Hail, Pope
- When
- June 23, 3:10 PM CST to 3:16 PM CST
- Where
- Pope County, 4.84 mi SE of Cyrus
- Measured
- 1.75 in hail
- Reported by
- Trained Spotter
- Coordinates
- 45.570, -95.680
A weak low-pressure center over northwest North Dakota progressed southeast into Minnesota on June 23rd. Increased moisture advection ahead of a surface cold front would aid in the development of thunderstorms across the southern half of Minnesota by late morning.
Every event with a place to put it. Tap one for its entry below.
Deaths and injuries are direct and indirect together, as the offices filed them. Damage is property and crops in the dollars of the year, not adjusted for inflation, and only where an office estimated it.
The episode as NWS MPX wrote it up.
A weak low-pressure center over northwest North Dakota progressed southeast into Minnesota on June 23rd. Increased moisture advection ahead of a surface cold front would aid in the development of thunderstorms across the southern half of Minnesota by late morning. Mixed layer instability combined with sufficient wind shear did manage to support a few cells to produce large hail. Hail stones mainly ranged between quarter to golf ball size. The largest hailstone measured was 2.5 inches 6 miles NNW of Cosmos (Meeker County). Farther to the southeast in Rice County, a brief funnel cloud developed between Faribault and Kenyon but was never reported as reaching the ground.
The local office's own words before the first event, as it sent them, from the Iowa Environmental Mesonet's archive of National Weather Service text.
NWS Twin Cities, MN wrote its last area forecast discussion before the first event at Jun 23, 12:35 PM CST, 2 hours 35 minutes earlier. Its key messages:
Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 135 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026 .KEY MESSAGES... - Coverage of showers and thunderstorms will increase this afternoon and evening. A few storms may be strong to severe. - Additional showers and thunderstorms are possible across central MN and western WI Wednesday. - Comfortable temperatures stick around through the end of the week. A pattern change will bring hot and humid conditions with daily storm chances heading into next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 135 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026 Early afternoon regional radar captures a batch of showers and thunderstorms progressing east across central MN. This activity developed on the nose of the LLJ within a region of warm advection ahead of a surface low positioned near the intersection of northeast ND/northwest MN/southern Manitoba. Aloft, an upper-low near the International Border is supported by a channel of 40-50kt flow across the Dakotas. A few of the cells within the initial round of storms have exhibited broad rotation and some stronger cores as they remain on the line of the of marginal CAPE/shear axis, which will remain possible in the near term. HREF's 12z CAM paintball ensemble captures the ongoing showers/storms pretty well and shows this activity moving ESE and expanding southward with time. RAP mesoanalysis shows that the environment is becoming more favorable for a few strong to severe storms in the wake of the initial batch of showers/ahead of a cold front across the eastern Dakotas/and northwestern MN. This region is characterized by pooling of increasing surface moisture (low 60s dew points) supportive of CAPEs on the order of 1000-1500 J/kg. The influence of the upper-low to the northwest and effective shear on the order of 30-40kts with at some low-level curvature in the hodographs will be supportive of an isolated tornado threat with any convection that develops within this region this afternoon. SPC had added a narrow Slight Risk (driven by 5% tornado probs) east of the Red River Valley south into portions of central MN to cover this potential. See MD #1274 for additional details on this threat. Outside of this zone, the going Day 1 Marginal Risk remains in place along and west of a line from Mille Lacs to Martin counties. Any storms that develop within this region will be capable of an isolated instance of large hail (1"+) and damaging wind (60+ mph). Latest QPF expectations include 0.5-0.75" of rainfall potential with today's convection, which is supported by 1.2-1.3" PWATs. All of this to say, coverage of showers and thunderstorms will increase over the entire forecast area later today, but the best chance for strong to severe storms remains across the western half of the forecast area. The core of the upper-low is progged to move east across northern MN tomorrow, which will place our forecast area in a post-frontal northwesterly cyclonic flow regime. Shower and thunderstorm chances return along and north of I-94 tomorrow afternoon and evening, with the highest PoPs located in western WI. Speaking of which, we won't rule out a stronger storm or two across our western WI counties tomorrow, but potential increases the farther into central WI tomorrow afternoon. Mainly dry and tranquil weather returns for Thursday, Friday, and most of Saturday. Temperatures are forecast to warm a few degrees each day, with highs back in the low to mid 80s by Saturday afternoon. A change to the pattern will begin to take shape later Saturday, as the eastward translation of a trough over the western CONUS sends a warm front northward into the Upper Midwest. This will more than likely support a round of showers and thunderstorms across the region late Saturday into Sunday morning. Good ensemble support exists for a jetstreak to round