Missouri, 2026

Drought in Missouri, April 14 to 30, 2026

April 14 to 30, 2026 · NWS PAH · 4 events in 4 counties and zones

A record dry winter in Southeast Missouri led to dry conditions heading into April from Bollinger to Mississippi Counties. A very warm April, with temperatures running 7-8 degrees F above normal, and especially a soil moisture ranking near the 1st percentile, resulted in intensification of drought through April.

Where it happened

Every event with a place to put it; 4 filed by county or forecast zone are drawn at its center, in a lighter ring. Tap one for its entry below.

  • Tornadoes
  • Tropical storms and surge
  • Floods
  • Wind
  • Hail
  • Winter weather
  • Heat and drought
  • Cold
  • Fire, smoke and dust
  • Marine and coastal
  • Other

Open the live radar over this ground

The toll

Deaths
0
Injuries
0
Property damage
None recorded
Crop damage
None recorded
Events
4

Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.

What happened

The episode as NWS PAH wrote it up.

A record dry winter in Southeast Missouri led to dry conditions heading into April from Bollinger to Mississippi Counties. A very warm April, with temperatures running 7-8 degrees F above normal, and especially a soil moisture ranking near the 1st percentile, resulted in intensification of drought through April. Severe (D2) drought developed mid-month along that corridor, diminished some with heavy rain the following week, then expanded for the end of April with drought continuing into May. Agricultural impacts primarily took the form of earlier than normal planting and very low farm pond levels. Subsoil and topsoil conditions remained quite poor.

What forecasters said that day

The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.

NWS Paducah, KY wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Apr 14, 4:26 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes earlier. Its key messages:

  • Temperatures will approach or exceed records today and Wednesday and again on Friday. Both record high temperatures and record warm minimum temperatures are expected.
  • Widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely (70-100%) Thursday morning and afternoon. Beneficial rainfall amounts of 0.50 to 1.0 inches are forecast.
  • A cold front will bring another good chance (50-70%) of showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. Rainfall amounts will be around 0.10 to 0.25 of an inch, with locally higher amounts possible.
  • Temperatures will cool back to typical mid-April values Sunday and Monday.
Area forecast discussion, Apr 14, 4:26 AM CST, 1 hour 34 minutes before
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Paducah KY
526 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...

- Temperatures will approach or exceed records today and
  Wednesday and again on Friday. Both record high temperatures
  and record warm minimum temperatures are expected.

- Widespread showers and thunderstorms are likely (70-100%)
  Thursday morning and afternoon. Beneficial rainfall amounts of
  0.50 to 1.0 inches are forecast.

- A cold front will bring another good chance (50-70%) of
  showers and thunderstorms on Saturday. Rainfall amounts will
  be around 0.10 to 0.25 of an inch, with locally higher amounts
  possible.

- Temperatures will cool back to typical mid-April values Sunday
  and Monday.

&&

.UPDATE...
Issued at 525 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Updated Aviation discussion for the 12z TAF issuance.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1257 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Stout H5 ridging over the southeast CONUS will keep the region
very warm and mainly dry today into most of Wednesday. Cannot
rule out a stray shower the far west and northwest parts of the
forecast area. As temperatures at 850mb rise to 17-19C (around
the 99th percentile), high temperatures today and Wednesday
will climb into the middle to upper 80s, with overnight low
temperatures only in the upper 60s to lower 70s. Both record
high temperatures and record warm minimum temperatures are
probable.

Wednesday night into Thursday, numerous showers and
thunderstorms will develop to our north and west ahead of an
approaching frontal boundary. While the cold front will not
quite make it into the area, the latest model guidance is
indicating that an inverted trough will pass over the region
Thursday, which will act to sustain the precipitation. As a
result, rainfall totals have increased a bit from yesterday, now
roughly 0.5-1.0" by Thursday evening. The timing and messy storm
modes do not appear to be favorable for severe thunderstorms at
this time.

