Tornadoes · United States · Arkansas · 1999

F2 tornado, Oil Trough to Grubbs, Arkansas, January 17, 1999

From Oil Trough to Grubbs, this F2 tornado ran 7.0 miles across Jackson and Independence counties on January 17, 1999, touching down at 2:51 PM CST and reaching 250 yards wide. It killed nobody.

The rating scale

Tracks are drawn in the color of the rating. The Fujita scale rates the damage rather than measuring the wind: the speeds are what that damage is taken to imply.

  1. F040 to 72 mph

    Light damage. Surface peeled off some roofs, gutters and siding damaged, branches broken, shallow-rooted trees pushed over.

  2. F173 to 112 mph

    Moderate damage. Roofs badly stripped, mobile homes overturned or badly damaged, exterior doors lost, windows broken.

  3. F2113 to 157 mphthis tornado

    Considerable damage. Roofs torn off well-built houses, frame homes shifted on their foundations, mobile homes destroyed, large trees snapped or uprooted, cars lifted off the ground.

  4. F3158 to 206 mph

    Severe damage. Whole stories of well-built houses destroyed, large buildings badly damaged, trains overturned, trees debarked, heavy cars lifted and thrown.

  5. F4207 to 260 mph

    Devastating damage. Well-built houses leveled, structures with weak foundations moved some distance, cars thrown and large missiles generated.

  6. F5261 to 318 mph

    Incredible damage. Strong frame houses swept off their foundations, car-sized missiles thrown more than 100 meters, steel-reinforced concrete badly damaged, high-rise buildings deformed.

  7. Unrated

    The survey recorded a tornado but could not put a number on it, most often because it crossed open country and damaged nothing a rating can be read from.

The record

Rating
F2
Date
January 17, 1999
Touchdown
2:51 PM CST (20:51 UTC)
Path length
7.0 miles (11.3 km)
Path width
250 yards (229 m)
Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Counties
Jackson and Independence counties
Touchdown point
35.580, -91.430
Lift-off point
35.620, -91.350
Record number
120

What the Weather Service recorded

A strong tornado was spawned in southeast Independence County about 4 miles south-southeast of Oil Trough. As the tornado tracked northeast, it heavily damaged a home in the Macks community...with the roof removed. Several vehicles at the home were damaged by flying debris. Farther northeast, the tornado caused mostly tree and power line damage before it moved into Jackson County.

A strong tornado in southeast Independence County moved into western Jackson County. The tornado caused mostly tree and power line damage and blew down some highway signs before it dissipated about 2 miles west-southwest of Jacksonport.

A weak tornado was spawned in western Jackson County between Jacksonport and Diaz. The tornado caused mostly tree damage before it dissipated near Diaz.

A weak tornado was spawned in northern Jackson County about 2.7 miles south-southwest of Tuckerman. As the tornado tracked northeast, it damaged a couple of houses in a subdivision south of Tuckerman. Bass boats, lawn tractors and a number of yard items were blown around. At the Tuckerman Sewer Plant, a building was damaged and a fence was blown down. Another home just northeast of Tuckerman suffered considerable damage...with one person injured. Several trees were downed or snapped as well. The tornado finally dissipated about 3.5 miles southeast of Swifton.

A weak tornado was spawned in eastern Jackson County about 3 miles southwest of Grubbs. The tornado tracked northeast toward Grubbs and damaged about a dozen houses in and near town. A mobile home was overturned and destroyed, with debris from the mobile home damaging the house next door. A few barns were also damaged with trees and fences blown down. The tornado dissipated about 3 miles northeast of town.

From NOAA NCEI's Storm Events Database, the narrative the local forecast office wrote for Storm Data.

The air that afternoon

The radiosonde launches on either side of the tornado, from the nearest station that was launching then, drawn and analyzed the way Storm Lab does: the same diagram, the same parcel and shear definitions SPC's mesoanalysis uses.

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 12:00Z

8.9 hours before the tornado, 156 km from the path. January 17, 1999.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 1999-01-17Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 23 joules per kilogram, CIN -31, lifted condensation level 502 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCLLFCEL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 12:00Z on 1999-01-17The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 331 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 43 knots.19395878Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
23 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-31 J/kg
Surface CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
502 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
43 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
39 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
331 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
353 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
3.7 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

Little Rock, AR (KLZK), 00:00Z

3.1 hours after it, 156 km from the path. January 18, 1999.

