Tornadoes · United States · Illinois · 2004

F1 tornado, Neponset, Illinois, June 10, 2004

This F1 tornado ran 0.3 miles across Bureau County on June 10, 2004, touching down at 5:30 PM CDT and reaching 125 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $10,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mphthis tornado

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mph

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F1
Date
June 10, 2004
Touchdown
5:30 PM CDT (22:30 UTC)
Path length
0.3 miles (0.5 km)
Path width
125 yards (114 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$10,000
County
Bureau County
Touchdown point
41.270, -89.830
Lift-off point
41.280, -89.830
Record number
380

What the Weather Service recorded

A small supercell produced two tornadoes in quick succession during the afternoon of 10 June 2004. The first (1628-1629 CST) touched down near the intersection of Kentville Rd and 150 East. The Snyder farm lost several outbuildings with damage done to the roof of the farm house and a window blown out with 3 semi trailers tossed onto their sides. Across the road at the VanWinkle farm, a window was blown out and the roof was lifted and set back down with more outbuildings destroyed. The tornado dissipated near the intersection of Kentville Rd and 200 East. The second tornado (1630-1631 CST) developed just north of the first and affected an area just west and east of 200 East Street. The Stabler farm had several windows blown out.

Winds estimated around 100 mph.

Winds estimated around 100 mph.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

1 minute of warning. NWS DVN issued a tornado warning for this county at 22:29 UTC, 1 minute before the tornado touched down, in force until 23:15 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
22:29 UTC23:15 UTCTornado WarningDVN
23:15 UTC00:00 UTCTornado WarningDVN
00:14 UTC00:45 UTCTornado WarningDVN

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a General Thunderstorms Risk. The outlook in force was issued at 20:13 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the tornado touched down, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Quad Cities, IA wrote its last area forecast discussion before the tornado touched down at Jun 10, 4:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes earlier.

Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 4:15 PM CDT, 1 hour 15 minutes before
AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
415 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

.SYNOPSIS...STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS IOWA INTO NORTHERN ILLINOIS TO
REMAIN THERE OVERNIGHT. THUNDERSTORM COMPLEX TO DEVELOP IN THE
PLAINS TONIGHT TO ARRIVE LATE TONIGHT BRINGING ANOTHER ROUND OF
RAIN. THUNDERSTORMS TO REDEVELOP IN THE AFTERNOON FRIDAY WITH
DAYTIME HEATING. POTENTIAL DOES EXIST LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND
EVENING FOR SEVERE STORMS TO DEVELOP.

&&

.SHORT TERM...(TONIGHT AND FRIDAY)...
STATIONARY FRONT ACROSS THE EXTREME NORTH PART OF THE CWFA TO REMAIN
THERE OVERNIGHT. MODELS INDICATE AN MCS TO FIRE TONIGHT BUT THE
QUESTION IS WHERE. LIKELY AREA TO BE IN NEBRASKA WHERE THE LLJ IS
THE STRONGEST AND THEN MOVE ROUGHLY ALONG THE FRONT BRUSHING THE
NORTHERN CWFA LATE TONIGHT AND FRIDAY MORNING.

MODELS HAVE MANY SUBTLE DIFFERENCES BETWEEN THEM ON FRIDAY. HOWEVER
ALL AGREE ON THE ATMOSPHERE DRYING OUT DURING THE DAY. IF PLENTY OF
DIURNAL HEATING CAN TAKE PLACE...THUNDERSTORMS TO FIRE AGAIN DURING
THE AFTERNOON. FAVORABLE SHEAR PROFILES INDICATE STORMS WILL BE
ROTATING. KEY FACTOR IS WILL THERE BE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY OVER THE
AREA. IF THERE IS ONE...POTENTIAL THEN EXISTS FOR SIGNIFICANT SEVERE
STORMS TO DEVELOP DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. IN HOUSE
CALCULATIONS SUGGEST POTENTIAL OF STRAIGHT LINE WINDS OVER 80 MPH
WITH BASEBALL SIZED HAIL IF TEMPS CAN GET INTO THE UPPER 80S WITH
DEW POINTS AROUND 73. TORNADO COULD ALSO OCCUR WITH POTENTIAL
RANGING FROM F1 TO F3. HOWEVER...ONCE AGAIN...THIS IS ALL DEPENDENT
ON AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY BEING OVER THE AREA AND HOW MUCH HEATING CAN
TAKE PLACE DURING THE DAY. IF NO OUTFLOW BOUNDARY IS PRESENT AND IF
HEATING ONLY GETS US INTO THE LOWER 80S...SEVERE POTENTIAL TO BE
GREATLY REDUCED IF NOT ELIMINATED.     ...08...