Friday will be see another day of near record warmth as the
ridging briefly expands over the region. High temperatures will
again reach the middle to upper 80s, and a few locations may
reach 90 degrees. The ridge will begin to break down more
significantly Saturday into next week, as troughing over the
Upper Midwest dips southward into the area. A surface cold front
will pass through the area Saturday afternoon and evening,
bringing another good chance of showers and thunderstorms (too
early to tell if this would pose a severe risk) and more
beneficial light to moderate rain. Drier and seasonably mild
conditions are forecast Sunday into early next week.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z TAFS THROUGH 12Z WEDNESDAY/...
Issued at 525 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Breezy S to SW winds will continue through the forecast period.
The strongest winds will be between roughly 14-01z, when they
will be sustained at 12-16 kts with gusts of 20-25 kts before
relaxing tonight. Sky cover will be a mix of mid-level bases
between 2500 and 5000ft (with cigs remaining VFR)this morning
and afternoon and high cirrus tonight.

&&

.CLIMATE...
Issued at 1257 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

Record high temperatures for today and Wednesday:
PAH: 87 (2006) | 88 (1977)
EVV: 86 (2010) | 86 (2024)
CGI: 86 (1992) | 87 (1992)
POF: 89 (1929) | 88 (1936)
MDH: 85 (2010) | 87 (2024)

&&

.PAH WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
IL...None.
MO...None.
IN...None.
KY...None.

&&

UPDATE...DWS
DISCUSSION...DWS
AVIATION...DWS
CLIMATE...DWS
Hazardous weather outlook, Apr 14, 1:59 AM CST, 4 hours 1 minute before
Hazardous Weather Outlook
National Weather Service Paducah KY
259 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026

ILZ075>078-080>094-INZ081-082-085>088-KYZ001>022-MOZ076-086-087-100-
107>112-114-150800-
Jefferson-Wayne IL-Edwards-Wabash-Perry IL-Franklin-Hamilton-White-
Jackson-Williamson-Saline-Gallatin-Union-Johnson-Pope-Hardin-
Alexander-Pulaski-Massac-Gibson-Pike-Posey-Vanderburgh-Warrick-
Spencer-Fulton-Hickman-Carlisle-Ballard-McCracken-Graves-Livingston-
Marshall-Calloway-Crittenden-Lyon-Trigg-Caldwell-Union KY-Webster-
Hopkins-Christian-Henderson-Daviess-McLean-Muhlenberg-Todd-Perry MO-
Bollinger-Cape Girardeau-Wayne MO-Carter-Ripley-Butler-Stoddard-
Scott-Mississippi-New Madrid-
259 AM CDT Tue Apr 14 2026 /359 AM EDT Tue Apr 14 2026/

This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for southern Illinois, southwest
Indiana, western Kentucky and southeast Missouri.

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight.

The probability for widespread hazardous weather is low.

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday.

Chances for widespread showers and thunderstorms return to the
forecast late Wednesday night into Thursday morning and again
Saturday afternoon and evening.

An isolated strong or severe thunderstorm is possible Thursday, but
confidence is low at this time.

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not expected at this time.

DWS

The radar

The national radar mosaic for the moment the first event began.

Open the radar archive at this moment

Event by event

4 drought. Local standard time, as filed.

Drought, Bollinger

When
April 14, 6:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Bollinger forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
37.322, -90.026 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Cape Girardeau

When
April 14, 6:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Cape Girardeau forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
37.384, -89.684 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Scott

When
April 14, 6:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Scott forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
37.053, -89.568 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

Drought, Mississippi

When
April 14, 6:00 AM CST to April 30, 11:59 PM CST
Where
Mississippi forecast zone
Reported by
Drought Monitor
Coordinates
36.828, -89.291 (the zone’s center; the record gives no point)

What these are

Drought
A drought reaching severe (D2) or worse on the US Drought Monitor, or with notable impacts.

After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.

The same day elsewhere

More

Every storm in Missouri in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Missouri, April 2026

Sources

NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1330854, 1330855, 1330856, 1330857.