What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Cleveland, OH wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 10, 2:57 PM EST, 3 hours 17 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- 1) Scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms continue ahead of a cold front that will push across the region Friday. 2) Hot and humid conditions ahead of the cold front with little overnight relief anticipated. Cooler weather behind a cold front Friday into the weekend.
Area forecast discussion, Jun 10, 2:57 PM EST, 3 hours 17 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
357 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes to the forecast with this update. Hot and
humid conditions will continue through tomorrow.
&&
.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Scattered chances for showers and thunderstorms continue
ahead of a cold front that will push across the region Friday.
2) Hot and humid conditions ahead of the cold front with little
overnight relief anticipated. Cooler weather behind a cold
front Friday into the weekend.
&&
.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
An upper level trough is currently over the North Central U.S.
and the western Great Lakes region. There is a small upper level
ridge over the Ohio Valley today. Our area is ahead of a cold
front that is located over the Upper Midwest and across the
Cornbelt region. Looking ahead for the rest of the afternoon and
evening, mostly dry weather conditions are expected. There could
be a few widely scattered pop-up showers or thunderstorms
through the evening hours. Our attention will be looking
westward later this evening and overnight for a decaying MCS
that may potentially move into our area. High-res forecast
guidance is somewhat uncertain on timing and coverage of this
possible complex of convection. SPC does have the entire area in
a marginal risk for severe storms and far NWOH in a slight risk.
The main severe weather hazard would be damaging wind gusts.
Again forecast confidence on timing and scope of possible
convection is somewhat uncertain.
The weather pattern for tomorrow will be similar as today. The
area will be will be on the warm side of an advancing cold front
through the Great Lakes and Midwest. Some widely scattered
convection may be possible during the daytime heating. POPs and
rain chances look higher for Thursday night into early Friday
morning as convection from the west moves across the area with
the associated cold front. Again, SPC has the area in a marginal
risk for severe storms with the main threat being damaging wind
gusts.
High pressure will build into the area later Friday and Saturday
with drier weather. Another cold front will move across the area
early Sunday with a chance for showers. An upper level trough
will develop over the Great Lakes region by next week with
scattered chances for showers.
KEY MESSAGE 2...
The heat and humidity will stick around through Thursday
evening. The current heat advisory for north central and
northwest Ohio will remain in effect through this evening. High
temperatures will reach the upper 80s and lower 90s this
afternoon. The heat index will be up to 100 degrees, especially
in the heat advisory area. Overnight low temperatures tonight
will not bring much relief in the lower to middle 70s.
Tomorrow's high temperatures will climb back into the upper 80s
and lower 90s with the heat index approaching 100 degrees again.
Additional heat advisories may be needed for north central and
northwest Ohio again Thursday. A cold front will knock the
temperatures down a little for Friday into the weekend. An upper
level trough will develop over the Great Lakes and Ohio Valley
by early next week with cooler temperatures in the 70s for
highs.
&&
.AVIATION /18Z Wednesday THROUGH Monday/...
Mainly VFR across the TAF sites this afternoon, though some
residual pockets of lower MVFR ceilings remain out east.
Anticipate ceilings to improve to at least low-end VFR at all
sites over the next couple of hours.
Attention then turns towards later this afternoon and evening
for shower and thunderstorm development, mainly along and east
of the I-71 corridor. The highest confidence in direct TAF
impacts resides at CLE/YNG/ERI and has been reflected in tempo
groups with brief and abrupt wind shifts and IFR vsbys. Lesser
confidence at CAK/MFD, so went with a brief window of vcts.
Another area of concern will be overnight along the I-75
corridor, potentially impacting TOL/FDY as a line of showers and
thunderstorms moves east into Ohio. Lesser confidence for
impacts downstream of the I-75 corridor into Thursday morning,
but will continue to monitor trends.
Winds are generally out of the southwest this afternoon, 8 to 12
knots. Winds will begin to favor a more westerly direction late
Thursday morning and afternoon, 8 to 12 knots.
Outlook...Non-VFR possible in isolated to scattered showers and
thunderstorms this evening and overnight. Non-VFR possible in a
line of showers and thunderstorms Thursday night, particularly
west of the I-71 corridor. Non- VFR may return in scattered
showers and thunderstorms Sunday afternoon, particularly along
and east of the I-71 corridor.