.LONG TERM...
(SATURDAY THROUGH MONDAY)...
MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT THAT H5 S/W AND WEAK SURFACE WAVE WILL
MOVE THROUGH CWA FRIDAY NIGHT. ETA FCST SOUNDINGS ARE SHOWING VERY
UNSTABLE AIR AHEAD OF THE SYSTEM WITH CAPES OVER 3K J/KG AT KBRL
BY LATE AFTERNOON.  WITH AMOUNT OF INSTABILITY AND GOOD MID LEVEL
FORCING...EXPECT A SEVERE WEATHER EVENT FOR THE CWA FRIDAY EVENING.
CURRENT THINKING HERE IS THAT LINEAR WIND PROFILES DURING THE
EVENING SUGGEST A DAMAGING WIND EVENT AS A SQUALL LINE SWEEPS ACROSS
THE CWA. LARGE HAIL WILL ALSO BE A THREAT AS MID LEVELS DRY
SIGNIFICANTLY THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  SYSTEM SHOULD MOVE TO OUR EAST BY
SATURDAY MORNING AND WILL HOLD ON LINGERING SHRA WORDING IN THE NERN
SECTIONS.  MORE S/W ENERGY MOVES OUT OF THE MEAN MID LEVEL WRN U.S.
TROF SATURDAY EVENING.  BOTH THE ETA AND THE GFS SHOW A SURFACE LOW
DEVELOPING OVER CNTRL KS AHEAD OF THE S/W BY SATURDAY EVENING.  FLOW
AHEAD OF THE DEVELOPING LOW WILL FOCUS LOW LEVEL MOISTURE
CONVERGENCE OVER NERN KS/SERN NE CREATING THE POTENTIAL FOR MCS
DEVELOPMENT SATURDAY NIGHT. MODELS ARE IN GOOD AGREEMENT SHIFTING
MEAN H5 TROF  EAST INTO THE PLAINS BY SUNDAY...BUT ARE HAVING
TROUBLE RESOLVING SMALL SCALE FEATURES MOVING THROUGH THE BASE OF
THE TROUGH. FOR NOW WILL GO WITH A BROAD BRUSH 30 POPS FOR SUNDAY
NIGHT INTO MONDAY.

LONG TERM...(TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY)...
MODELS DIFFERENCES BECOME MORE APPARENT BY MIDWEEK WITH RESPECT TO
VARIOUS SOLUTIONS ON HOW THE MID LEVEL FLOW EVOLVES DURING THE
PERIOD.  WITH LITTLE CONSISTENCY BETWEEN MODELS WILL STAY CLOSE TO
PREVIOUS FORECAST KEEPING DRY WEATHER FOR TUESDAY AND CHANCE POPS
FOR THE REST OF THE WEEK.

&&

.DVN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IA...NONE.
IL...NONE.
MO...NONE.

&&

DLF
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 4:00 PM CDT, 1 hour 30 minutes before
HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK...CORRECTION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE QUAD CITIES IA IL
400 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

IAZ040>042-051>054-063>068-076>078-087>089-098-099-ILZ001-002-007-
009-015>018-024>026-034-035-MOZ009-010-111000-
BENTON IA-BUCHANAN IA-BUREAU IL-CARROLL IL-CEDAR IA-CLARK MO-
CLINTON IA-DELAWARE IA-DES MOINES IA-DUBUQUE IA-HANCOCK IL-
HENDERSON IL-HENRY IA-HENRY IL-IOWA IA-JACKSON IA-JEFFERSON IA-
JO DAVIESS IL-JOHNSON IA-JONES IA-KEOKUK IA-LEE IA-LINN IA-LOUISA IA-
MCDONOUGH IL-MERCER IL-MUSCATINE IA-PUTNAM IL-ROCK ISLAND IL-
SCOTLAND MO-SCOTT IA-STEPHENSON IL-VAN BUREN IA-WARREN IL-
WASHINGTON IA-WHITESIDE IL-
400 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR PORTIONS OF NORTHEAST IOWA...
EAST CENTRAL IOWA...SOUTHEAST IOWA...NORTHWEST ILLINOIS...NORTH
CENTRAL ILLINOIS...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI.

.DAY ONE...TONIGHT

SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS OVER SOUTHEAST IOWA...WEST CENTRAL ILLINOIS
AND NORTHEAST MISSOURI WILL PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN AND WIND
GUSTS OF 30 TO 40 MPH THIS EVENING.  A WEAK ISOLATED TORNADO WILL
ALSO BE POSSIBLE ALONG AND SOUTH OF HIGHWAY 34 AS THUNDERSTORMS
INTERACT WITH A WEAK SURFACE BOUNDARY OVER SOUTHEAST IOWA INTO WEST
CENTRAL ILLINOIS.  THE THREAT OF ANY TORNADO DEVELOPMENT SHOULD END
BY MID EVENING.

