What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Binghamton, NY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 12, 1:25 PM EST, 1 hour 7 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) A cold front will finish moving through the area with some stronger thunderstorms, but lingering threat ends by evening. 2) While pleasant conditions are expected through at least midday Sunday, a round of showers and thunderstorms appears likely to wrap up the weekend Sunday afternoon and evening, followed by cooler weather early next week.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 12, 1:25 PM EST, 1 hour 7 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
225 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
With an earlier frontal passage, severe thunderstorm potential
will advance more quickly east this afternoon, ceasing by
evening. While weekend weather appears quiet tonight through
midday Sunday, confidence in increasing for another round of
thunderstorms later Sunday.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) A cold front will finish moving through the area with some
stronger thunderstorms, but lingering threat ends by evening.
2) While pleasant conditions are expected through at least
midday Sunday, a round of showers and thunderstorms appears
likely to wrap up the weekend Sunday afternoon and evening,
followed by cooler weather early next week.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A threat of scattered gusty thunderstorms will hold on just a
few more hours, shifting to the Catskills and Poconos in mid to
late afternoon before ending.
Timing of the expected cold frontal passage is advancing
quickly, which has somewhat limited heating and thus
instability. Convergence is a bit loose as well, so while we are
having scattered convective cells, they are not organizing into
a solid line. That said, some stronger gusts of 40-50 mph could
still occur, and perhaps even a severe cell or two during
maximum heating in mid-to-late afternoon towards the Catskills-
Poconos where highs will still manage upper 80s in the valleys.
Convective Available Potential Energy still has a decent chance
of reaching 1500-2000 J/Kg in the Poconos-Catskills so that is
where stronger cells could yield gustier and marginally severe
downbursts. By early evening, activity will shunt south and east
of the area, with a cooler air mass advecting in to achieve
lows of mid-upper 50s.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
A very dry air mass will result in abundant sunshine Saturday.
Highs will still reach a few degrees above climatology, yet the
air will feel a lot fresher with dewpoints mixing down to the
lower to mid 50s. Ridging will hold into Sunday morning to keep
things dry. However, a stout wave is projected to drop into the
upper Midwest Sunday morning, quickly pivoting around a Canadian
low to swing into our region late Sunday. Modest warming will
occur ahead of that wave, and an uptick in moisture. While not
exactly humid, the forcing with this wave appears favorable
because the air mass behind it will be much cooler for early
next week. Thus, confidence is increasing that we will have a
round a showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon-evening. With
models depicting 2-6km flow of 40-50 knots, there is some
potential for storms to be on the strong side. At the same time,
the modest moisture and speed of individual cells should limit
rainfall amounts, and thus not anticipating excessive rainfall
problems.
A markedly cooler air mass will start the week, with mid 60s-mid
70s for highs Monday and just a touch milder Tuesday. Weak waves
swinging around the broad cool upper trough could touch off
isolated showers by Tuesdsay afternoon, but overall the pattern
is mostly dry. Better rain chances wait until midweek onward.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z FRIDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
A front will finish moving through the region by evening, but
not before scattered thunderstorms for at least KBGM-KAVP. Other
than that, VFR conditions are anticipated to dominate the TAF
period. Some uncertainty exists for whether KELM gets brief
valley fog around dawn, but enough mixing wind is figured to
hold that off as drier air moves into the region.
Outlook:
Saturday afternoon through midday Sunday...Mainly VFR.
Sunday afternoon through early Monday...Showers and
thunderstorms with associated restrictions likely Sunday
afternoon-evening, followed by lingering low clouds/fog late
Sunday night-early Monday morning.
Midday Monday through Tuesday night...Mainly VFR, but an
isolated shower is possible Tuesday afternoon.
Wednesday...Chance for afternoon showers and thunderstorms and
associated restrictions.
&&
.BGM WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
PA...None.
NY...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...MDP
AVIATION...MDP
Hazardous weather outlook, Jun 12, 2:14 PM EST, 18 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
NYZ009-015>018-022>025-036-037-044>046-055-056-PAZ038-131915-
Northern Oneida-Yates-Seneca-Southern Cayuga-Onondaga-Steuben-
Schuyler-Chemung-Tompkins-Madison-Southern Oneida-Cortland-Chenango-
Otsego-Tioga-Broome-Bradford-
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
No hazardous weather is expected at this time.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
A round of gusty thunderstorms is possible Sunday afternoon
through evening. Monitor the forecast for updates.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
NYZ057-062-PAZ039-040-043-044-047-048-072-131915-
Delaware-Sullivan-Susquehanna-Northern Wayne-Wyoming-Lackawanna-
Luzerne-Pike-Southern Wayne-
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 322 IN EFFECT UNTIL 9 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central New York and
northeast Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Severe Thunderstorm Watch.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Saturday through Thursday.
