New Mexico, 2026High Wind in New Mexico, January 5, 2026
January 5, 2026 · NWS ABQ · 3 events in 3 counties and zones
A shortwave trough moved east across the northern Rockies during the day. Strong mid and upper level winds over eastern New Mexico at the base of this trough along with deep daytime mixing resulted in brief high wind gusts at Bartley, Clines Corners, and the Tucumcari Airport.
Every event with a place to put it; 3 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.
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- Deaths
- 0
- Injuries
- 0
- Property damage
- None recorded
- Crop damage
- None recorded
- Events
- 3
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
A shortwave trough moved east across the northern Rockies during the day. Strong mid and upper level winds over eastern New Mexico at the base of this trough along with deep daytime mixing resulted in brief high wind gusts at Bartley, Clines Corners, and the Tucumcari Airport. Winds tapered off during the mid evening hours as the disturbance exited east into the central United States.
What forecasters said that day
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Albuquerque, NM wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jan 5, 5:11 AM MST, 4 hours 53 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
- Updated at 444 AM MST Mon Jan 5 2026
- There is a risk of rapid fire spread today in Quay, Curry, and northern Roosevelt Counties due to strong winds, low humidity, and dry vegetation.
- Strong crosswinds up to 50-55 mph will impact north-to-south oriented roads across the central highlands and east central plains late this morning through the afternoon.
- Notably colder, windy, and unsettled conditions are forecast during mid-to-late week with lowering snow levels. Confidence is increasing (40-60%) in the development of accumulating snow and winter driving conditions across Western and Central parts of the forecast area Wednesday night through Friday morning, and northeast parts Thursday night through Friday.
Area forecast discussion, Jan 5, 5:11 AM MST, 4 hours 53 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
511 AM MST Mon Jan 5 2026
...New AVIATION...
.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 444 AM MST Mon Jan 5 2026
- There is a risk of rapid fire spread today in Quay, Curry, and
northern Roosevelt Counties due to strong winds, low humidity,
and dry vegetation.
- Strong crosswinds up to 50-55 mph will impact north-to-south
oriented roads across the central highlands and east central
plains late this morning through the afternoon.
- Notably colder, windy, and unsettled conditions are forecast
during mid-to-late week with lowering snow levels. Confidence is
increasing (40-60%) in the development of accumulating snow and
winter driving conditions across Western and Central parts of
the forecast area Wednesday night through Friday morning, and
northeast parts Thursday night through Friday.
&&
.SHORT TERM...
(Today through Tuesday)
Issued at 125 AM MST Mon Jan 5 2026
A disturbance passing eastward over CO will strengthen the flow
aloft today, while a broad trough in the lee of the southern
Rockies enhances the pressure gradient over east central NM. The
result will be strong west winds, which have probably already
started on the high peaks of the Sangre de Cristo Mountains. By
late morning, wind gusts near 50 mph are expected over the
central highlands with gusts peaking from 30-45 mph across much
of the remainder of east central and northeast NM. With this
forecast package we will continue the Wind Advisory for the Clines
Corners area. We will also join WFO Amarillo in issuing a Red
Flag Warning for our east central plains, where humidities as low
as 13 percent, temperatures as much as 22 degrees above average,
and very dry fuels will add to fire weather concerns; particularly
in Quay, Curry, and northern Roosevelt Counties. The disturbance
will probably also produce scattered to isolated and light, rain
and mountain snow showers today along the CO border from Chama
westward.
On Tuesday, a low pressure system deepening off the upper Baja
Peninsula coast will induce weak ridging over the forecast area
with lighter winds and dry weather. In the wake of a weak Pacific
front that crosses today, temperatures will trend cooler in many
locations. The cooling will be aided by high clouds that will
begin spreading over the forecast area from the storm system off
the Baja coast. Despite generally cooler readings, high
temperatures will still reach around 4-14 degrees above 1991-2020
averages.
&&
.LONG TERM...
(Tuesday night through Sunday)
Issued at 125 AM MST Mon Jan 5 2026
Models have flip flopped back to colder and wetter solutions for
the back to back weather systems forecast to impact NM late
Wednesday through Friday morning.
There are still some subtle model differences on timing, but the
low pressure system off the upper Baja coast is forecast to eject
eastward across NM's southern border late Wednesday through
Wednesday night. It will spread scattered rain and snow showers to
most of the forecast area, except for locations east of the Sangre
de Cristo mountains where it will remain dry. Precip will be
light and remain as rain east of the central mountain chain.
