A weak cold front and surface low moved across northern NY and New England during the afternoon hours if June 26th. A few thunderstorms developed in NY and intensified as they crossed the border into VT.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS BTV wrote it up.
A weak cold front and surface low moved across northern NY and New England during the afternoon hours if June 26th. A few thunderstorms developed in NY and intensified as they crossed the border into VT. One storm produced dime size hail as well as damaging winds in Rutland county, VT.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Burlington, VT wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 26, 6:47 AM EST, 7 hours 23 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Burlington VT 747 AM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... As of 315 AM EDT Friday... Added mention of small hail and gusty winds with thunderstorms this afternoon, mainly from 11 am to 5 pm. && .KEY MESSAGES... As of 315 AM EDT Friday... 1. Widespread showers which moved through the region overnight are coming to an end. Additional showers with embedded thunderstorms are expected this afternoon, some may be strong. 2. Afternoon showers and thunderstorms will be possible both Saturday and Sunday, especially across the higher elevations. 3. A round of showers and thunderstorms may occur late Tuesday into Wednesday, followed by additional chances of thunderstorms later in the week. 4. Hot and humid conditions will likely build into the region, resulting in potential Heat Advisories in early July. && .DISCUSSION... As of 315 AM EDT Friday... KEY MESSAGE 1: A warm front is lifting north across our region and showers spread across the area associated with this feature. Had a pretty widespread wetting rain overnight. The widespread rain will be ending in the next few hours. Additional convective showers with embedded thunderstorms are expected this afternoon as a cold front pushes eastward across the forecast area. Models continue to indicate surface based CAPE around 500-1500 J/kg, and 0-6km bulk shear to around 35 kts. Noticing some clearing upstream on satellite, and this should move into our area this morning helping to develop the surface based instability for some thunderstorms to develop this afternoon. The Storm Prediction Center has Marginal Risk (level 1 of 5) for severe weather covering most of Vermont and a bit of northern New York in the Champlain valley. The main threats from these thunderstorms will be localized damaging winds and some isolated large hail, have added enhanced wording to the forecast. Pwats today will be lower than recent events only to an inch or inch and a quarter which which will be unlikely to cause many flooding concerns. Rainfall totals will generally range from two tenths of an inch to an inch of rain. Locally higher amounts may be possible under any thunderstorms. KEY MESSAGE 2: After soaking rain, some river valley fog is possible Friday night as dewpoints will remain elevated around 60 degrees. Into the weekend, broad upper level troughing will keep shower chances each afternoon. Diurnally driven terrain showers and embedded isolated thunderstorms will be possible both Saturday and Sunday afternoons, mainly over the Adirondacks and spine of the Greens. Best chances will be on Saturday. These showers may drift briefly into the Champlain Valley or eastern Vermont by the mid to later afternoons, but will likely weaken as they become detached from better convergence and mesoscale forcing. Rainfall with these showers will be light to a few hundreths to a tenth under any more developed showers. Any afternoon shower activity will wane after sunset with the loss of diurnal heating. Temperatures will begin a steady warmup leading into next week. Highs this weekend will rise from the mid to upper 70s Saturday to the upper 70s to low 80s by Sunday. Humidity will also linger with dewpoints in the low 60s, keeping overnight lows relatively warm into the upper 50s to low 60s. KEY MESSAGE 3: The weather details for the middle of next week are becoming a little clearer. The consensus idea is that a ridge roller dives southeastward from southern Canada into northern New York and western Vermont. This timing appears to be either late in the day Tuesday or Tuesday night. The air mass would be quite juiced with regards to heavy rain potential with PWAT surging well over 2 inches, and frequent lightning/loud thunder could occur with ample elevated instability. The track of this relatively small system certainly could shift a bit west or east relative to the consensus, but overall at least a portion of the region will likely see this system come through. Note the upper level pattern looks fairly stagnant, in which we sit on the northeastern periphery of a heat dome. Potential for strong to severe thunderstorms with heavy rainfall rates will be something to watch through the rest of the week. KEY MESSAGE 4: Overall, the potential for major heat risk is elevated for Wednesday and Thursday following a seasonably hot day on Tuesday when highs should range through the 80s. The risk is associated with expected greatly increased humidity (50-80% chance of dew points being in the 70s during the daytime hours) and hot temperatures (60- 80% chance in the Champlain and Upper Valley highs will exceed 90), leading to heat index values at least topping out in the mid and upper 90s in our valleys. Confidence in the heat being impactful