What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Charleston, WV wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 2, 12:14 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) There will be isolated showers and thunderstorms in the West Virginia mountains. Otherwise, the week remains dry, quiet, and comfortable.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 2, 12:14 PM EST, 3 hours 56 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Charleston WV
114 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
18Z aviation discussion issued...
No significant changes from previous forecast.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) There will be isolated showers and thunderstorms in the West
Virginia mountains. Otherwise, the week remains dry, quiet, and
comfortable.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A weak mid-level disturbance passing through the Appalachians can
create an isolated thunderstorm or two this afternoon. Any rainfall
amounts would be small, likely only amounting to up to around a
quarter inch of rainfall. Slow-moving thunderstorms could
produce higher rainfall amounts.
Otherwise, high pressure will expand over the coverage area
Wednesday with mostly sunny skies, comfortable temperatures, and dry
weather. There will also be some very patchy river valley fog that
develops each morning around sunrise, particularly in the
mountain river valleys that sees rainfall today.
The next chance of a changing pattern bringing rainfall will be late
this weekend, as an upper-level low pressure system potentially
arrives. Models are slightly more indicative today of this
occurring, while yesterday, a few models kept a ridge of high
pressure in control through early next week. However, there is
still a vast amount of disagreement regarding the exact
placement and track of low pressure. Because of this, the
forecast for late this weekend is a bit uncertain, so PoPs will
be limited to about 50 percent Sunday into Monday.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z TUESDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/...
VFR conditions should continue through much of today, but KEKN
or KBKW could see a temporary reduction in visibility if a
thunderstorm moves over those areas. The most likely time for
that would be anytime before 00Z Wednesday.
Patchy mountain valley fog can be expected overnight. MVFR/IFR
restrictions in fog have been added at KEKN and KCRW between 09Z
and 12Z Wednesday.
FORECAST CONFIDENCE AND ALTERNATE SCENARIOS THROUGH 18Z WEDNESDAY...
FORECAST CONFIDENCE: High.
ALTERNATE SCENARIOS: Convection this afternoon and fog early
Wednesday morning might be more widespread than anticipated.
EXPERIMENTAL TABLE OF FLIGHT CATEGORY OBJECTIVELY SHOWS CONSISTENCY
OF WFO FORECAST TO AVAILABLE MODEL INFORMATION:
H = HIGH: TAF CONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
M = MEDIUM: TAF HAS VARYING LEVEL OF CONSISTENCY WITH MODELS.
L = LOW: TAF INCONSISTENT WITH ALL MODELS OR ALL BUT ONE MODEL.
UTC 1HRLY 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 00 01 02 03
EDT 1HRLY 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23
CRW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
HTS CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
BKW CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
EKN CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
PKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
CKB CONSISTENCY H H H H H H H H H H H H
AFTER 18Z WEDNESDAY...
IFR conditions becoming more likely in valley fog each morning
during the middle and latter portion of this week, as high
pressure becomes more dominant.
&&
.RLX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
WV...None.
OH...None.
KY...None.
VA...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...26
AVIATION...26
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 1:16 PM EST, 2 hours 54 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
216 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
WVZ519-520-021845-
Southeast Nicholas WV-Northwest Nicholas WV-
216 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL NICHOLAS COUNTY
THROUGH 245 PM EDT...
At 216 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Summersville, moving south at 10 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and penny size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Canvas and Nettie.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3829 8077 3828 8070 3814 8067 3817 8082
TIME...MOT...LOC 1816Z 009DEG 11KT 3824 8073
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.75 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
25Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:11 PM EST, 1 hour 59 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
311 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
WVZ517-519-021945-
Northwest Nicholas WV-Northwest Fayette WV-
311 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL NICHOLAS AND
NORTHWESTERN FAYETTE COUNTIES THROUGH 345 PM EDT...
At 311 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 9
miles north of Ansted, or 13 miles west of Summersville, moving south
at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Ansted, Gauley Bridge, Hawks Nest State Park, and Swiss.
This includes Route 19 between mile markers 23 and 26.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3831 8113 3828 8101 3808 8098 3817 8128
TIME...MOT...LOC 1911Z 017DEG 12KT 3827 8108
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
01Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:32 PM EST, 1 hour 38 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
WVZ018-028-029-022000-
Calhoun WV-Gilmer WV-Braxton WV-
332 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN CALHOUN...
SOUTHWESTERN GILMER AND WEST CENTRAL BRAXTON COUNTIES THROUGH 400 PM
EDT...
At 332 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 8
miles east of Arnoldsburg, or 11 miles southeast of Grantsville,
moving south at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Shock, Rosedale, Orma, and Nicut.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with this storm and may lead to
localized flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 3883 8101 3880 8090 3862 8090 3872 8117
TIME...MOT...LOC 1932Z 017DEG 12KT 3878 8097
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
01
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:51 PM EST, 1 hour 19 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
351 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
WVZ028-521-022015-
Northwest Webster WV-Braxton WV-
351 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BRAXTON AND
NORTHWESTERN WEBSTER COUNTIES THROUGH 415 PM EDT...
At 351 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 10
miles west of Holly River State Park, or 11 miles east of Sutton,
moving west at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Sutton, Flatwoods, Exchange, Heaters, and Centralia.
This includes Interstate 79 between mile markers 64 and 72.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3877 8048 3864 8042 3854 8065 3878 8076
TIME...MOT...LOC 1951Z 073DEG 16KT 3872 8052
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
01
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 2:56 PM EST, 1 hour 14 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
356 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
WVZ015-022030-
Kanawha WV-
356 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT EAST CENTRAL KANAWHA COUNTY
THROUGH 430 PM EDT...
At 356 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 7
miles southeast of Pinch, or 14 miles east of Charleston, moving
south at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Cedar Grove, Glasgow, Pratt, and Handley.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3839 8138 3835 8131 3818 8135 3826 8152
TIME...MOT...LOC 1956Z 021DEG 14KT 3834 8137
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
01
Special weather statement, Jun 2, 3:35 PM EST, 35 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Charleston WV
435 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
WVZ033-034-022100-
Wyoming WV-McDowell WV-
435 PM EDT Tue Jun 2 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MCDOWELL AND
CENTRAL WYOMING COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM EDT...
At 435 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Pineville, moving south at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Minor hail damage to vegetation is possible.
Locations impacted include...
Welch, Pineville, Davy, Keystone, Kimball, and Wolf Pen.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 3764 8163 3765 8155 3740 8144 3743 8173
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 357DEG 14KT 3761 8160
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...<30 MPH
01