksonvilleMorgan, IL
00:20 UTCHAIL 2.75AlexanderMorgan, IL
00:28 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 N WaverlyMorgan, IL
00:33 UTCHAIL 1.75New BerlinSangamon, ILON I-72...HAIL RANGED FROM QUARTER TO GOLF BALL SIZE
00:44 UTCTORNADO 12 W CurranSangamon, ILMOST OF ROOF BLOWN OFF ONE HOUSE WHICH SIGNIFICANTLY DAMAGED AN OUTSIDE WALL. MINOR ROOF AND DOOR DAMAGE AS WELL AS BROKEN WINDOWS TO SEVERAL OTHER BUILDINGS. NUMEROUS TREES SNAPPED OR BLOWN OVER.
00:45 UTCHAIL 0.885 E Pleasant PlainsSangamon, IL
00:47 UTCTORNADOLoamiSangamon, IL
00:50 UTCFUNNEL CLOUD1 S SpringfieldSangamon, IL
00:52 UTCTSTM WND DMG4 W SpringfieldSangamon, ILTWO HOUSES DAMAGED ON WEST ILES. TIME ESTIMATED.

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service local storm reports.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2016 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of March 15, 2016

10 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
March 156:26 PM CDTEF2McDonough, IL8.2400$200,000
March 156:42 PM CDTEF1Warren, IL8.3400$215,000
March 157:25 PM CDTEF2Rock Island, IL4.820010$750,000
March 157:33 PM CDTEF0Scott, IA0.050
March 157:34 PM CDTEF0Clinton, IA1.250
March 157:42 PM CDTEF2Peoria, IL7.5440$1.0 million
March 157:49 PM CDTEF1Clinton, IA1.4753$50,000
March 157:57 PM CDTEF1Clinton, IA3.4300
March 158:05 PM CDTEF0Peoria, IL3.7200$260,000
March 158:33 PM CDTEF0Whiteside, IL1.850

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.