A round of gusty thunderstorms is possible Sunday afternoon
through evening. Monitor the forecast for updates.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Weather spotters are encouraged to report significant weather
conditions according to Standard Operating Procedures. Please relay
any information about severe weather to the NWS.
In the hours before
Local storm report, Jun 12, 9:12 AM EST, 5 hours 20 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report...Summary
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1012 AM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0803 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 ENE Lake Como 41.87N 75.30W
06/11/2026 Wayne PA 911 Call Center
Tree down over roadway.
0826 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Honesdale 41.58N 75.26W
06/11/2026 Wayne PA 911 Call Center
Trees down over Riverside Drive and Park
Street.
0730 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Montrose 41.83N 75.88W
06/11/2026 Susquehanna PA 911 Call Center
Multiple trees down on roadways in Montrose.
0735 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 SE Elk Lake 41.74N 75.93W
06/11/2026 Susquehanna PA 911 Call Center
Tree down blocking roadway.
0840 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 4 NNW Westcolang Park 41.57N 75.08W
06/11/2026 Pike PA 911 Call Center
Tree down on wires.
0840 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 NW Bushkill 41.11N 75.02W
06/11/2026 Pike PA Public
Tree down on wires.
0925 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 6 N Dingmans Ferry 41.30N 74.90W
06/11/2026 Pike PA 911 Call Center
Wire down across the road.
0808 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Glenburn 41.51N 75.74W
06/11/2026 Lackawanna PA 911 Call Center
Tree down over roadway.
0841 PM Flash Flood 1 SE Scranton 41.40N 75.66W
06/11/2026 Lackawanna PA 911 Call Center
Multiple roads reported to be closed and/or
have flash flooding.
0632 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Burlington 41.78N 76.60W
06/11/2026 Bradford PA 911 Call Center
Tree down over roadway.
0701 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 ENE Stevensville 41.77N 76.17W
06/11/2026 Bradford PA 911 Call Center
Tree down blocking roadway.
0357 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 S Keuka Park 42.59N 77.08W
06/11/2026 Yates NY 911 Call Center
Tree down on Route 54.
0419 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 N Mays Mills 42.68N 76.99W
06/11/2026 Yates NY Public
Tree down on Roy Rd.
0500 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Trumansburg 42.54N 76.67W
06/11/2026 Tompkins NY 911 Call Center
Tree and wires down on Halsey St.
0616 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 3 ESE Willseyville 42.27N 76.33W
06/11/2026 Tioga NY 911 Call Center
Tree down over roadway on Honeypot Road.
0538 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 S Erwins 42.08N 77.15W
06/11/2026 Steuben NY 911 Call Center
Tree down on Route 115 north of Lindley.
0547 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Painted Post 42.16N 77.09W
06/11/2026 Steuben NY 911 Call Center
Powerline fell on house and resulted in a
fire that was later put out.
0547 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Corning 42.15N 77.06W
06/11/2026 Steuben NY 911 Call Center
Multiple reports of trees and wires down
throughout Corning.
0438 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 E Starkey 42.53N 76.88W
06/11/2026 Schuyler NY 911 Call Center
Power line down, causing arcing and a small
grass fire.
0438 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 SSW Hector 42.48N 76.87W
06/11/2026 Schuyler NY 911 Call Center
Tree, power pole, and wires down across Club
Seneca Rd.
0440 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 S Hector 42.47N 76.87W
06/11/2026 Schuyler NY 911 Call Center
Power poles and Trees down near Nichols Rd
causing a traffic backup.
0605 PM Tstm Wnd Gst 1 SW Lower South Bay 43.19N 76.08W
06/11/2026 M60 MPH Onondaga NY Public
Branches, and fences are becoming damaged.
0820 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Colchester 42.17N 75.08W
06/11/2026 Delaware NY 911 Call Center
2 Trees down blocking the roadway. Time
estimated by radar.
0540 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Homer 42.64N 76.18W
06/11/2026 Cortland NY 911 Call Center
Wires down at Warren and North Main.
Radar-estimated time.
0540 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 SSW Cortland 42.59N 76.19W
06/11/2026 Cortland NY 911 Call Center
Tree down along Taylor Street.
Radar-estimated time of impact.
0550 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 NNW Freetown Corners 42.54N 76.04W
06/11/2026 Cortland NY 911 Call Center
Tree down along Clock Road. Radar-estimated
time of impact.
0555 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg Truxton 42.71N 76.03W
06/11/2026 Cortland NY 911 Call Center
Wires down on Academy Street.
