Warm temperatures, low afternoon humidity and gusty winds resulted in favorable conditions for fire starts and spread on the 27th.
Every event with a place to put it; 1 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS OUN wrote it up.
Warm temperatures, low afternoon humidity and gusty winds resulted in favorable conditions for fire starts and spread on the 27th.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Norman, OK wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Feb 27, 11:44 AM CST, 46 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Norman OK 1144 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1115 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 - Above-average temperatures continue through Saturday. - Cooler temperatures are expected Monday behind a cold front. - Rain and storm chances increase this weekend and continue through late next week. && .NEAR TERM... (Through Friday) Issued at 105 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 Warm downsloping northwesterly flow aloft will bring continued above normal temperatures in the 70s to lower 80s this afternoon. Weak surface troughing will develop along the Southern Rockies with increasing low-level winds. Strong heating will give way to daytime mixing and downward momentum of 700mb winds of 20-30 knots towards the surface, especially across western Oklahoma and adjacent portions of western north Texas. Thus, southwest winds of 10 to 20 mph with gusts up to 25 to 30 mph will be possible across the aforementioned area. Conditions will dry through the afternoon with widespread minimum relative humidity values of 20-30 percent and a few localized areas across western Oklahoma and into western north Texas of 15 to 20 percent possible. ERCs will remain in the 80-90th percentile with a continued lack of precipitation and drying fuels. Thus, elevated fire weather concerns will return this afternoon across portions of western Oklahoma with the greatest chances for initial attack fires. && .SHORT TERM... (Friday night through Sunday night) Issued at 105 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 Mild, above average temperatures in the 40s to mid 50s Friday night with light winds and mostly clear skies. Saturday will feature warmer temperatures than Friday with highs in the upper 70s to upper 80s. Westerly flow will persist aloft through the weekend as a weak surface low pushes across West Texas and into western north Texas by Saturday afternoon. Warm moist southerly flow will bring mid 50s dewpoints to southern and portions of central Oklahoma. Warm isentropic ascent, along with a weak area of surface convergence, will bring increasing rain and storm chances through the day Saturday across portions of central Oklahoma and eastward. SBCAPE values of up to 500 J/kg with bulk shear of 50-60 knots will support a strong to severe storm with hail up to the size of quarters and 60 mph winds gusts the main threats. A backdoor cold front will enter northern Oklahoma late Saturday night and stall and the boundary may become the focal point for additional shower and storm development overnight. Storms will likely remain elevated with cooler surface temperatures. However, small hail will still be possible with instability of MUCAPE up to 500-1000 J/kg lifting northward across Oklahoma. Shower chances will continue through Sunday night ahead of and along the southward advancing cold front with the greatest chances across central Oklahoma and eastward. A potential warm nose above 850mb will keep most, if any, thunderstorm chances limited and most of the moisture will be below 850mb. Temperatures will still warm quite nicely into the 70s to mid 80s ahead of the front, while temperatures will remain in the lower 60s behind the front across northern Oklahoma. && .LONG TERM... (Monday through Thursday) Issued at 105 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 "Cooler" post-frontal temperatures Monday, but highs are still expected to get above normal in the 50s to 60s. There may be a lull in precipitation Monday before chances increase again late Monday night. An upper trough will approach the Rockies Tuesday with increasing southwesterly flow aloft. Strengthening lee cyclogenesis will develop across the Texas Panhandle with a sharp dryline extending southward from the low. Low-level moisture will advect northward into Oklahoma with widespread dewpoints in the 50s to lower 60s by the afternoon and evening hours. Rain and storm chances will increase Tuesday night and severe weather cannot be ruled out. A weak cold front Wednesday will bring some post-frontal showers. By late next week, another trough will dig into the western CONUS and bring additional rain and storm chances to the forecast area. Details will continue to be refined, but severe weather remains possible. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1115 AM CST Fri Feb 27 2026 All of our terminals should remain in a VFR category through the entire forecast period. Surface winds will persist out of the south-southwest around 10 gusting to 15 kts as high pressure exits to our east. By 00Z expecting the surface winds to back south- southeast at 5-10 kts. A low-level jet will increase out of the south by 06Z and veer out of the south-southwest in time at 35 kts around 020 ft. As a result have low-level wind shear at all but two of our terminals in western OK where the jet will be weaker. By 16Z surface winds will return out of the south- southwest at 10-15 kts gusting 15-20 kts. Surface winds will have shifted out of the northwest by 17Z at terminal KWWR with a cold front approaching from Kansas. By 16Z scattered light rain may be falling across southeast Oklahoma although probabilities are too low (15-20%) at this issuance to be in the TAF for terminal KDUA. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Oklahoma City OK 79 52 79 52 / 0 10 10 30 Hobart OK 78 49 80 51 / 0 10 0 10 Wichita Falls TX 80 53 85 58 / 0 10 10 20 Gage OK 79 42 78 41 / 0 0 0 0 Ponca City OK 78 48 78 41 / 0 10 10 10 Durant OK 78 52 81 57 / 0 10 10 30 && .OUN WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OK...None. TX...None. && NEAR TERM...23 SHORT TERM...23 LONG TERM....23 AVIATION...68
The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.
1 wildfire. Local standard time, as filed.
The Doke Number Two Fire burned 2,477 acres across central Atoka County, north of Lane. This fire continued to burn into March 2026.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Oklahoma in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Oklahoma, February 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1314623.