the base of the trough Sunday and promote the maturation and occlusion of an upper-low over south central Canada by Monday afternoon. The Upper Midwest will be positioned east of the developing feature, within a region of southwesterly flow and very warm mid-level temperatures captured by an EML on forecast soundings. The position of the aforementioned warm front will be something to watch, but current expectations support it lifting north of the forecast area allowing for highs to climb into the upper 80s/lower 90s Sunday & Monday. As referenced by the previous discussion, the very warm mid-level temperatures will act as a cap on the atmosphere which casts doubt in convective evolution Sunday into Monday. However, the approach of the upper forcing and weakening of said cap bears watching for deeper, potentially severe convection Monday afternoon and evening as is highlighted by various machine learning tools. Looking farther ahead, ensembles take a much more Summer look by depicting a 590s dm ridge building over the central CONUS for the middle to end of next week. At the very least, this will support a more prolonged period of heat and humidity heading into July. Dangerous heat and active stormy weather, supported by the first appearance of the classic ring-of-fire pattern, are both possible over the coming weeks. Stay tuned! && .AVIATION /18Z TAFS THROUGH 00Z THURSDAY/... Issued at 1248 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026 Showers and thunderstorms currently over west-central MN are expected to expand in coverage as they shift eastward through the rest of this afternoon-evening. Generally conditions will drop to MVFR as the main swath of rain with embedded thunderstorms cross any given terminal, though there is a greater chance of IFR conditions during and after the precipitation in far eastern MN into western WI this evening into the early morning hours. Low stratus will linger through daybreak then partial clearing will develop from late Wednesday morning on through much of the day Wednesday. There is a small chance of some isolated-scattered -SHRA in eastern MN into western WI Wednesday afternoon. However, chances are too low and coverage too sparse to include at this point. Winds may be breezy/gusty with the passage of any storms, but otherwise generally S with speeds around 10kts, potentially gusts to around 20kts. Winds then drop to near 5 kts overnight while veering to SW then pick up to near 10kts Wednesday from the W to WNW. KMSP...VFR to start then increasing chances of SHRA/TSRA late this afternoon, mainly in the 21z-00z timeframe. Conditions likely to drop to MVFR with the TSRA, possibly some brief IFR periods should heavy downpours occur. Low stratus is then expected to develop late this evening through the overnight hours behind the precip, including through the Wednesday morning push, then partial clearing for much of the daytime hours tomorrow. A few light rain showers are possible mid-to-late Wednesday afternoon but chances are too low to include at this point. /OUTLOOK FOR KMSP/ THU...VFR. Wind NW 5-10 kts becoming NE. FRI...VFR. Wind SE 5-10 kts. SAT...VFR. Wind SE 10-15kts gusting to 25kts. && .MPX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MN...None. WI...None. && DISCUSSION...Strus AVIATION...JPC
Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN 1147 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026 MNZ052-053-060>063-069-070-076>078-083>085-091>093-WIZ014>016- 023>028-241700- Isanti-Chisago-Hennepin-Anoka-Ramsey-Washington-Scott-Dakota- Le Sueur-Rice-Goodhue-Blue Earth-Waseca-Steele-Martin-Faribault- Freeborn-Polk-Barron-Rusk-St. Croix-Pierce-Dunn-Pepin-Chippewa- Eau Claire- 1147 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of east central Minnesota...south central Minnesota...southeast Minnesota... northwest Wisconsin and west central Wisconsin. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening, with primary hazards of lightning and occasionally heavy rainfall. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorm chances increase again Saturday night and Monday. Some severe thunderstorms are possible. Heat and humidity will increase beginning Sunday and will continue into next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed. MNZ041>045-047>051-054>059-064>068-073>075-082-241700- Douglas-Todd-Morrison-Mille Lacs-Kanabec-Stevens-Pope-Stearns- Benton-Sherburne-Lac Qui Parle-Swift-Chippewa-Kandiyohi-Meeker- Wright-Yellow Medicine-Renville-McLeod-Sibley-Carver-Redwood- Brown-Nicollet-Watonwan- 1147 AM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for portions of central Minnesota...east central Minnesota...south central Minnesota... southwest Minnesota and west central Minnesota. .DAY ONE...This Afternoon and Tonight. Thunderstorms are likely this afternoon and evening. A few storms may approach severe limits with large hail and damaging winds. A few weak and brief spin-ups are possible with any of the more organized storms that develop as well. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday. Thunderstorm chances increase again Saturday night and Monday. Some severe thunderstorms are possible. Heat and humidity will increase beginning Sunday and will continent next week. .SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT... SKYWARN spotter activation may be needed. BED
Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
302 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
MNZ060-061-068-232045-
Anoka MN-Hennepin MN-Carver MN-
302 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT SOUTH CENTRAL ANOKA...