Radar-estimated time of impact.
0538 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 SE Millport 42.25N 76.82W
06/11/2026 Chemung NY 911 Call Center
Power pole down near middle rd and burch
hill rd.
0635 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 3 SSE Marathon 42.41N 76.02W
06/11/2026 Broome NY 911 Call Center
Tree down over River Road in Lisle.
0703 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 WSW Binghamton 42.10N 75.93W
06/11/2026 Broome NY 911 Call Center
Tree down over roadway on Chestnut Street.
0703 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 2 S Johnson City 42.10N 75.96W
06/11/2026 Broome NY 911 Call Center
Tree and wires down over Riverside Drive.
0707 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 N Port Crane 42.18N 75.83W
06/11/2026 Broome NY 911 Call Center
Tree down over Black River Road.
0707 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 1 E Binghamton 42.10N 75.88W
06/11/2026 Broome NY 911 Call Center
Tree down over Baltimore Avenue.
&&Local storm report, Jun 12, 10:10 AM EST, 4 hours 22 minutes before
Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
1110 AM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0745 PM Tstm Wnd Dmg 5 ESE Tunkhannock 41.51N 75.87W
06/11/2026 Wyoming PA Emergency Mngr
Multiple trees and wires down which caused a
few temporary road closures from east of
Tunkhannock to the Wyoming-Luzerne-Lackwanna
tri-section. Radar-estimated time.
&&Special weather statement, Jun 12, 1:14 PM EST, 1 hour 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
214 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
NYZ056-PAZ039-121845-
Broome NY-Susquehanna PA-
214 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL BROOME AND
NORTHEASTERN SUSQUEHANNA COUNTIES THROUGH 245 PM EDT...
At 214 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Kirkwood, or near Binghamton, moving southeast at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Kirkwood, Conklin, Hallstead, Windsor, Great Bend, and East Windsor.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4206 7588 4215 7578 4213 7555 4192 7573
TIME...MOT...LOC 1814Z 296DEG 15KT 4208 7578
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BTLSpecial weather statement, Jun 12, 1:59 PM EST, 33 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
259 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
NYZ045-055-056-PAZ038-039-043-121930-
Chenango NY-Tioga NY-Broome NY-Wyoming PA-Susquehanna PA-Bradford PA-
259 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT BROOME...SOUTHEASTERN TIOGA...
SOUTHWESTERN CHENANGO...WESTERN SUSQUEHANNA...NORTHEASTERN BRADFORD
AND NORTH CENTRAL WYOMING COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT...
At 259 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking strong thunderstorms along
a line extending from near Whitney Point to near Little Meadows to
Herrick. Movement was east at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Binghamton, Vestal, Johnson City, Endicott, Kirkwood, Conklin, Maine,
Rush, Towanda, and Wysox.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4236 7556 4198 7566 4159 7593 4176 7650
4203 7621 4228 7618
TIME...MOT...LOC 1859Z 273DEG 26KT 4229 7599 4202 7609 4176 7626
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BTLSpecial weather statement, Jun 12, 2:01 PM EST, 31 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
301 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
NYZ056-057-062-PAZ040-121930-
Broome NY-Sullivan NY-Delaware NY-Northern Wayne PA-
301 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN BROOME...
SOUTHWESTERN DELAWARE...WEST CENTRAL SULLIVAN AND NORTHERN WAYNE
COUNTIES THROUGH 330 PM EDT...
At 301 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Hancock, or 8 miles southeast of Deposit, moving southeast at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Deposit, Hancock, Starrucca, Hiawatha, Shehawken, Starlight, Stalker,
Fishs Eddy, Harvard, and Equinunk.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4173 7514 4194 7548 4200 7548 4210 7542
4203 7495
TIME...MOT...LOC 1901Z 294DEG 24KT 4197 7531
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BTLSpecial weather statement, Jun 12, 2:14 PM EST, 18 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Binghamton NY
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
NYZ046-121945-
Otsego NY-
314 PM EDT Fri Jun 12 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN OTSEGO COUNTY
THROUGH 345 PM EDT...
At 313 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Cooperstown, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Middlefield, Hartwick, Cooperstown, Westville, Westford, Cherry
Valley, Bowerstown, Oaksville, Index, and Toddsville.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
Frequent cloud to ground lightning is occurring with this storm.
Lightning can strike 10 miles away from a thunderstorm. Seek a safe
shelter inside a building or vehicle.
&&
LAT...LON 4259 7466 4265 7512 4276 7512 4285 7471
4283 7466 4282 7465 4276 7467 4264 7463
TIME...MOT...LOC 1913Z 267DEG 21KT 4271 7495
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
BTL