&&
.MARINE...
The next marine concern will be late Thursday night into Friday
as a cold front briefly ushers in west winds of around 20
knots. At the minimum, a moderate rip risk is likely early
Friday, especially across the central and eastern basin with
waves of 2 to 4 feet. A lower potential for rough marine
conditions is also possible late Saturday night into Sunday as
another cold front ushers in west to northwest winds of around
15 knots.
There will also be a few chances for strong thunderstorms
impacting the lake with gusty winds over the next several days.
The first chance for strong storms will be late this evening
and overnight, with a higher likelihood Thursday night into
Friday morning as a line of showers and storms moves east into
the area.
&&
.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Heat Advisory until 8 PM EDT this evening for OHZ003-006>011-
017>020-027>030-036-037-047.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.
&&
DISCUSSION...77
AVIATION...Kahn
MARINE...KahnHazardous weather outlook, Jun 10, 2:54 AM EST, 15 hours 20 minutes before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
OHZ009>011-019-020-028>030-036-037-047-110800-
Erie-Lorain-Cuyahoga-Huron-Medina-Crawford-Richland-Ashland-Marion-
Morrow-Knox-
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for north central Ohio and
northeast Ohio.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Heat Advisory.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather during the
afternoon and evening hours on today. The primary hazards will be
damaging wind gusts and large hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather on
Thursday and Friday. The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts
and large hail.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
OHZ012>014-021>023-031>033-038-089-110800-
Lake-Geauga-Ashtabula Inland-Summit-Portage-Trumbull-Wayne-Stark-
Mahoning-Holmes-Ashtabula Lakeshore-
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northeast Ohio.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather during the
afternoon and evening hours on today. The primary hazards will be
damaging wind gusts and large hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather on
Thursday and Friday. The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts
and large hail.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
PAZ001>003-110800-
Northern Erie-Southern Erie-Crawford-
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Pennsylvania.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather during the
afternoon and evening hours on today. The primary hazards will be
damaging wind gusts and large hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather on
Thursday and a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe weather on
Friday. The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large
hail.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
LEZ061-142>149-162>169-110800-
Ripley to Buffalo NY extending from 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Maumee Bay to Reno Beach OH-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH-The Islands to Vermilion OH-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH-Avon Point to Willowick OH-
Willowick to Geneva-on-the Lake OH-Geneva-on-the-Lake to Conneaut OH-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY-
Detroit River Lt. to Maumee Bay OH to Reno Beach OH beyond 5NM
offshoreline to US-Canadian border-
Reno Beach to The Islands OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
The Islands to Vermilion OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Vermilion to Avon Point OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
Avon Point to Willowick OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-Willowick to Geneva-on-the-
Lake OH beyond 5NM off shoreline to US-Canadian border-Geneva-on-the-
Lake to Conneaut OH beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-Canadian border-
Conneaut OH to Ripley NY beyond 5 nm off shoreline to US-
Canadian border-
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for Lake Erie.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather during the
afternoon and evening hours on today. The primary hazards will be
damaging wind gusts and large hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather on
Thursday and Friday for most of Lake Erie. There is a Slight Risk
(Level 2 of 5) for severe weather on Thursday across the western
basin. The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large
hail.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation is not expected at this time.
OHZ003-006>008-017-018-027-110800-
Lucas-Wood-Ottawa-Sandusky-Hancock-Seneca-Wyandot-
354 AM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TODAY TO 8 PM EDT THIS
EVENING...
This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for northwest Ohio.
.DAY ONE...Today and tonight.
Please listen to NOAA Weather Radio or go to weather.gov on the
Internet for more information about the following hazards.
Heat Advisory.
There is a Marginal Risk (Level 1 of 5) for severe weather during the
afternoon and evening hours on today. The primary hazards will be
damaging wind gusts and large hail.
.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through Tuesday.
There is a Slight Risk (Level 2 of 5) for severe weather on Thursday.
The primary hazards will be damaging wind gusts and large hail.
