Texas, 2026

Drought in Texas, February 22 to 28, 2026

February 22 to 28, 2026 · NWS FWD · 3 events in 3 counties and zones

D2 drought conditions developed in a few of our eastern counties during the last week of February.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
3

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS FWD wrote it up.

D2 drought conditions developed in a few of our eastern counties during the last week of February.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Fort Worth, TX wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 21, 5:41 PM CST, 6 hours 19 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Following a few chilly mornings with near or below freezing low temperatures, above normal temperatures and rain-free conditions are expected through much of next week.
  • An elevated wildfire threat may materialize Tuesday through Thursday as above normal temperatures return along with breezy southwesterly winds.
Area forecast discussion, Feb 21, 5:41 PM CST, 6 hours 19 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
541 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Following a few chilly mornings with near or below freezing low
  temperatures, above normal temperatures and rain-free conditions
  are expected through much of next week.

- An elevated wildfire threat may materialize Tuesday through
  Thursday as above normal temperatures return along with breezy
  southwesterly winds.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through tonight)
Issued at 1139 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

High clouds continue to shift away from North and Central Texas,
leaving behind clear skies through the afternoon. After last
night's cold front, expect temperatures today to remain in the 50s
and 60s across the region. As we continue through the afternoon
hours, gusty winds will persist with a few gusts closer to 30-35
mph. Winds are expected to gradually subside after sunset,
settling at around 10-13 mph through the night.

Clear skies and diminishing winds will lead to fairly chilly
conditions tonight with many locations dropping into freezing
territory. Areas with the most widespread freezing conditions will
be west of I-35. North and northeast of the DFW Metroplex may also
see a scattering of freezing temperatures, however, not everyone
will drop below 32 degrees. The vast majority of the DFW Metroplex
should remain above freezing thanks to the heat island effect.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday through next Friday)
Issued at 1139 AM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

High pressure will overtake the western half of the country,
leading to tranquil weather conditions across our region. With
northerly flow continuing during the day tomorrow, another cool
day is expected as highs remain in the 50s to lower 60s across the
region. By early Monday morning, freezing conditions are expected
across much of the region. With the recent bout of warm weather,
if you brought your plants outdoors, make sure to bring them back
indoors to protect them from the cold! Similar weather conditions
are expected on Monday compared to Sunday, however, a warming
trend will commence on Tuesday.

Along with the warmer temperatures expected by the middle of next
week, drier air will impact western parts of North and Central
Texas Tuesday through Thursday, raising the potential for grass
fire starts. Minimum relative humidity values will be in the lower
20s with breezy southwesterly winds. The warmest day will likely
be Wednesday as much of the region climbs into the mid 80s.
Although this is going to be about 20 degrees above normal,
temperatures will be 10-12 degrees below record values.

By Thursday, a cold front is expected to move south across the
region, however, given the lack of cold air, above normal
temperatures will persist through the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 541 PM CST Sat Feb 21 2026

VFR conditions and north winds will continue through the period.
Breezy/gusty winds will subside by 02-03Z this evening with wind
speeds between 7-12 knots overnight. Winds will increase to 10-15
knots mid to late Sunday morning with gusts around 20 knots
through the afternoon.

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    36  58  33  59 /   0   0   0   0
Waco                35  60  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Paris               33  53  29  54 /   0   0   0   0
Denton              30  57  27  58 /   0   0   0   0
McKinney            33  56  29  57 /   0   0   0   0
Dallas              38  58  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
Terrell             33  58  29  58 /   0   0   0   0
Corsicana           37  61  33  61 /   0   0   0   0
Temple              35  62  32  63 /   0   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       30  60  29  62 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Hernandez
LONG TERM....Hernandez
AVIATION...Barnes

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

3 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Van Zandt

When
February 22, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Van Zandt forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.564, -95.836 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions developed across most of the county the last week of February.

Drought, Hunt

When
February 22, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Hunt forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
33.124, -96.085 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions developed across the eastern half of the county the last week of February.

Drought, Henderson

When
February 22, 12:00 AM CST to February 28, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Henderson forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
32.212, -95.854 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

D2 drought conditions developed across the western half of the county the last week of February.

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Texas in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Texas, February 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1319581, 1319582, 1319583.