Damaging Wind in Nebraska, June 1, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service North Platte NE
654 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Moderate to high confidence in severe thunderstorms this afternoon
and evening with damaging winds and heavy rainfall being the main
threats.

- Moderate confidence in a continued near-daily severe thunderstorm
potential Tuesday through Thursday.

- High confidence in mild temperatures through the weekend.

&&

.SHORT TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/...
Issued at 318 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Another round of convection is possible late this afternoon and
evening as a shortwave pushes into the region and a surface low to
develop across eastern Colorado and into the Nebraska/Kansas border.
Convection to begin just to the west of our forecast area by late
afternoon and gradually move eastward through the evening. While
storms my initially be more discrete, by the time they move into
Nebraska, expecting them to be more linear in nature, perhaps even
having some bowing segments. This will indicate the main threats in
Nebraska to be mainly damaging winds as well as heavy rainfall with
some smaller hail also possible. While widespread flooding is not
expected, a heavier shower may result in some minor rises in low
lying areas and small streams, especially those that may have
received rainfall over an inch over the past weekend. There is also
some indication of some stronger winds with gusts up to 70 mph
behind the main precip shield, similar to last weekend. This will
pose an additional wind threat even after the main gusts and hazards
with the storm have passed. Greatest indication for this feature
will generally be north of Highway 92 and west of Highway 97, but
the exact locations are still uncertain. As storms encounter more
stable air to the east they will begin to dissipate and eventually
push east of the region after 06Z. Some lingering showers or
embedded thunderstorms may continue through sunrise Tuesday morning,
but the overall severe potential will be minimal.

&&

.LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/...
Issued at 318 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Heading into the extended period, the active weather pattern will
continue as a series of shortwaves and associated fronts continue to
track through Nebraska creating near-daily rain and thunderstorm
chances through the end of the week.

For Tuesday, a weak front will combine with ample instability (CAPE
up to 1500 J/kg, lapse rates of 6 to 7 C/km) to provide a favorable
environment across portions of northwest Nebraska for severe storms.
Primary threats with these storms will be large hail, however, some
gusty winds may be possible as storms begin to propagate eastward by
mid to late evening. Storms will begin to push out of the region
from west to east by late evening. Some lingering, sub-severe storms
may continue across the eastern half of the forecast area through
dawn on Wednesday morning.

For Wednesday, a nearly carbon copy of Tuesday is expected as the
front, and therefore severe threat, moves slightly east. Overall,
the severe threat appears to be less than the past few days, but
decent instability (steep low level lapse rates, moderate CAPE, and
some wind shear) will still exist across north central Nebraska.
Some isolated to scattered storms will develop along this region
with the potential of some strong wind gusts as well as some hail.

Thursday brings another potential for severe storms as another
shortwave pushes into the region. Significant instability across the
region will provide enough support for convective initiation across
much of the eastern Panhandle and Sandhills by the late afternoon.
While details for this system are still a little uncertain, the
current guidance will promote the potential for supercells producing
very large hail and damaging winds. Further details on this system
will be provided in the upcoming days.

Temperatures through the weekend remain above normal as continued
warm air advection pushes into the central Plains. Highs will remain
in the 80s with lows in the 50s through Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 640 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

Numerous thunderstorms will move eastward across the area
tonight. Mainly VFR is expected but localized MVFR will be
possible in heavier showers. Locally gusty and variable winds
can be expected near any storms.

&&

.LBF WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

SHORT TERM...RK
LONG TERM...RK
AVIATION...Taylor

Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service North Platte NE
243 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026

NEZ004>010-022>029-035>038-056>059-069>071-094-021945-
Sheridan-Eastern Cherry-Keya Paha-Boyd-Brown-Rock-Holt-Garden-Grant-
Hooker-Thomas-Blaine-Loup-Garfield-Wheeler-Arthur-McPherson-Logan-
Custer-Deuel-Keith-Perkins-Lincoln-Chase-Hayes-Frontier-
Western Cherry-
243 PM CDT Mon Jun 1 2026 /143 PM MDT Mon Jun 1 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of western and north
central Nebraska.

.DAY ONE...Tonight.

Strong to severe thunderstorms are possible late this afternoon and
evening. The greater concern is across the southern Panhandle and
southwest Nebraska with damaging winds and heavy rainfall being the
main threats. Some hail is also possible early evening.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday.

Daily chances for showers and thunderstorms are possible Tuesday
through Thursday. Storms may be severe, especially during the
evening hours, with large hail and damaging winds being the main
threats. Locally heavy rain is also possible.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.