Damaging Winds in Georgia, June 13 to 14, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
232 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, MARINE, FIRE WEATHER, HYDROLOGY...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

- A Heat Advisory remains in effect for much of the Florida
  Panhandle and Big Bend as well as far Southern Georgia for heat
  indices near or above 108 degrees until early this evening.

- Record to near record warm low temperatures will not provide
  much overnight relief from the daytime heat this weekend.

- A High Risk of rip currents is forecast through the weekend. It
  is strongly discouraged to enter the surf on high risk days.
  Please heed the beach flags and advice of local officials.

- Rain chances will be on the increase through the weekend and
  into early next week. The potential for heavy rainfall increases
  after Monday, especially in Southeast Alabama and Southwest
  Georgia.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This Evening through Sunday) Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Jun 13
2026

Hot daytime highs, record to near-record warm low temperatures,
and isolated-scattered afternoon thunderstorms define the short-
term period. The 12Z Upper-air analysis shows a strong upper
anticyclone centered over SE TX with 590-591-dm 500-mb heights
overhead. The latter is around or slightly higher than the daily
90th percentile, per KTLH sounding climatology. This pattern
supports hazardous heat, little overnight relief, and another hot
day tomorrow. A Heat Advisory is set to expire early this evening
for the southern half of the Tri-State area.

The robust ridge is located sufficiently west to prevent
convective suppression this weekend. The main forcing mechanisms
for thunderstorms are the seabreeze, weak pre-frontal surface
trough from the north, and subsequent outflow boundary collisions.
Light steering flow from the west to WNW prompts slow eastward
storm motions. An unstable airmass amidst precipitable water
values of 1.7+ inches and some dry air aloft will make convection
capable of strong-gusty winds and locally heavy downpours,
especially in the East FL Big Bend. Isolated to scattered showers
and thunderstorms should gradually diminish after sunset. Another
round of storms is anticipated Sunday afternoon, and coverage
looks higher as the ridge shifts off more to the west. Brief pulse
severe downbursts are a possibility.

Low temperatures are forecast to range from the mid to upper 70s,
which are near record warm territory for Tallahassee, Albany, and
Apalachicola. Highs surge to the mid 90s away from the immediate
coast thereafter with peak heat indices exceeding 100 degrees
nearly areawide. However, current values are below our minimum
advisory criteria of 108 degrees. Such conditions makes the beach
inviting, but please be cognizant of the rip current risks.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Sunday night through next Friday) Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Jun
13 2026

The main story for much of the upcoming work week is an
increasingly wetter pattern thanks to the base of large upper
trough cascading into the Deep South. This feature sags an east-
west oriented frontal boundary southward. Adding a series of
impulses rippling along the mean flow aloft amidst a very moist
airmass yields high rain chances.

The anticipated wet weather should tackle our ongoing drought
situation while also posing a localized flooding risk. The latter
applies more west of the ACF basin where much more rain was
observed last month. Monday and Tuesday appear to be the wettest
days of the long-term period as a slug of tropical moisture lifts
north from the Bay of Campeche into the Lower MS Valley and
interacts with the aforementioned front.

The increased cloud cover and rainfall potential will keep high
temperatures "in check", especially Tuesday-Wednesday when
widespread 80s are forecast. However, we cannot escape the
mugginess. Low temperatures are expected to remain in the sultry
70s each night.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS) Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

VFR conditions prevail across the terminals thus far. Isolated
-SHRA starting to pop up mainly near KABY, KVLD and east of KDHN
 this aftn, though a -SHRA could pop up just about anywhere.
 Therefore elected to insert a VCSH at the majority of the
 terminals, with higher confidence of a direct impact at KTLH and
 KVLD possibly in the form of -TSRA. Will of course amend as
 necessary. Otherwise, northwest winds will back to the southwest
 tonight with speeds of around 5-8 kts throughout the night.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

Gentle to moderate west to southwest breezes prevail the next few
days with surface high pressure anchored across the Central Gulf.
Daily afternoon seabreezes slightly enhance the onshore flow
across the nearshore legs and bay waters. The highest forecast
rain chances are currently Tuesday and Wednesday when a frontal
boundary sags into the Deep South. Maritime convection will pose a
gusty wind, frequent lightning, a waterspout threat. Winds turn
more southerly mid to late week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

The main fire concerns the next couple days are hot daytime
temperatures, high afternoon (Sunday-Monday) dispersions, and
isolated to scattered showers/thunderstorms. The latter will pose
lightning and gusty-erratic wind hazards. An increasingly wetter
pattern takes shape early this upcoming work week when a stagnant
front sags south. High rain chances are forecast with wetting
rains on the table. West to SW winds prevail in addition to daily
afternoon seabreezes.

