Troughing was evident over the western CONUS on the 28th, and west Texas and southeast New Mexico were under southwesterly flow aloft. Pulses within this flow, coupled with upslope flow and surface convergence on a weak dryline, yielded shower and thunderstorm development starting in the higher terrain and spreading across much of the area.
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Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MAF wrote it up.
Troughing was evident over the western CONUS on the 28th, and west Texas and southeast New Mexico were under southwesterly flow aloft. Pulses within this flow, coupled with upslope flow and surface convergence on a weak dryline, yielded shower and thunderstorm development starting in the higher terrain and spreading across much of the area. A few thunderstorms managed to produce severe downburst winds.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Midland/Odessa, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 28, 12:43 PM CST, 3 hours 59 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX 143 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 ...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 141 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 - Hazardous heat continues along the Rio Grande, with highs near 110 degrees. Be sure to drink plenty of fluids and take frequent breaks in the shade if outdoors! - Isolated to scattered storm chances (10-30%) for portions of the Permian Basin, southeast New Mexico, Trans Pecos, and the higher terrain this afternoon and evening. Damaging winds are the primary hazard with the strongest storms. && .SHORT TERM... (This afternoon through Monday night) Issued at 141 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 Isolated storms will develop over the next few hours with the focus mainly over the Davis Mountains and Upper Trans Pecos. Much like the last few days, a storm or two will be capable of producing damaging winds and small hail. Any afternoon activity will decay overnight with temperatures only cooling into the 70s as steady southerly breezes continue. Temperatures on Monday will be 3-5 degrees cooler compared to today as an upper level low parks itself over the western US. Southwesterly flow in the upper levels brings in more moisture, increasing rain chances across the southern and central portions of the CWA. Rain amounts will vary widely, but highest amounts will be around an inch, mainly across the Davis Mountains and portions of Big Bend. Portions of the Permian Basin may not see any rain as the best chances remain in the western half of the basin. Overnight lows for many will be about the same in the low to mid 70s, but the higher elevations may enjoy rain cooled 60s. -Stickney && .LONG TERM... (Tuesday through Saturday) Issued at 141 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 The triple digit heat for many locations will come to an end on Tuesday, thanks to the upper ridge of high pressure shifting eastward into the Ohio Valley and southeast US. Simultaneously, an upper-level storm system skirts across the Great Basin, supplying weak south to southwesterly flow aloft leading to extra cloud cover and moisture. Surface troughing along with upslope flow yields another day of isolated to scattered storms with the highest coverage being in the Davis Mountains. High temperatures decrease to near normal for late June standards in the upper 80s to upper 90s for most locations. A similar weather day is in store on Wednesday as the upper-level storm system inches eastward. As a result, similar high temperatures and rain/storm chances are forecast. Multiple days of heavy rainfall over the same areas (mainly across higher terrain) will pose a threat of localized flash flooding. Thursday into Independence Day Weekend, cluster analysis indicate a ridge of high pressure building back into the region. This will lead to drier conditions and warmer temperatures ranging from the low to upper 90s, with some locations hitting the triple digits. At this time, temperatures are not expected to be as hot compared to this past week due to guidance suggesting the ridge will be weaker. Cannot rule out isolated thunderstorms each afternoon and evening due to persistent surface troughing, upslope flow, and any disturbances within the flow aloft. Lamberson && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1221 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026 Breezy winds continue through this evening. Isolated to scattered storms develop around and after 20z with highest chances (20-40%) near PEQ. Lower chances for FST/HOB. Amendments may be necessary based on radar trends through the evening. VFR continues at all terminals. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Big Spring 76 100 75 97 / 0 0 20 0 Carlsbad 75 99 72 98 / 10 10 10 20 Dryden 76 100 75 97 / 0 10 20 10 Fort Stockton 75 97 72 93 / 10 60 20 40 Guadalupe Pass 71 89 68 88 / 10 10 10 10 Hobbs 73 97 70 94 / 10 30 0 30 Marfa 64 90 61 87 / 30 50 60 70 Midland Intl Airport 76 98 74 94 / 0 10 30 10 Odessa 76 97 74 93 / 0 20 20 20 Wink 76 100 73 96 / 20 30 10 30 && .MAF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. NM...None. && SHORT TERM...93 LONG TERM....11 AVIATION...93
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
415 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
TXZ045>047-050-051-282145-
Martin TX-Dawson TX-Andrews TX-Gaines TX-Borden TX-
415 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN ANDREWS...
SOUTHEASTERN GAINES...WEST CENTRAL BORDEN...NORTHWESTERN MARTIN AND
DAWSON COUNTIES THROUGH 445 PM CDT...
At 414 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Lamesa, moving northeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Lamesa, Lamesa Municipal Airport, Los Ybanez, Sparenberg, Tenmile,
Patricia, Arvana, Hancock, Key, and Klondike.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.
&&
LAT...LON 3232 10218 3245 10237 3296 10196 3273 10155
TIME...MOT...LOC 2114Z 223DEG 20KT 3266 10197
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
94Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Midland/Odessa TX
540 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
TXZ075-278-282300-
Pecos TX-Davis Mountains Foothills TX-
540 PM CDT Sun Jun 28 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN PECOS AND NORTHERN
BREWSTER COUNTIES THROUGH 600 PM CDT...
At 539 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 24
miles north of Marathon, or 28 miles southwest of Fort Stockton,
moving west at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph and nickel size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
This storm will remain over mainly rural areas of southwestern Pecos
and northern Brewster Counties.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
To report severe weather, contact your nearest law enforcement
agency. They will relay your report to the National Weather Service
office in Midland.
&&
LAT...LON 3045 10329 3072 10332 3055 10299 3046 10300
TIME...MOT...LOC 2239Z 111DEG 17KT 3056 10315
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH
44The Midland/Odessa radar (KMAF), 148 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 22:44 UTC.
1 thunderstorm wind. Local standard time, as filed.
The West Texas Mesonet Station Belding 3NNW recorded several severe wind gusts, including a 75 mph gust.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Texas in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, June 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1341951.