.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Spotter activation may be needed. Please relay any information about
observed severe weather to the NWS.
In the hours before
Special weather statement, Jun 10, 3:35 PM EST, 2 hours 39 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
435 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
OHZ006-008-017-018-102100-
Seneca OH-Wood OH-Hancock OH-Sandusky OH-
435 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN SENECA...
SOUTHWESTERN SANDUSKY...SOUTHEASTERN WOOD AND NORTHEASTERN HANCOCK
COUNTIES THROUGH 500 PM EDT...
At 435 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fostoria, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Fostoria, Arcadia, Risingsun, West Millgrove, Burgoon, Bascom, and
Kansas.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4111 8352 4125 8355 4132 8326 4110 8324
TIME...MOT...LOC 2035Z 265DEG 19KT 4119 8346
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
23Special weather statement, Jun 10, 4:03 PM EST, 2 hours 11 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
503 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
OHZ008-018-102130-
Seneca OH-Sandusky OH-
503 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN SENECA AND
SOUTHWESTERN SANDUSKY COUNTIES THROUGH 530 PM EDT...
At 503 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fostoria, moving east at 20 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Fremont, Fostoria, Ballville, Bettsville, Risingsun, Burgoon, Kansas,
and Stony Prairie.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4129 8341 4138 8316 4115 8310 4114 8339
4127 8343
TIME...MOT...LOC 2103Z 249DEG 16KT 4123 8333
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
23Special weather statement, Jun 10, 4:32 PM EST, 1 hour 42 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
532 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
OHZ010-102200-
Lorain OH-
532 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHWESTERN LORAIN COUNTY
THROUGH 600 PM EDT...
At 532 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Wellington, or 12 miles south of Vermilion, moving east at 15 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Wellington, Oberlin, Lagrange, Pittsfield, and Kipton.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4119 8234 4130 8234 4131 8211 4114 8213
TIME...MOT...LOC 2132Z 275DEG 14KT 4123 8229
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
23Special weather statement, Jun 10, 5:44 PM EST, 30 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
644 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
OHZ010-019-030-102315-
Huron OH-Lorain OH-Ashland OH-
644 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT SOUTHEASTERN HURON...
NORTHWESTERN ASHLAND AND SOUTHWESTERN LORAIN COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM
EDT...
At 644 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
New London, or 11 miles southeast of Norwalk, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Wellington, New London, Greenwich, and Rochester.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4104 8252 4115 8256 4124 8226 4103 8221
TIME...MOT...LOC 2244Z 256DEG 22KT 4111 8246
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
23Special weather statement, Jun 10, 5:49 PM EST, 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
649 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
OHZ009-019-102315-
Huron OH-Erie OH-
649 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHERN HURON AND ERIE COUNTIES
THROUGH 715 PM EDT...
At 649 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Norwalk, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph and pea size hail.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects. Minor hail damage to vegetation is
possible.
Locations impacted include...
Norwalk, Northern Milan, Milan, Monroeville, and Berlin Heights.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4117 8273 4128 8277 4137 8245 4120 8241
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 258DEG 23KT 4124 8265
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.25 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
23Special weather statement, Jun 10, 5:49 PM EST, 25 minutes before
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
649 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
OHZ010-011-102315-
Lorain OH-Cuyahoga OH-
649 PM EDT Wed Jun 10 2026
...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WEST CENTRAL CUYAHOGA AND
NORTHERN LORAIN COUNTIES THROUGH 715 PM EDT...
At 649 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm over
Lorain, moving east at 25 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Lorain, Elyria, Westlake, North Ridgeville, Avon Lake, Amherst, North
Olmsted, Avon, Bay Village, Sheffield Lake, and Sheffield.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.
&&
LAT...LON 4149 8195 4149 8191 4133 8195 4138 8227
4143 8227 4144 8223 4147 8218 4148 8215
4152 8199
TIME...MOT...LOC 2249Z 271DEG 21KT 4143 8218
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH
SaundersNOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1350612, 1350613, 1350610, 1350614, 1350615, 1350616, 1350617, 1350618, 1350622, 1350623, 1350611, 1350619, 1350620, 1350621, 1350625, 1350624, 1350626.