However, the snow level will fall near valley bottoms west of the
central mountain chain Wednesday night resulting in a mix of rain
and snow. Precip and liquid equivalent amounts central and west
should mostly vary from 0.01-0.15", but the Four Corners may
remain dry, while the southern tier of mountains accumulate up to
a 0.25". There will probably also be an inch or two of snow above
9,000' Wednesday night mainly across the southwest and south
central mountains.
The next upper level trough will dive southeastward across the
forecast area with additional rain and snow pretty much areawide
Thursday and Thursday night, then it looks increasingly likely
that showers will linger into Friday from the northern mountains
eastward as the system gradually exits eastward. The snow level
will lift near 7500 feet Thursday, then lower to valley bottoms
again with a strong Pacific cold front Thursday night. The
heaviest precipitation will be along and west of the central
mountain chain, where another 0.20" of rain and liquid equivalent
precip is forecast; except up to 0.45" in the mountains. Only
spotty wetting precip is expected east of the central mountain
chain, except potentially across northeast NM where amounts could
be greater if a closed upper level low pressure system can form
over the northern mountains as forecast by the operational run of
the ECMWF; which is currently backed by the ensemble cluster with
greatest model agreement. Under this increasingly likely
scenario, the upper low would draw a moist backdoor cold front
into northeast NM as the upper low slowly passes eastward over
northeast NM on Friday. The latest NBM now has a 20-40% chance of
over 2 inches of snow in Colfax and most of Union Counties mostly
occurring late Thursday night through Friday morning, with lighter
snow potentially lingering into Friday afternoon. Snow amounts
elsewhere Wednesday night through Friday morning look to reach a
few to several inches in the mountains, and up to an inch or so
at lower elevations along and west of the continental divide.
Breezy to windy conditions are also forecast across the
mountains, and especially across east central and southeast areas
on Thursday. Gusts could reach 50 mph along the east slopes of the
south central mountains Wednesday night and Thursday as the
upper trough approaching from the northwest steers a southwesterly
jet stream over southeast NM. Friday's backdoor cold front has
the potential to produce northeast wind gusts up to 40 mph on the
eastern plains, while northwest winds gust up to 40 mph from
Farmington to Clines Corners.
Temperature-wise, highs are forecast to bottom out on Friday a
few to around 11 degrees below 30-year averages, then trend warmer
over the weekend as a Rex block pattern develops over the western
US.
&&
.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 444 AM MST Mon Jan 5 2026
A disturbance crossing CO will produce scattered to isolated rain
and mountain snow showers near the CO border from the Tusas
Mountains westward today. Patchy MVFR conditions will continue
around Gallup and Zuni until mid-to-late morning, as well. Strong
west winds will impact the central mountain chain and east
central areas from late morning until sunset. The strongest gusts
may reach 40 KT at Santa Rosa and Tucumcari.
&&
.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 125 AM MST Mon Jan 5 2026
Model humidities fell quite a bit for today over northeast and
far east central area NM, where minimums are now expected to vary
from 10-16 percent. As mentioned previously, the wind speed
forecast has also increased. Around 2-5 hours of critical fire
weather conditions are now expected from midday through the
afternoon in Quay, Curry, and northern Roosevelt Counties, where
ERC's are forecast to vary from the 65th to 85th percentiles as
temperatures climb up to 22 degrees above average. Similarly
qualified but locally critical fire weather conditions are
forecast from Conchas to Las Vegas this afternoon.
Humidities will then remain above 15 percent for the remainder of
the week, except for localized minimums around 14 percent over
far northeast areas Tuesday and Wednesday. Humidities should vary
around 25-40 percent over east central areas during the potential
wind event on Thursday, but high temperatures as much as 10
degrees above average are forecast to linger then.
Vent rates will improve across all but the middle Rio Grande
Valley and from Chama to Farmington today. Poor ventilation will
increase in coverage Tuesday and Wednesday, then there should be
some improvement with the stronger winds Thursday and Friday.