ANOTHER ROUND OF THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE LATE
TONIGHT...MAINLY ALONG AND NORTH OF INTERSTATE 80.  LOCALLY HEAVY
RAIN WILL BE POSSIBLE AS THE STORMS MOVE EAST ALONG A FRONT STALLED
OVER EAST CENTRAL IOWA AND NORTHERN ILLINOIS.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS PORTIONS OF EASTERN
IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS LATE FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.
STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP IN WESTERN
AND CENTRAL IOWA FRIDAY AFTERNOON...AS AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE
INTERACTS WITH A STALLED OUT FRONT OVER THE REGION. OTHER ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS MAY FORM OVER EASTERN IOWA...ALONG THE STATIONARY
FRONT DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS. THERE WILL BE ENOUGH
INSTABILITY AND WIND SHEAR...DURING THE AFTERNOON AND EARLY
EVENING HOURS...TO ALLOW SOME STORMS TO BECOME SUPERCELLS.
THESE STORMS WILL BE CAPABLE OF PRODUCING VERY LARGE HAIL...DAMAGING
WINDS...AND TORNADOES. BY EVENING...THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED TO
FORM INTO A SQUALL LINE AND MOVE THROUGH MUCH OF EASTERN IOWA AND
NORTHWEST ILLINOIS.  DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...AND A FEW
TORNADOES MAY OCCUR WITH THESE STORMS THROUGH LATE EVENING.  THE
GREATEST RISK FOR ANY TORNADOES WILL BE ALONG AND JUST NORTH OF THE
STATIONARY FRONT.  AT THIS TIME...THIS FRONT IS EXPECTED TO BE FROM
CEDAR RAPIDS...TO DAVENPORT...TO PRINCETON ILLINOIS FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.  STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO...OR LOCAL MEDIA FOR
FURTHER UPDATES ON THIS POTENTIAL SEVERE WEATHER EVENT.

MORE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SATURDAY NIGHT AND SUNDAY...AND
AGAIN TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

SPOTTER ACTIVATION IS POSSIBLE OVER NORTHWEST ILLINOIS TODAY...AND
MAY BE NEEDED OVER EASTERN IOWA AND NORTHWEST ILLINOIS LATE FRIDAY
AFTERNOON AND FRIDAY NIGHT.

REA/ERVIN/DLF

The surface observations

Lacon (C75), 47 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
20:44 UTC7771.6130° 9 kt1011.2
21:04 UTC80.673.4130° 9 kt1010.8
21:24 UTC80.673.4140° 9 kt1010.8VCTS
21:44 UTC78.871.6120° 6 kt1010.2
22:04 UTC7773.4200° 11 kt211010.2-TSRA
22:24 UTC7773.4160° 7 kt1010.2-TSRA
22:44 UTC7773.4130° 6 kt1010.2
23:04 UTC7773.4120° 8 kt1009.5
23:25 UTC7771.6110° 7 kt1009.1VCTS
23:44 UTC7773.4120° 8 kt1009.5
00:04 UTC75.269.8140° 11 kt151009.8VCTS
00:24 UTC73.469.8130° 7 kt1008.8

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Quad Cities radar (KDVN), 73 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 22:29 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2004 tornado in IllinoisEvery tornado in Illinois since 1950Warnings in force in Illinois nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of June 10, 2004

19 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
June 102:00 PM CDTF0Champaign, IL0.710
June 102:20 PM CDTF0Champaign, IL0.510
June 102:38 PM CDTF1Champaign, IL3.030$10,000
June 102:57 PM CDTF0Vermilion, IL3.510
June 102:26 PM MDTF0Box Butte, NE0.130
June 102:35 PM MDTF0Sedgwick, CO0.550
June 102:41 PM MDTF1Deuel, NE10.02202$70,000
June 103:25 PM MDTF0Sheridan, WY3.6100
June 103:40 PM MDTF0Keith, NE0.120$10,000
June 104:05 PM MDTF0Keith, NE0.520
June 104:15 PM MDTF0Arthur, NE0.620$30,000
June 105:28 PM CDTF1Bureau, IL0.3125$10,000
June 104:53 PM MDTF1Stanley, SD1.0400
June 105:55 PM CDTF0Woodford, IL0.110
June 105:00 PM MDTF0Arthur, NE0.220
June 106:55 PM CDTF0Lincoln, NE0.120
June 107:32 PM CDTF0Thomas, KS0.350
June 109:49 PM CDTF1Webster, NE12.0300$500,000
June 1011:05 PM CDTF0Howard, NE1.0100$40,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.