&&

.HYDROLOGY...
Issued at 229 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

No significant flash or riverine flooding is expected through the
weekend. However, locally heavy downpours are expected within any
showers and storms that develop.

For early next week, a marginal to slight to risk of flash
flooding is a concern for Monday and Tuesday, mainly across the
western half of the area. A slow moving frontal boundary coupled
with high preciptable water values is expected to result in
multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms with locally heavy
rain. The western portions of the forecast area have already been
especially wet from rainfall in May and are much more vulnerable
to flash flooding than the eastern portions of the forecast area.

In the meantime, it's been a very dry start to June. The
Tallahassee area is currently tied for the 5th driest start to
June on record with only 0.02 inches of rain so far at the airport
through the first 12 days of the month. Severe to exceptional
drought continues for areas generally east of the Apalachicola and
Flint Rivers as these areas missed out on the most beneficial
recent rains. The drought features long term impacts that are
affecting rivers, lakes, and ponds that are still below normal
despite recent rains.

For more information on local drought impacts, please visit
www.weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement.

For more local drought information & statements, visit the
following websites:
weather.gov/tae/LocalDrought
weather.gov/tae/DroughtInformationStatement

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...

Spotter activation is not requested. However, spotters are always
encouraged to safely report significant weather conditions when they
occur by calling the office or tweeting us @NWSTallahassee.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Tallahassee   77  94  75  93 /  10  70  20  80
Panama City   78  87  80  89 /   0  20  10  20
Dothan        75  96  76  88 /  10  40  10  90
Albany        76  95  76  91 /  10  50  20  90
Valdosta      76  95  75  93 /  20  70  20  90
Cross City    76  94  77  92 /  10  20  20  30
Apalachicola  78  91  80  89 /  10  10   0  10

&&

.TAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
FL...Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT /5 PM CDT/ this evening for
     FLZ009>019-027>029-034-112-114-115-118-127-128-134-326-426.

     High Rip Current Risk through late Sunday night for FLZ108-112-
     114.

GA...Heat Advisory until 6 PM EDT this evening for GAZ155>161.

AL...None.
GM...None.
&&

SHORT TERM...IG3
LONG TERM....IG3
AVIATION...Bowser
MARINE...IG3
FIRE WEATHER...IG3
HYDROLOGY...DVD

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
512 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

FLZ015-027-115-127-426-132145-
Inland Franklin FL-Southern Liberty FL-Coastal Wakulla FL-
Coastal Franklin FL-Inland Wakulla FL-
512 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT WESTERN WAKULLA...SOUTHEASTERN
LIBERTY AND NORTHEASTERN FRANKLIN COUNTIES THROUGH 545 PM EDT...

At 512 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm 16
miles west of Crawfordville, moving west at 5 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts of 50 to 55 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Sopchoppy, East Camp, Poplar Camp, Smith Creek, Medart, Buckhorn,
Mcintyre, Sanborn, Curtis Mill, Tully, and Panacea.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3025 8458 3009 8432 2992 8453 3012 8482
TIME...MOT...LOC 2112Z 070DEG 5KT 3011 8460

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...55 MPH

82-RH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
531 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

FLZ016-017-027-326-426-132200-
Gadsden FL-Southern Liberty FL-Northern Liberty FL-Inland Wakulla FL-
Leon FL-
531 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHWESTERN WAKULLA...SOUTH
CENTRAL GADSDEN...EASTERN LIBERTY AND SOUTHWESTERN LEON COUNTIES
THROUGH 600 PM EDT...