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington...................... 51 28 50 27 / 10 0 0 0
Dulce........................... 47 19 49 19 / 40 5 0 0
Cuba............................ 48 23 49 25 / 5 0 0 0
Gallup.......................... 48 18 50 20 / 0 0 0 0
El Morro........................ 46 24 49 27 / 0 0 0 0
Grants.......................... 52 18 53 21 / 0 0 0 0
Quemado......................... 51 22 52 25 / 0 0 0 0
Magdalena....................... 55 31 54 33 / 0 0 0 0
Datil........................... 51 25 52 28 / 0 0 0 0
Reserve......................... 58 20 59 24 / 0 0 0 0
Glenwood........................ 61 24 63 27 / 0 0 0 0
Chama........................... 40 20 42 19 / 20 5 0 0
Los Alamos...................... 47 28 47 29 / 0 0 0 0
Pecos........................... 50 27 53 28 / 0 0 0 0
Cerro/Questa.................... 46 24 47 27 / 0 0 0 0
Red River....................... 38 21 39 23 / 0 0 0 0
Angel Fire...................... 43 15 45 18 / 0 0 0 0
Taos............................ 50 20 50 20 / 0 0 0 0
Mora............................ 53 25 54 28 / 0 0 0 0
Espanola........................ 55 22 54 23 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe........................ 49 30 49 30 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Fe Airport................ 52 27 50 26 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Foothills........... 53 35 52 35 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Heights............. 56 31 54 32 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque Valley.............. 58 28 56 30 / 0 0 0 0
Albuquerque West Mesa........... 56 30 54 32 / 0 0 0 0
Belen........................... 58 24 55 25 / 0 0 0 0
Bernalillo...................... 57 30 55 30 / 0 0 0 0
Bosque Farms.................... 58 24 55 25 / 0 0 0 0
Corrales........................ 58 29 56 30 / 0 0 0 0
Los Lunas....................... 58 25 55 27 / 0 0 0 0
Placitas........................ 53 33 51 33 / 0 0 0 0
Rio Rancho...................... 56 30 55 31 / 0 0 0 0
Socorro......................... 61 30 58 32 / 0 0 0 0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest......... 48 29 49 30 / 0 0 0 0
Tijeras......................... 50 30 50 31 / 0 0 0 0
Edgewood........................ 51 27 52 28 / 0 0 0 0
Moriarty/Estancia............... 54 21 54 22 / 0 0 0 0
Clines Corners.................. 51 27 50 28 / 0 0 0 0
Mountainair..................... 53 27 52 30 / 0 0 0 0
Gran Quivira.................... 54 28 54 30 / 0 0 0 0
Carrizozo....................... 59 32 58 35 / 0 0 0 0
Ruidoso......................... 56 34 55 37 / 0 0 0 0
Capulin......................... 57 24 54 27 / 0 0 0 0
Raton........................... 59 21 56 24 / 0 0 0 0
Springer........................ 60 21 59 23 / 0 0 0 0
Las Vegas....................... 58 25 57 28 / 0 0 0 0
Clayton......................... 67 33 60 36 / 0 0 0 0
Roy............................. 64 27 58 30 / 0 0 0 0
Conchas......................... 70 28 64 32 / 0 0 0 0
Santa Rosa...................... 62 33 62 36 / 0 0 0 0
Tucumcari....................... 73 32 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
Clovis.......................... 69 36 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
Portales........................ 71 35 66 35 / 0 0 0 0
Fort Sumner..................... 69 33 65 33 / 0 0 0 0
Roswell......................... 72 34 67 33 / 0 0 0 0
Picacho......................... 70 35 66 36 / 0 0 0 0
Elk............................. 68 31 67 34 / 0 0 0 0
&&
.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Wind Advisory from 10 AM this morning to 5 PM MST this afternoon
for NMZ223.
Red Flag Warning from 11 AM this morning to 5 PM MST this
afternoon for NMZ126.
&&
SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...44
High Wind, East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains
- When
- January 5, 10:04 AM MST to 10:05 AM MST
- Where
- East Slopes Sangre de Cristo Mountains forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- RAWS
- Coordinates
- 36.032, -104.803 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Bartley RAWS measured a brief high wind gust of 58 mph.
High Wind, Central Highlands
- When
- January 5, 12:02 PM MST to 12:03 PM MST
- Where
- Central Highlands forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.209, -105.548 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Clines Corners ASOS measured a brief high wind gust of 58 mph.
High Wind, Quay County
- When
- January 5, 1:23 PM MST to 1:24 PM MST
- Where
- Quay County forecast zone
- Measured
- 50 kt (58 mph) measured gust
- Reported by
- ASOS
- Coordinates
- 35.104, -103.550 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)
The Tucumcari Municipal Airport ASOS measured a brief high wind gust of 58 mph.
- High Wind
- Sustained non-thunderstorm winds of 40 mph or more for an hour, or gusts of 58 mph or more.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
- Winter Weather in Minnesota, January 5 to 6, 202617 events
- Storm Surge and Blizzard in Alaska, January 5 to 7, 20269 events
- Winter Weather in Wisconsin, January 5 to 6, 20266 events
- Winter Weather in Colorado, January 5 to 6, 20263 events
- High Wind in Wyoming, January 5, 202652 kt wind · 3 events
- Flood in Hawaii, January 5, 20261 event
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1299165, 1299121, 1299122.