Flooding in Tennessee, June 24, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Nashville TN
533 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 529 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

- Pleasant weather Wednesday.

- Seasonably warm and humid weather with on and off chances for
  showers and storms starting Thursday.

- Moderate heat risk early next week as temperatures warm into
  the mid to upper 90s.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(Tonight through Thursday Night)
Issued at 1002 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

Pleasant weather continues tonight, with temps in the mid 60s.
Areas of patchy fog are possible overnight, especially across the
Plateau, though chances will be largely inhibited by increased
cloud cover associated with a passing shortwave. Temperatures
will be similarly pleasant Wednesday, with highs in the mid 80s
and lows in the mid 60s.

Temperatures begin a gradual warm-up Thursday, with
afternoon highs in the upper 80s. Spotty rain chances return with
a low (30% or less) potential for pop-up afternoon showers over
the southwest.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1002 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026

We will enter into a more zonal pattern as we finish out the week.
Weak disturbances will periodically ripple through this flow,
keeping low to medium rain and storm chances in the forecast
through Saturday. These passages will move north of Middle TN,
keeping the better rain chances there, but areas along and north
of I-40 will have a 30-50% chance for rain and storms through the
weekend.

The heat will be the main storm as we head into next week. Temperatures
will continue to gradually rise each day this week as an
expansive area of high pressure treks toward the southeast.
Temperatures will push into the 90s this weekend with mid 90s
forecast Sunday. By Monday, highs will reach in to the mid to
upper 90s, and this heat doesn't look to go anywhere fast. Upper
90s are in the forecast through at least the first half of next
week. Heat index values during this time will reach into the 100s,
so please keep this in mind if you have any outdoor interests
this weekend and early next week.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 529 AM CDT Wed Jun 24 2026

VFR conditions continue this morning as high clouds move over the
region. Some patchy fog developed overnight, but nothing
widespread and will dissipate over the next hour or so. Winds
remain light (favoring a northerly component) and even variable
at times today. Winds become southerly after 12z Thursday.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Nashville      85  66  89  72 /   0   0  10  30
Clarksville    85  66  88  71 /   0   0  20  40
Crossville     80  60  84  66 /   0   0  10  20
Columbia       84  64  88  70 /   0   0  10  10
Cookeville     81  62  85  68 /   0   0   0  30
Jamestown      81  59  85  66 /   0   0  10  20
Lawrenceburg   83  64  86  69 /   0   0  10  10
Murfreesboro   85  64  89  70 /   0   0  10  20
Waverly        84  66  88  71 /   0   0  10  20

&&

.OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

SHORT TERM...Baggett
LONG TERM....Baggett
AVIATION.....Cravens