Hail in Arkansas, May 8, 2026

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
637 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 1155 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

 - Scattered showers and thunderstorms expected this afternoon and
   tonight with the aid of returning southerly low-level flow and
   an upper level disturbance.

 - Unsettled weather will remain in the forecast for some areas
   Saturday through Sunday with periods of thunderstorms
   continuing.

 - At this time, much of next weeks appears to be dry with a
   warmup commencing by mid to late next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1152 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Near zonal flow aloft above a weak frontal boundary stretched
across the northern gulf coast will support scattered showers with
embedded thunderstorms throughout the remainder of the day with
the greatest coverage across mainly Deep East Texas and north
Louisiana. This evening, a shortwave trough over Kansas will dive
southeast, intersecting a frontal boundary stretching across
Oklahoma, at a time when the atmosphere is sufficiently
destabilized by diurnal heating. Steep lapse rates resulting from
the approaching upper-level shortwave and warm surface temps will
support thunderstorm development along the front. Storms are
forecast to move into southeast Oklahoma and northeast Texas
around midnight with large hail and damaging wind gusts possible.

An upper-low across north Texas will open into a broad trough
that will linger just west of the ArkLaTex on Saturday. A weak
frontal boundary across the northern gulf coast will be the focus
for showers with embedded thunderstorms across much of north
Louisiana and Deep East Texas on Saturday.

Weather pattern remains active through Sunday evening as another
round of strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible across
northeast Texas and adjacent counties and parishes in Arkansas,
Oklahoma, and Louisiana. A shortwave trough will dive southeast
through the Central Plains intersecting a frontal boundary across
Oklahoma on Sunday afternoon. With dewpoint values in the lower
70s south of the front and steepening lapse rates with the
approaching upper-trough, sufficient buoyancy will exist to
trigger convection along and ahead of the frontal boundary. Large
hail and damaging winds will be possible as the convective system
moves southeast. Conditions forecast to gradually improve from
midnight onward.

Northwest flow to prevail aloft through the remainder of the
forecast period from Monday onward allowing for mainly dry
conditions and a gradual warming trend with highs by the middle of
next week in the mid 80s and overnight lows in the 60s. /05/

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 630 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

VFR ceilings/conditions prevail early this evening, with scattered
shower and isolated thunderstorm activity noted across the
airspace. Expect conditions to deteriorate through the evening and
especially the overnight period where ceilings drop to MVFR and
then IFR, with more widespread thunderstorm development expected
around 09/06z. Winds will temporarily become erratic and gusty
within and near thunderstorms with temporary vsby and ceiling
reductions accompanying. As thunderstorms pass into the predawn
hours on Saturday, patchy fog/vsby reductions to MVFR will be
possible along with continued IFR ceilings. Very slow recovery
anticipated on Saturday, with ceilings attempting to reach MVFR in
the 15-17z time period and eventually lower-end VFR in the early
to mid afternoon. Outside of TSRA activity, winds this TAF period
will be light and variable (5kts or less).

CK

&&

.SPOTTER INFORMATION STATEMENT...
Issued at 1255 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Strong to severe thunderstorms will be possible this evening
across portions of the Four State Region. Therefore, spotter
activation may be required.

13

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  64  83  65  86 /  40  40  10  40
MLU  64  83  64  86 /  50  40  10  40
DEQ  56  84  61  80 /  30  10  20  80
TXK  61  85  65  85 /  30  20  10  80
ELD  59  83  62  85 /  40  20  10  60
TYR  65  83  67  86 /  40  30  10  60
GGG  64  83  66  86 /  40  30  10  50
LFK  66  83  67  88 /  50  40  20  20

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

DISCUSSION...05
AVIATION...23

Special Weather Statement
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
814 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

ARZ060-061-070-090200-
Nevada AR-Hempstead AR-Miller AR-
814 PM CDT Fri May 8 2026

...A STRONG THUNDERSTORM WILL IMPACT NORTHEASTERN MILLER...
SOUTHEASTERN HEMPSTEAD AND SOUTHERN NEVADA COUNTIES UNTIL 9 PM CDT...

At 814 PM CDT, Doppler radar was tracking a strong thunderstorm near
Fulton, or 11 miles west of Hope, moving east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Wind gusts up to 40 mph and nickel size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Gusty winds could knock down tree limbs and blow around
         unsecured objects. Minor damage to outdoor objects is
         possible.

Locations impacted include...
  Hope, Emmet, Perrytown, Rosston, Fulton, Willisville, Bodcaw, Bluff
  City, Cale, McNab, Oakhaven, Sutton, Laneburg, Mount Moriah,
  Morris, Waterloo and Young.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Monitor the weather situation closely and be alert for threatening
weather conditions.

This storm may intensify, so be certain to monitor local radio
stations and available television stations for additional information
and possible warnings from the National Weather Service.

&&

LAT...LON 3362 9384 3374 9385 3376 9310 3351 9311
      3355 9384 3360 9384 3360 9383 3361 9382
      3361 9383
TIME...MOT...LOC 0114Z 270DEG 38KT 3364 9377

MAX HAIL SIZE...0.88 IN
MAX WIND GUST...40 MPH

13