HENNEPIN AND CARVER COUNTIES UNTIL 345 PM CDT...
At 302 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from over Corcoran to near Norwood Young
America, or extending from 16 miles east of Buffalo to 22 miles east
of Hutchinson, moving southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Maple Grove, Plymouth, Chaska, Champlin, Minnetonka, Eden Prairie,
Brooklyn Park, St. Louis Park, Edina, Brooklyn Center, Bloomington,
Minneapolis, Fridley and Richfield.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 4497 9375 4515 9367 4517 9364 4521 9364
4522 9357 4512 9323 4491 9320 4489 9318
4481 9325 4479 9336 4481 9344 4479 9358
4476 9362 4475 9361 4472 9363 4471 9362
4465 9373 4476 9401 4491 9401
TIME...MOT...LOC 2001Z 295DEG 26KT 4511 9354 4490 9364 4483 9393
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MPGPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
333 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0320 PM Hail 1 WSW Victoria 44.86N 93.68W
06/23/2026 M0.25 Inch Carver MN Public
mPing report.
&&
JMSPreliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
334 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON...
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
..REMARKS..
0327 PM Hail 1 NW Chaska 44.80N 93.62W
06/23/2026 E0.50 Inch Carver MN Public
Report from mPING: Half-inch (0.50 in.).
&&Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Twin Cities/Chanhassen MN
338 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
MNZ062-063-069-070-232100-
Washington MN-Ramsey MN-Dakota MN-Scott MN-
338 PM CDT Tue Jun 23 2026
...A LINE OF STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WASHINGTON...RAMSEY...
DAKOTA AND NORTHEASTERN SCOTT COUNTIES UNTIL 4 PM CDT...
At 338 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a line of strong
thunderstorms extending from over Mounds View to near Carver, or
extending from 10 miles north of Minneapolis to 23 miles southwest of
Minneapolis, moving southeast at 30 mph.
HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.
SOURCE...Radar indicated.
IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
unsecured objects.
Locations impacted include...
Shakopee, Savage, Roseville, St. Paul, Shoreview, Burnsville,
Eagan, Maplewood, Apple Valley, Lakeville, White Bear Lake, Inver
Grove Heights, Oakdale, Woodbury and Cottage Grove.
PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.
Torrential rainfall is also occurring with these storms and may lead
to flash flooding. Do not drive your vehicle through flooded
roadways.
&&
LAT...LON 4483 9322 4489 9318 4491 9320 4512 9323
4511 9274 4506 9280 4503 9276 4498 9277
4494 9275 4490 9277 4484 9277 4473 9281
4455 9314 4473 9363 4478 9360 4480 9354
4481 9344 4479 9333
TIME...MOT...LOC 2038Z 292DEG 25KT 4511 9321 4487 9330 4472 9358
MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH
MPGThe Minneapolis radar (KMPX), 184 km away, was scanning. The volume nearest the first event began at 21:10 UTC.
9 hail, 1 funnel cloud. Local standard time, as filed.
Quarter and dime sized hail lasted for a couple of minutes which accumulated into small piles on the shoulder of a road.
A storm spotter located on the Kandiyohi/Meeker County line measured half-dollar (1.25 inches) to golf ball size (1.75 inches) hail 2 miles SW of Rosendale.
Photo measurement of spikey 2-inch diameter hail 2 miles east of Cosmos.
Trained spotter submitted a brief video of a funnel cloud that developed 3 miles SE of Cannon City and tracked ESE towards Kenyon and crossing over MN-60 before dissipating.
After NWS Directive 10-1605, the rules offices file Storm Data by.
Every storm in Minnesota in 2026Every state in 2026This day in weather historyWarnings in Minnesota, June 2026
NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, Storm Events Database, compiled from the National Weather Service’s monthly Storm Data. Complete through 2026-06; NCEI adds each month about 75 days after it ends and revises past years a few times a year. Rebuilt 2026-09-24. Each event’s entry at NCEI: 1354296, 1354303, 1354334, 1354301, 1354315, 1354316, 1354325, 1354365, 1354330, 1354375.