Tornadoes · United States · Colorado · 2003

F2 tornado, Springfield, Colorado, May 15, 2003

This F2 tornado ran 5.0 miles across Baca County on May 15, 2003, touching down at 3:39 PM MDT and reaching 200 yards wide. It killed nobody, and did $120,000 of property damage.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F2
Date
May 15, 2003
Touchdown
3:39 PM MDT (21:39 UTC)
Path length
5.0 miles (8.0 km)
Path width
200 yards (183 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
$120,000
County
Baca County
Touchdown point
37.350, -102.770
Lift-off point
37.430, -102.720
Record number
859

What the Weather Service recorded

A tornado moved northeast across a rural area, but did strike the county gravel pit and a few ranches. Approximately 1 1/2 miles of utility poles were brought down by the tornado and rear flank downdraft along U.S. Highway 160. At the gravel pit north of the highway, gravel screening machinery sustained heavy damage. Farther to the northeast a sheet metal building with a steel girder frame was a total loss.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The warnings

9 minutes of warning. NWS PUB issued a tornado warning for this county at 21:30 UTC, 9 minutes before the tornado touched down, in force until 22:30 UTC.

Issued (UTC)ExpiredProductOffice
20:38 UTC21:45 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUB
21:30 UTC22:30 UTCTornado WarningPUB
22:28 UTC23:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUB
00:28 UTC01:30 UTCSevere Thunderstorm WarningPUB

Every warning and watch covering the touchdown point that day, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service products. Lead time is measured from the issue of the warning in force to the touchdown time in the database, both of which were recorded to the minute by different people.

The forecast that day

The Storm Prediction Center had this point in a Moderate Risk, with a 0.15 chance of a tornado within 25 miles, in the hatched area where significant tornadoes were expected. The outlook in force was issued at 19:31 UTC.

SPC's Day 1 convective outlook as it stood when the tornado began, read at the touchdown point. The same archive is on the radar archive.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Dodge City, (KDDC), 12:00Z

9.7 hours before the tornado, 254 km from the path. May 15, 2003.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2003-05-15Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 628 joules per kilogram, CIN -131, lifted condensation level 1350 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 12:00Z on 2003-05-15The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 38 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 37 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
628 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-131 J/kg
Surface CAPE
35 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
1350 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
37 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
7 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
38 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
94 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.8
0-3 km lapse rate
4.5 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Dodge City, (KDDC), 00:00Z

2.3 hours after it, 254 km from the path. May 16, 2003.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2003-05-16Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 351 joules per kilogram, CIN -254, lifted condensation level 723 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Dodge City, at 00:00Z on 2003-05-16The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 417 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 52 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
351 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-254 J/kg
Surface CAPE
628 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
723 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
52 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
35 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
417 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
695 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.2
0-3 km lapse rate
4.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Springfield/Comanche Natl Grass (SPD), 17 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
19:56 UTC7762140° 27 kt351005.4
20:56 UTC7159130° 24 kt331003
21:56 UTC6559230° 11 kt411006.8
22:02 UTC57.255.4280° 29 kt351005.4
22:56 UTC555340° 8 kt1005.4

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 2003 tornado in ColoradoEvery tornado in Colorado since 1950Warnings in force in Colorado nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of May 15, 2003

46 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
May 155:10 PM EDTF1Knox, TN2.550$150,000
May 154:12 PM CDTF0Cimarron, OK0.1100
May 155:15 PM EDTF1Knox, TN1.550$200,000
May 154:25 PM CDTF1Cimarron, OK5.0200$40,000
May 153:42 PM MDTF0Kiowa, CO1.075
May 154:45 PM CDTF0Cimarron, OK0.150
May 156:20 PM EDTF1Lincoln, NC3.0100$50,000
May 155:36 PM CDTF1Dallam, TX10.01,320$30,000
May 155:41 PM CDTF0Dallam, TX1.0500$10,000
May 156:46 PM CDTF0Texas, OK0.150
May 157:20 PM CDTF0Texas, OK0.530
May 157:29 PM CDTF2Seward, KS2.5100$6.0 million
May 157:35 PM CDTF0Texas, OK0.520$10,000
May 157:38 PM CDTF0Sherman, TX1.050
May 157:40 PM CDTF2Seward, KS4.9100$150,000
May 157:45 PM CDTF0Texas, OK0.3100$20,000
May 157:58 PM CDTF0Moore, TX6.0200
May 158:15 PM CDTF0Sherman, TX0.150
May 158:15 PM CDTF0Sherman, TX0.120
May 158:30 PM CDTF0Gray, TX0.140
May 158:31 PM CDTF0Sherman, TX0.350
May 158:33 PM CDTF1Texas, OK2.030$30,000
May 158:37 PM CDTF0Donley, TX0.550
May 158:42 PM CDTF0Jones, TX0.320$1,000
May 158:45 PM CDTF0Texas, OK1.040
May 158:59 PM CDTF1Shackelford, TX2.0150$10,000
May 158:59 PM CDTF0Donley, TX0.120
May 159:00 PM CDTF0Beaver, OK0.820
May 159:10 PM CDTF1Meade, KS2.0100$300,000
May 159:23 PM CDTF0Hutchinson, TX2.030
May 159:25 PM CDTF2Shackelford, TX1.5800$50,000
May 159:25 PM CDTF2Shackelford, TX1.5450$3,000
May 159:30 PM CDTF2Seward, KS2.5100$8.0 million
May 159:43 PM CDTF1Wheeler, TX18.0100$150,000
May 159:44 PM CDTF0Carson, TX0.120
May 159:45 PM CDTF1Meade, KS1.050$50,000
May 1510:00 PM CDTF0Eastland, TX12.0300$100,000
May 1510:10 PM CDTF0Shackelford, TX1.050
May 1510:12 PM CDTF1Shackelford, TX1.0150
May 1510:30 PM CDTF0Wheeler, TX0.550
May 1510:36 PM CDTF0Clark, KS1.3100
May 1510:53 PM CDTF2Wheeler, TX to OK15.51,760$270,000
May 1511:13 PM CDTF0Eastland, TX0.150
May 1511:21 PM CDTF0Wheeler, TX0.150
May 1511:42 PM CDTF0Ford, KS0.850
May 1511:58 PM CDTF1Ford, KS2.050

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.