At 531 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms 16 miles southwest of Midway. These storms were nearly
stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Midway, Lake Talquin, Jewel Fire Tower, Poplar Camp, Smith Creek,
Hosford, Lowry, Wetumpka, Bloxham, and Fort Braden.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3054 8445 3031 8447 3010 8471 3051 8484
TIME...MOT...LOC 2131Z 313DEG 4KT 3033 8466

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

82-RH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
547 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

FLZ018-019-GAZ158>161-132215-
Inland Jefferson FL-Madison FL-Brooks GA-Lanier GA-Lowndes GA-
Thomas GA-
547 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN JEFFERSON...NORTHERN
MADISON...WEST CENTRAL LANIER...LOWNDES...EASTERN THOMAS AND BROOKS
COUNTIES THROUGH 615 PM EDT...

At 546 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms over Quitman. These storms were nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Monticello, Valdosta, Lake Park, Quitman, Thomasville, Hahira,
Boston, Pavo, Coolidge, I-75 At Exit 16, Moody Air Force Base,
Remerton, Dasher, Morven, Barwick, Alma, Barretts, Dillon, Everett,
and Pinetta.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3077 8314 3076 8313 3063 8314 3063 8328
      3062 8327 3059 8326 3055 8326 3054 8325
      3052 8324 3053 8391 3103 8399 3102 8315
      3080 8312
TIME...MOT...LOC 2146Z 325DEG 3KT 3078 8352

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

82-RH

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
634 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

GAZ127>131-146-132300-
Tift GA-Worth GA-Colquitt GA-Irwin GA-Turner GA-Ben Hill GA-
634 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT WESTERN IRWIN...TURNER...NORTH
CENTRAL COLQUITT...TIFT...BEN HILL AND WORTH COUNTIES THROUGH 700 PM
EDT...

At 633 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Ashburn, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tifton, Ashburn, Fitzgerald, Sylvester, Ocilla, Omega, Norman Park,
Poulan, Ty Ty, Phillipsburg, Mystic, Unionville, Worth, Terrell,
Sycamore, Sumner, Rebecca, Minton, Scooterville, and Sylvester
Airport.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3183 8314 3181 8313 3182 8311 3180 8307
      3122 8367 3146 8400 3146 8398 3148 8399
      3180 8380 3180 8361 3185 8361 3184 8321
      3185 8318
TIME...MOT...LOC 2233Z 304DEG 17KT 3162 8370

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

82-RH

Preliminary Local Storm Report
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
641 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

..TIME...   ...EVENT...      ...CITY LOCATION...     ...LAT.LON...
..DATE...   ....MAG....      ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE....
            ..REMARKS..

0608 PM     Tstm Wnd Gst     3 WSW Lake Talquin      30.43N 84.61W
06/13/2026  M46 MPH          Gadsden            FL   Mesonet

            Ambient site.

&&

Haner

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Tallahassee FL
710 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

GAZ127>131-146>148-140000-
Berrien GA-Tift GA-Worth GA-Colquitt GA-Irwin GA-Cook GA-Turner GA-
Ben Hill GA-
710 PM EDT Sat Jun 13 2026

...STRONG THUNDERSTORMS WILL IMPACT NORTH CENTRAL COOK...IRWIN...
NORTHERN BERRIEN...TURNER...NORTHERN COLQUITT...TIFT...BEN HILL AND
WORTH COUNTIES THROUGH 800 PM EDT...

At 709 PM EDT, Doppler radar was tracking a cluster of strong
thunderstorms near Tifton. These storms were nearly stationary.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 50 mph.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects.

Locations impacted include...
Tifton, Ashburn, Ocilla, Fitzgerald, Sylvester, Enigma, Omega, Norman
Park, Lenox, Poulan, Ty Ty, Alapaha, Phillipsburg, Mystic,
Unionville, Worth, Terrell, Sycamore, Sumner, and Rebecca.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If outdoors, consider seeking shelter inside a building.

&&

LAT...LON 3166 8300 3161 8306 3155 8306 3148 8311
      3146 8315 3140 8314 3133 8306 3128 8304
      3126 8304 3126 8391 3184 8390 3184 8386
      3180 8380 3180 8361 3185 8361 3185 8318
      3181 8313 3182 8311 3178 8303 3178 8299
TIME...MOT...LOC 2309Z 322DEG 2KT 3151 8348

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.00 IN
MAX WIND GUST...50 MPH

82-RH