is higher on Thursday than Wednesday, when the aforementioned ridge roller could temporarily cool/stabilize the air in at least portions of our region, such that temperatures struggle to recover and fail to reach the current forecast (mid 80s to low 90s). && .AVIATION /12Z FRIDAY THROUGH TUESDAY/... Through 12Z Saturday...A mix of VFR and MVFR conditions continue amidst a broad area of clouds and pockets of showers. These showers with embedded thunderstorms are currently most widespread in a narrow corridor of northern New York just north of both SLK and PBG and south of MSS. Think that both these sites will see a combination of VCTS and TSRA this morning, but it was hard to feel confident enough to show a direct hit. Beyond the next four hours, the thunderstorm threat which could include gusty winds and small hail will shift more prominently into the Champlain Valley and then central Vermont. Aside from brief intervals of LIFR early this morning and periods of heavier rain, conditions for much of the next 6 to 12 hours are expected to trend VFR as drier mid-level air moves into the airspace. Light winds will trend westerly this afternoon mainly under 10 knots aside from any thunderstorm wind gusts, then diminish towards 00Z. Following the showers and thunderstorms, the light winds and clearing skies will support quick development of fog tonight. Have added mention of BR given strong support from model guidance and pattern recognition. Details on sites that are more likely to see FG in relation to footprints of rain this afternoon will need to be reassessed in future TAF packages. Outlook... Saturday: Mainly VFR, with local MVFR possible. NO SIG WX. Saturday Night: VFR. Patchy BR. Sunday: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Sunday Night: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday: VFR. NO SIG WX. Monday Night: VFR. Slight chance SHRA. Tuesday: VFR. Chance SHRA, Slight chance TSRA. && .BTV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... VT...None. NY...None. && WHAT HAS CHANGED...Neiles DISCUSSION...Kutikoff/Neiles AVIATION...Kutikoff
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Burlington VT 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026 NYZ026>031-034-035-087-VTZ001>008-016-017-271845- Northern St. Lawrence-Northern Franklin-Eastern Clinton- Southeastern St. Lawrence-Southern Franklin-Western Clinton- Western Essex-Eastern Essex-Southwestern St. Lawrence-Grand Isle- Western Franklin-Orleans-Essex-Western Chittenden-Lamoille-Caledonia- Washington-Eastern Franklin-Eastern Chittenden- 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northern New York, central Vermont, northeast Vermont and northwest Vermont. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. No hazardous weather is expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time. VTZ009>011-018>021-271845- Western Addison-Orange-Western Rutland-Eastern Addison- Eastern Rutland-Western Windsor-Eastern Windsor- 240 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026 ...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 397 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS EVENING... This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Vermont and southern Vermont. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the Internet for more information about the following hazards. Severe Thunderstorm Watch. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday. Hazardous weather is not expected at this time. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Burlington VT
215 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
VTZ009-011-261845-
Western Rutland VT-Western Addison VT-
215 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN ADDISON AND
NORTHWESTERN RUTLAND COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT...
At 214 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Rogers Rock Campground, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and half inch hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
West Castleton, Benson, Sudbury, Brandon, Hubbardton, Orwell, Fair
Haven, Castleton, West Haven, Pittsford, Benson Bay, Hortonia,
Bomoseen State Park, Benson Landing, Half Moon State Park, and
Stevens Bay.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
A Severe Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect until 900 PM EDT for
central and southern Vermont.
&&
LAT...LON 4369 7341 4373 7337 4377 7335 4378 7336
4379 7336 4379 7337 4382 7338 4380 7303
4362 7324
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 290DEG 18KT 4377 7341
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.50 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
TDPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Burlington VT
306 PM EDT Fri Jun 26 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0242 PM Hail 1 ENE Hubbardton 43.72N 73.16W
06/26/2026 M0.50 Inch Rutland VT Public
Dime size hail reported at the Hubbardton
Town Office.
&&
MBThe Burlington radar (KCXX), 95 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 19:09 UTC.
2 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
Several large trees, up to 20 inches in diameter, were blown down. Nickel size hail was also reported.
A few trees downed by thunderstorm winds.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Vermont in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Vermont, June 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1335301, 1335302.