Skew-T log-pSkew-T log-p diagram, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 1999-01-18Temperature and dew point through the depth of the atmosphere, with the mixed-layer parcel lifted from the surface. Mixed-layer CAPE 0 joules per kilogram, CIN -67414, lifted condensation level 2449 meters above ground. Wind barbs in knots down the right edge.LCL10008507005003002001001 km2 km3 km6 km9 km12 km15 km-30°-20°-10°0°10°20°30°40°
Temperature in red, dew point in green, the mixed-layer parcel dashed. The warm shading is its CAPE, the cool shading the inhibition it has to break through.
HodographHodograph, Little Rock, AR at 00:00Z on 1999-01-18The wind through the lowest 10 kilometers as a curve, rings every 10 meters per second labeled in knots. Zero to 1 km storm-relative helicity 74 square meters per square second, 0 to 6 km bulk shear 40 knots.1939587897Sfc1 km3 km6 km9 kmRMLM
The wind turning with height, colored by layer: ground to 1 km, 1 to 3 km, 3 to 6 km, 6 to 10 km. RM and LM are the right and left moving storms Bunkers' method gives; the shaded area is the 0 to 1 km storm-relative helicity.
Mixed-layer CAPE
0 J/kg
Mixed-layer CIN
-67414 J/kg
Surface CAPE
43 J/kg
Mixed-layer LCL
2449 m above ground
0-6 km bulk shear
40 kt
0-1 km bulk shear
16 kt
0-1 km storm-relative helicity
74 m²/s²
0-3 km storm-relative helicity
111 m²/s²
Significant tornado parameter
0.0
Supercell composite
0.0
0-3 km lapse rate
7.6 K/km

Open this sounding in Storm Lab

The surface observations

Batesville (Awos) (BVX), 27 km from the path, in the two hours either side.

Time (UTC)Temp (°F)Dew point (°F)WindGust (kt)Pressure (mb)Weather
00:00 UTC

From the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of airport observations.

The radar

The Little Rock radar (KLZK), 116 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the touchdown began at 20:49 UTC.

Open the radar archive at this moment, over the track

Reflectivity and velocity, decoded from the Level II archive in the browser. Volumes take a few seconds to open the first time.

This ground now

The live radar over the trackEvery 1999 tornado in ArkansasEvery tornado in Arkansas since 1950Warnings in force in Arkansas nowThe forecast where you are

The other tornadoes of January 17, 1999

21 more were confirmed in the United States that day.

DateTimeRatingWherePath (mi)Width (yd)DeathsInjuriesDamage
January 173:06 PM CSTF1Jackson, AR2.0100
January 173:08 PM CSTF0Jackson, AR0.250
January 173:23 PM CSTF1Jackson, AR9.22001
January 173:28 PM CSTF0Jackson, AR0.50
January 173:28 PM CSTF1Jackson, AR5.7200
January 173:38 PM CSTF0Jackson, AR0.20
January 173:45 PM CSTF0Craighead, AR16.00$10,000
January 174:30 PM CSTF0Greene, AR8.00$1,000
January 174:35 PM CSTF1Greene, AR5.550$30,000
January 174:45 PM CSTF0Poinsett, AR7.850$10,000
January 174:45 PM CSTF2Craighead, AR11.00$150,000
January 175:55 PM CSTF2Lauderdale, TN3.5011$2.0 million
January 176:09 PM CSTF3Crockett, TN10.004$1.6 million
January 176:15 PM CSTF3Haywood, TN22.03002$25 million
January 176:25 PM CSTF4Jackson tornado, TN16.05006106$10 million
January 176:35 PM CSTF1Hardeman, TN12.035014$410,000
January 176:45 PM CSTF0Marshall, MS0.5502$50,000
January 177:05 PM CSTF1Carroll, TN10.0011$750,000
January 177:06 PM CSTF1Stewart, TN0.1100$30,000
January 177:28 PM CSTF1Montgomery, TN0.6250$20,000
January 178:00 PM CSTF1Robertson, TN0.550$50,000

What this means

Ratings are the survey's, read off the damage rather than measured; the rating scale is above. Tornado counts rise through the record as reporting improved, so a year in the 1950s is not comparable with one today except for the strongest tornadoes, which were always noticed.

Sources

NOAA Storm Prediction Center tornado database, 1950-2025, the official record kept by NOAA's Storm Prediction Center.